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    Demand forecasting based machine learning algorithms on customer information: an applied approach

    , Article International Journal of Information Technology (Singapore) ; Volume 14, Issue 4 , 2022 , Pages 1937-1947 ; 25112104 (ISSN) Zohdi, M ; Rafiee, M ; Kayvanfar, V ; Salamiraad, A ; Sharif University of Technology
    Springer Science and Business Media B.V  2022
    Abstract
    Demand forecasting has always been a concern for business owners as one of the main activities in supply chain management. Unlike the past, that forecasting was done with the help of a limited amount of information, today, using advanced technologies and data analytics, forecasting is performed with machine learning algorithms and data-driven methods. Patterns and trends of demand, customer information, preferences, suggestions, and post-consumption feedbacks are some types of data that are used in various demand forecasting efforts. Traditional statistical methods and techniques are biased in demand prediction and are not accurate; so, machine learning algorithms as more popular techniques... 

    Forecasting Airline Demand by Using Hybric Bayesian Method and Time Series

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Shokouhi Seta, Hamid Reza (Author) ; Refie, Majid (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Using revenue management in any industry can increase the profit. In aviation industries, due to the huge number of requests and travels for each airline, a revenue management system can lead to a good profit for the airlines. The first step in revenue management system is predicting the demand.In this article two models are developed using time series techniques, based on the information taken from one of the Iranian airlines in Tehran-Mashhad fly route.The first model is developed using ARIMA and seasonal-ARIMA models and the second one is based on the demand and price history, price in the day of prediction and the ARIMA model. The second model which is a combination of price, prior price... 

    Forecasting Crude Steel Production and Demand using Learning Algorithms

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Karazmay Jahormi, Hossein (Author) ; Haji, Alireza (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Forecasting demand has always been one of the main challenges for large manufacturing companies, whose continuity of production and continued existence is closely tied to having a perspective and an image of the future demand for their products. Because the sudden and unexpected encounter with strong impulses on the demand side can cause irreparable damage to such companies. Large steel companies are among the companies whose demand forecasting can be considered as a key component in their profitability. On the other hand, governments also attach great importance to forecasting economic components such as demand and supply. With the help of forecasting, governments can more accurately... 

    Pandemic-Aware Day-Ahead demand forecasting using ensemble learning

    , Article IEEE Access ; Volume 10 , 2022 , Pages 7098-7106 ; 21693536 (ISSN) Arjomandi Nezhad, A ; Ahmadi, A ; Taheri, S ; Fotuhi Firuzabad, M ; Moeini Aghtaie, M ; Lehtonen, M ; Sharif University of Technology
    Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc  2022
    Abstract
    Electricity demand forecast is necessary for power systems' operation scheduling and management. However, power consumption is uncertain and depends on several factors. Moreover, since the onset of covid-19, the electricity consumption pattern went through significant changes across the globe, which made the forecasting demand more challenging. This is mainly due to the fact that pandemic-driven restrictions changed people's lifestyles and work activities. This calls for new forecasting algorithms to more effectively handle these conditions. In this paper, ensemble-based machine learning models are utilized for this task. The lockdown temporal policies are added to the feature set in order... 

    Demand Forecasting And Planning of ICU Sector In Hospital

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Taherkhani Kadkhodaei, Ahmad (Author) ; Kianfar, Farhad (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    This research conducted to achieve a pragmatic approach for the demand forecasting of ICU beds which is the one of most important services are provided by hospitals and medical centers and always has been challenging associated with capacity planning in many countries. Attaining such a method, ICU patients identified and categorized according to patients age and duration of hospitalization period. Then, as a case study, demanded ICU beds in Iran's hospitals predicted for three time horizons in 2021, 2031 and 2041 by use of regression model to forecast the population of identified patient categories which was extracted from Iran's demographic data in a 30-year period. The results indicated... 

    Big Data Analytics In Supply Chain Of Online Businesses

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Zohdi, Maryam (Author) ; Rafiee, Majid (Supervisor) ; Kayvanfar, Vahid (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Demand forecasting has always been a concern for business owners as one of the main activities in supply chain management. Unlike the past that forecasting was carried out by means of limited amount of information, today, forecasting is performed using machine learning algorithms and data-driven methods with the advent of new technologies and data explosion. Patterns and trends of demand, customer information and preferences, comments and suggestions, post-consumption feedbacks are some types of data which are used in these approaches. Considering the all mentioned changes, traditional statistical methods and techniques such as time series analysis have bias in predicting these kind of data... 

    The Application of Deep Learning Models in Estimating the Energy of Residential Buildings

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Mohammadzadeh, Mohammad (Author) ; Rafiee, Majid (Supervisor) ; Shavandi, Hassan (Co-Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Electricity consumption has increased dramatically in recent decades, and this increase has severely affected electricity distribution. Therefore, forecasting electricity demand can provide a precondition for distributors. Predicting power consumption requires many parameters to be considered.In this research, machine learning, and deep learning methods such as recursive neural networks, long short-term memory networks, etc., as well as the ARIMA model will be used. These models have been tested on the London Smart Measurement Database. In order to evaluate the capability of the models in forecasting electricity consumption, each has been used to predict the electricity consumption of a... 

    Data-Driven Pricing Based on Demand Prediction Using Machine Learning Methods

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Khosroshahi, Fatemeh Zahra (Author) ; Sedghi, Nafiseh (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Pricing plays an important and essential role in the profit and income of companies. The importance of pricing is not only related to its role in the company's profitability, but it also changes the customer's understanding and loyalty towards the company and can create the company's reputation or destroy it. Determining the right price will increase product sales and increase customer loyalty and create a competitive advantage for the company. One of the most important and influential variables in product pricing is the amount of demand. The main challenge of companies for product pricing is the uncertainty in their demand. In order to deal with this problem, data-driven pricing is used.... 

    Hour-ahead demand forecasting in smart grid using support vector regression (SVR)

    , Article International Transactions on Electrical Energy Systems ; Vol. 24, issue. 12 , 2014 , p. 1650-1663 Fattaheian-Dehkordi, S ; Fereidunian A ; Gholami-Dehkordi H ; Lesani H ; Sharif University of Technology
    Abstract
    Demand forecasting plays an important role as a decision support tool in power system management, especially in smart grid and liberalized power market. In this paper, a demand forecasting method is presented by using support vector regression (SVR). The proposed method is applied to practical hourly data of the Greater Tehran Electricity Distribution Company. The SVR parameters are selected by using a grid optimization process and an investigation on different kernel functions. Moreover, correlation analysis is used to find exogenous variables. Acceptable accuracy of load prediction is shown by comparing the result of SVR model to that of the artificial neural networks and the actual data,... 

    The Investigation of the Forecast of Rail-Passenger Transport Ticket Reservation Demand

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Kazemi Asl, Ali (Author) ; Karami, Naser (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Demand estimation has always been one of the most important components of marketing in all industries. Because the profitability of any organization depends on the demand for the product or service that the organization offers to the market. On the other hand, in order to optimize the performance of the organization and better planning, we need to have an estimate of demand in order to avoid wasting the available facilities by optimally allocating resources. Another issue that shows the importance of demand estimation is the dependence of optimal pricing on the amount of demand, which can be said to be the most important tool of the organization to manage its revenue. Optimal pricing can be... 

    Development of Airport Capacity Management Model Based on Decision Support System

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Salimi, Mohammad (Author) ; Pourtakdoust, Hossein (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Airports are one of the most important elements of the aviation system that provide the ground infrastructure that is required for enabling or flight across the globe. Master Planning is currently the dominant approach to airport strategic planning. However, history shows that this approach can often result in costly mistakes. Because there are many stakeholders with conflicting objectives, deep uncertainty about the future, and many potential strategies, planners often narrow their scope by using a single forecast for the future, leaving out alternative strategies, and excluding stakeholders, resulting in a Master Plan that quickly becomes obsolete and may be opposed by some stakeholders.... 

    Designing a multi-echelon supply chain network: A car manufacturer case study

    , Article Journal of Intelligent and Fuzzy Systems ; Vol. 27, Issue. 6 , 2014 , pp. 2897-2914 ; ISSN 1875-8967 Khalaj, M. R ; Modarres, M ; Tavakkoli-Moghaddam, R ; Sharif University of Technology
    Abstract
    A multi-echelon supply chain design problem concerns the structure of the network and allocation of resources of the company to meet the demand forecast. This paper tries to design a multi-echelon supply chain network with five echelons including supplier, cross-dock, plant, distribution center and representative (customer). For this purpose, a mixed-integer mathematical model is developed to investigate the location of cross-docks, distribution centers, and also allocation between each pair of parties in order to minimize total cost of location and transportation. Due to the complexity of the model, a novel genetic algorithm is developed and applied on a real-world case study of Iran Khodro... 

    Machine learning in energy economics and finance: A review

    , Article Energy Economics ; Volume 81 , 2019 , Pages 709-727 ; 01409883 (ISSN) Ghoddusi, H ; Creamer, G. G ; Rafizadeh, N ; Sharif University of Technology
    Elsevier B.V  2019
    Abstract
    Machine learning (ML) is generating new opportunities for innovative research in energy economics and finance. We critically review the burgeoning literature dedicated to Energy Economics/Finance applications of ML. Our review identifies applications in areas such as predicting energy prices (e.g. crude oil, natural gas, and power), demand forecasting, risk management, trading strategies, data processing, and analyzing macro/energy trends. We critically review the content (methods and findings) of more than 130 articles published between 2005 and 2018. Our analysis suggests that Support Vector Machine (SVM), Artificial Neural Network (ANN), and Genetic Algorithms (GAs) are among the most... 

    Computational intelligence on short-term load forecasting: a methodological overview

    , Article Energies ; Volume 12, Issue 3 , 2019 ; 19961073 (ISSN) Fallah, N ; Ganjkhani, M ; Shamshirband, S ; Chau, K. W ; Sharif University of Technology
    MDPI AG  2019
    Abstract
    Electricity demand forecasting has been a real challenge for power system scheduling in different levels of energy sectors. Various computational intelligence techniques and methodologies have been employed in the electricity market for short-term load forecasting, although scant evidence is available about the feasibility of these methods considering the type of data and other potential factors. This work introduces several scientific, technical rationales behind short-term load forecasting methodologies based on works of previous researchers in the energy field. Fundamental benefits and drawbacks of these methods are discussed to represent the efficiency of each approach in various...