Sharif Digital Repository

Climate change affects temperature, magnitude, and also the duration of the Urban Heat Island (UHI), which has severe impacts on the environment, communities, and the people's lives. This study evaluates UHI formation in the city of Tehran (Iran) using a reliability framework, which is able to include related uncertainties into the modeling procedure. First, 2 km air temperature field from Weather and Research Forecasting (WRF) model is downscaled to a 50 m grid spacing using a probabilistic downscaling method, which combines inverse distance weighting (IDW) interpolation and a Bayesian regression model. This downscaling method not only can produce a long record of the fine resolution of the...