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    Reliability of Components Operating under Creep- Fatigue Conditions

    , Ph.D. Dissertation Sharif University of Technology Vojdani, Ali (Author) ; Farrahi, Gholamhossein (Supervisor) ; Wang, Bin (Co-Supervisor) ; Mehmanparast, Ali (Co-Supervisor)
    Abstract
    The probabilistic behavior and the reliability of high-temperature defective components under creep-fatigue conditions have been assessed, considering different sources of uncertainty in “material behavior”, “geometric parameters” and “operation conditions”. For this purpose, deterministic calculations of creep-fatigue crack growth have been derived based on the R5 procedure, and then these relationships have been used at the heart of the probabilistic assessments. One of the aims of this dissertation was to present a procedure for assessing the reliability of defective components operating under creep-fatigue conditions. This procedure has been implemented on a benchmark problem, i.e.... 

    Probabilistic Evaluation of Ridge Isolation as an Inventive Method for Mitigating the Displacement of Isolated Buildings under all Possible Hazards

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Tavassoli, Sina (Author) ; Bakhshi, Ali (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    The main purpose of this research is to evaluate the probabilistic benefit of the implementation of second isolation layer in isolated structures to both the structure and the constructor. The innovation of this research is in the utilization of a seemingly useless part of the structure, which is the ridge, for mitigating the structure’s displacement. For this purpose, a five-story residential structure and its ridge have been isolated and modeled as an MDOF system with two degree of freedom in MATLAB software and the benefits due to the reduction in displacement and acceleration has been calculated. The results indicate 40 percent reduction in the main structure’s displacement and a benefit... 

    Using Bayesian Approach in Life Management of a Monitored Structural System

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Keshvarifard, Amir Hossein (Author) ; Adibnazari, Saeed (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    In presence of epistemic and aleatoric uncertainties of the structural systems, it is better to investigate the events in probabilistic manner. Bayesian inference is an approach that can update the current knowledge of probabilities with new evidence. The main objective of this study was evaluating the advanteges of using Bayesian approach in two main area of structural health monitoring, model calibration and decision making. In each of these two areas, one case study was conducted. First case study was prediction of crack growth life in a pre-cracked aluminum plate and the results showed that using Bayesian approach in calibration of crack growth model and measurement model of health... 

    Assessment of offshore structures under extreme wave conditions by Modified Endurance Wave Analysis

    , Article Marine Structures ; Volume 39 , December , 2014 , Pages 50-69 ; ISSN: 09518339 Dastan Diznab, M. A ; Mohajernassab, S ; Seif, M. S ; Tabeshpour, M. R ; Mehdigholi, H ; Sharif University of Technology
    Abstract
    Recently, various approaches have been introduced to estimate the response of offshore structures in different sea states by stepwisely intensifying records. In this article, a more practical approach entitled Modified Endurance Wave Analysis (MEWA) considering the random and probabilistic nature of wave loading and utilizing optimal time duration is introduced. Generation procedure of this approach is described based on two practical wave theories: random and constrained new-wave. In addition, assessment of a simplified model representing a typical fixed offshore platform under extreme wave conditions in the Persian Gulf is performed making use of MEWA. A comparative analysis has been also... 

    Observability enhancement by optimal PMU placement considering random power system outages

    , Article Energy Systems ; Volume 2, Issue 1 , 2011 , Pages 45-65 ; 18683967 (ISSN) Aminifar, F ; Fotuhi Firuzabad, M ; Shahidehpour, M ; Khodaei, A ; Sharif University of Technology
    Abstract
    This paper enhances the observability of power networks by taking into consideration random component outages. The architecture of wide-area measurement system (WAMS) is analyzed in order to identify components that would affect the network observability. An iterative framework is devised to calculate a bus index in power networks equipped with phasor measurement units (PMUs) and conventional measurements. The average of bus indices represents a system index which provides an overall insight on the power network observability. The system index is utilized as a criterion to distinguish among multiple optimal PMU placements. Conventional bus injection and line flow measurements and the effect... 

    Probabilistic assessment of creep-fatigue crack propagation in austenitic stainless steel cracked plates

    , Article Engineering Fracture Mechanics ; Volume 200 , 2018 , Pages 50-63 ; 00137944 (ISSN) Vojdani, A ; Farrahi, G. H ; Mehmanparast, A ; Wang, B ; Sharif University of Technology
    Elsevier Ltd  2018
    Abstract
    This study investigates the effects of uncertainties in the prediction of creep-fatigue crack propagation in 316L(N) austenitic stainless steel plates containing a semi-elliptical surface defect. Different parameters in geometry, material behavior and test condition are considered as random variables in probabilistic assessments. Monte-Carlo sampling method is employed to estimate the probability distribution of desired outputs such as propagated crack sizes, stress intensity factors and creep rupture life. It is shown that, the standard deviation of the predicted crack sizes in both through-wall direction and along the surface of the plate will be increased by increasing the time (hence the... 

    Probabilistic Evaluation of Steel Moment Frames with Partially Restrained Connections

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Zarei Rahmat Abadi, Davood (Author) ; Kazemi, Mohammad Taghi (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Considering connections as ideally rigid or pinned is a common assumption during design and analysis of steel moment frames. However, in real world, steel connections show a non-linear behavior between these two ideal states. The aim of this research is to investigate the effect of partially restrained connections on the design and performance of two-dimensional steel moment frames under vertical and horizontal loads that are applied statically. For this aim, nonlinear finite element modeling is used in probabilistic evaluation process to assess the performance of existing structures. To capture the real behavior of structure in models, geometric and material sources of nonlinearity are... 

    Investment Valuation Model for Retrofit of Infrastructure under Uncertainty

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Asghari, Vahid (Author) ; Haj Kazem Kashani, Hamed (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Infrastructure systems play a critical role in the economic and social activities of a community. Effective and continuous performance of these infrastructure systems is essential to the welfare and prosperity of the communities. Infrastructure systems comprise networks of interdependent assets that are built through a long and costly process. These assets are subject to a variety of factors that reduce the performance and reliability over time. These factors also increase the vulnerability of infrastructure assets in face of future probable hazards. In order to ensure the continuous and uninterrupted performance of infrastructure assets in post-hazard situations, asset managers should plan... 

    Probabilistic ATC Assessment Incorporating UPEC

    , Ph.D. Dissertation Sharif University of Technology Rajabi Ghahnavieh, Abbas (Author) ; Fotuhi-Firouzabad, Mahmud (Supervisor) ; Shahidehpour, Mohammad (Co-Advisor)
    Abstract
    Available Transmission Capability (ATC) is a measure of remaining capability in the transmission system for future use which is calculated and posted by Independent System Operator (ISO) considering various certain and uncertain power system parameters. ATC can be affected considerably by application of flexible AC transmission system (FACTS) controller among them Unified Power Flow Controller (UPFC) is the most recent one applied in power systems. This thesis is aimed to study the probabilistic ATC assessment incorporating UPFC. It first proposes a probabilistic ATC calculation method which is capable of considering various certain and uncertain parameters of ATC calculation in the... 

    Investigation of the Sensitivity of Perforated Plates in Fracture and their Growth of Strain

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Tale Masouleh, Mohammad Sadegh (Author) ; Alijani Moghaddam, Hassan (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    The present study looks into the fracture of perforated steel plates and their sensitivity in ductile fracture. It also examines the effects of strain rise phenomenon in these specimens. The main employed fracture model is VGM, which was first introduced by Rice and Tracey, and later enhanced by Kanvinde et al.. The general methodology includes finite element simulation and lab experiments on perforated plates, to determine ductility, strain concentration in hole periphery and model sensitivity. Fot thid purpose 86 steel sheet specimen with different holes and cuts were manufactured and tested. With the acquired data, the impact of strain concentration on the load carrying capabilities and... 

    Probabilistic Evaluation of Seismic Soil Liquefaction in Sands Using Cone Penetration Test (CPT)Data

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Razavi Nasab, Mohammad (Author) ; Ahmadi, Mohammad Mehdi (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    More than half a century has passed since the start of research on seismic liquefaction phenomenon in cohesionless soils, and various researchers has proposed different correlations for liquefaction prediction based on in situ tests. However, there still exists a great uncertainty in liquefaction prediction correlations, and liquefaction still occurs in different parts of the world. Hence, the main objective of this research is to reduce uncertainty in seismic liquefaction initiation correlations. While the technical literature indicates that soil resistance can alter due to liquefaction and shaking events and soil resistance after the liquefaction is not necessarily indicative of it prior... 

    Application of Weibull analysis to evaluate and forecast schedule performance in repetitive projects

    , Article Journal of Construction Engineering and Management ; Volume 142, Issue 2 , 2016 ; 07339364 (ISSN) Baqerin, M. H ; Shafahi, Y ; Kashani, H ; Sharif University of Technology
    American Society of Civil Engineers (ASCE) 
    Abstract
    Construction managers regularly monitor projects to ensure that the project performance is under control. The earned value method (EVM) is a widely used tool to forecast project cost and time at completion. However, the effectiveness of the EVM in forecasting schedule performance has been questioned particularly because of its inability to address the associated uncertainties and poor performance in predicting project duration. The objective of this study is to present an activity-based model to conduct a probabilistic assessment and estimation of schedule performance in repetitive construction projects. This model, called the Weibull evaluation and forecasting model (WEFM), emphasizes the... 

    Reliability assessment of cracked pipes subjected to creep-fatigue loading

    , Article Theoretical and Applied Fracture Mechanics ; Volume 104 , 2019 ; 01678442 (ISSN) Vojdani, A ; Farrahi, G. H ; Sharif University of Technology
    Elsevier B.V  2019
    Abstract
    The reliability analysis of defective pipes, which operate under creep-fatigue loading conditions has been studied. An austenitic stainless steel pipe containing an axially external semi-elliptical surface crack, subjected to variable internal pressure at elevated temperature has been considered as the benchmark problem. Different parameters in material behavior, geometry parameters, and operational condition have been assumed as random variables in the probabilistic assessments. The reliability of the cracked pipes have been evaluated at various operation times, using different reliability methods. Sensitivity analyses have been conducted to investigate the importance measure of the random... 

    Consequence Modelling and Probabilistic Risk Assessment of Oil Spills in the Marine Waters

    , Ph.D. Dissertation Sharif University of Technology Amir Heidari, Payam (Author) ; Raie, Mohammad (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Different causes in the exploration, production and transport of oil in the marine environment result in oil spill events. Since elimination of the probability of occurrence of spills is not possible, it is important to have a plan to control the risk of oil spills by optimal response. In this research, a general stucture is presented for the DSS required for oil spill response planning. This system can be used for evaluation of the effectiveness of response drills, and risk-based ranking of receptor areas and spill sources. Ranking based on risk is realized through probabilistic or stochastic risk assessment. The applicability of the proposed system is examined in differnet case studies in... 

    Observability enhancement by optimal PMU placement considering random power system outages

    , Article Energy Systems ; Vol. 2, issue. 1 , 2011 , p. 45-65 ; ISSN: 18683967 Aminifar, F ; Fotuhi-Firuzabad, M ; Shahidehpour, M ; Khodaei, A ; Sharif University of Technology
    Abstract
    This paper enhances the observability of power networks by taking into consideration random component outages. The architecture of wide-area measurement system (WAMS) is analyzed in order to identify components that would affect the network observability. An iterative framework is devised to calculate a bus index in power networks equipped with phasor measurement units (PMUs) and conventional measurements. The average of bus indices represents a system index which provides an overall insight on the power network observability. The system index is utilized as a criterion to distinguish among multiple optimal PMU placements. Conventional bus injection and line flow measurements and the effect... 

    Constructing the Bayesian network for components reliability importance ranking in composite power systems

    , Article International Journal of Electrical Power and Energy Systems ; Volume 43, Issue 1 , 2012 , Pages 474-480 ; 01420615 (ISSN) Daemi, T ; Ebrahimi, A ; Fotuhi Firuzabad, M ; Sharif University of Technology
    Abstract
    In this paper, Bayesian Network (BN) is used for reliability assessment of composite power systems with emphasis on the importance of system components. A simple approach is presented to construct the BN associated with a given power system. The approach is based on the capability of the BN to learn from data which makes it possible to be applied to large power systems. The required training data is provided by state sampling using the Monte Carlo simulation. The constructed BN is then used to perform different probabilistic assessments such as ranking the criticality and importance of system components from reliability perspective. The BN is also used to compute the frequency and... 

    Probabilistic assessment of available transfer capacity via market linearization

    , Article IEEE Systems Journal ; Volume 9, Issue 4 , August , 2015 , Pages 1409-1418 ; 19328184 (ISSN) Mohseni, M ; Nouri, A ; Salmanpor Bandaghiri, P ; Saeedavi, R ; Afkousi Paqaleh, M ; Sharif University of Technology
    Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc  2015
    Abstract
    Uncertainties associated with bus loading and components' availability lead to uncertainties in different system variables based on the system physical and economical relationships. Line flows, bus voltages, different prices, and other variables and indices, such as available transfer capacity (ATC), are stochastic and cannot be expressed as a determined quantity. Traditionally, in order to model the stochastic nature of power systems, a stochastic power flow algorithm is used. In this paper, stochastic-algebraic method is applied to find the probability density function (pdf) of ATC. The algorithm linearizes the optimal power flow formulation and uses Gram-Charlier expansion to find the pdf... 

    An EWA framework for the probabilistic-based structural integrity assessment of offshore platforms

    , Article Marine Structures ; Volume 59 , 2018 , Pages 60-79 ; 09518339 (ISSN) Zeinoddini, M ; Yaghubi Namin, Y ; Matin Nikoo, H ; Estekanchi, H ; Kimiaei, M ; Sharif University of Technology
    Elsevier Ltd  2018
    Abstract
    Endurance Wave Analysis (EWA) is a novel, simple, economical but yet reliable method for the integrity assessment of offshore platforms against extreme irregular waves. The current paper presents a framework for the probabilistic assessment of offshore platforms based on EWA. The stochastic nature and the uncertainties in the ocean waves were taken into account by introducing a set of artificial, random and gradually intensifying wave trains. To simulate other uncertainties in the loading and the strength of the structure a Latin Hypercube Sampling (LHS) type of Monte Carlo Simulation (MCS) was employed. The EWA methodology and different structural performance criteria were considered. The... 

    Value-Based Design of Actual Structure Designed by the Common Codes in Tehran, using Endurance Time Method

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Molla Seyyed Hosseini, Mahmoud (Author) ; Esmaeil Pourestekanchi, Homayoon (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    The objective of this study is to design a real structure based on value using the endurance time method, which is designed according to common design codes. In the value-based design of this structure, a variation of the lateral load coefficient has been used for the design of the investigated structural specimens. The term "value" in this research refers to the total costs incurred over the lifespan of the structure. The initial construction costs of the structure and the life cycle costs are optimized in the value-based design process. The initial construction cost in this research consists of two parts: the first part is variable costs that arise from the consumed materials in the...