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agricurtural-drought
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Forecasting the Possibility of Agricultural Drought using Markov Chain Based on Satellite data and Standard Precipitation Index
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Abrishamchi, Ahmad (Supervisor)
Abstract
In comparison with flood, drought is a phenomenon that happens gradually and causes significant changes in water resources, environmental and economic damages specially farming. Due to random features of involving factors in occurrence and intensity of drought, it is assumed as a random process. Drought forecast has an important role in water resources management and control. Data validation, in drought forecast, is a matter of utmost importance. In recent years, satellite data is a type of data that has been used. Markov chain has been used here because one of the features of this method is that occurrence of each variable in current stage is dependent on its previous stage. On the other...