Sharif Digital Repository

A historical survey was performed on 330 accidents involving domino effect, occurred in process/storage plants and in the transportation of hazardous materials; only accidents occurred after 1st-January-1961 have been considered. The main features - geographical location, type of accident, materials involved, origin and causes, consequences, domino sequences - were analyzed, with special consideration to the situation in the developing countries and compared to those from other previous surveys. Among the involved substances, LPG was the most frequent one, followed by liquid hydrocarbons. Process plants (38.5% of cases) and storage areas (33%) were the most common settings; 10.6% of past... 

Bundling has been extensively studied in the literature and its benefits have been manifested through three perspectives of achieving better price discrimination, helping to save costs, and preserving the power for deterring a potential entrant. In this study, we examine two aspects of bundling which have not been studied before. We examine the impact of product heterogeneity on bundling decisions. We also address risk considerations in a bundling problem. Specifically, we consider a retailer who has the option of selling a bundle of two products (pure bundling policy), or selling the products separately (no-bundling policy). The retailer could also face a product selection problem for which... 

A web-based system is designed and implemented as a risk communication tool to incentivize the public to take seismic risk mitigation measures. Risk denotes the expected monetary and social losses herein. The objective of this system is to raise the awareness of two audience groups, the general public and decision makers, about significant seismic risk in Iran. To address the general public, the system employs the notion of risk perception to put the results of sophisticated earthquake engineering risk analyses into perspective. The system also treats the epistemic uncertainty of user input due to the public's lack of technical knowledge through the notion of entropy in information theory.... 

The need to develop an integrated dynamic safety and risk analysis model for decommissioning offshore jacket structures is driven by the risky, expensive and complex nature of the operation. Many of the existing risk analysis techniques applicable to offshore assets failed to recognise and capture evolving risks during different stages of the decommissioning operation. This paper describes risk-based safety model to conduct quantitative risk analysis for offshore jacket decommissioning failure. First, a bow-tie technique is developed to model the accident cause-consequence relationship. Subsequently, a Bayesian belief network is used to update the failure probabilities of the contributing... 

A framework for optimal seismic design of structures, considering maximum value as the design objective, is introduced. In this framework, the value parameter incorporates a comprehensive set of performance indicators. Decision indicators are mapped into equivalent economic values and are directly involved in the design process. This approach leads to optimal assignment of the available resources to meet infrastructure requirements. The construction cost and the risk of seismic consequences are considered as the value components. FEMA-P58 methodology is utilized in estimation of the seismic consequences including the repair cost, repair time, injuries and casualties. Endurance Time method is... 

API Recommended Practice 752 is one of the most referenced practices for evaluating vapor cloud explosion (VCE) impacts to site occupied buildings. This reference introduces generic VCE frequencies for different types of process units that are based on VCE incidents database. Although these reported VCE frequencies are not capable of illustrating all parameters that affect explosion likelihood, they are widely used in risk analysis studies and software packages. This paper delineates the structure of a more realistic method for estimation of local VCE frequencies for independent congested spaces or units as a function of process, site, and meteorological variables. Compared to traditional...