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    Sampling efficiency in Monte Carlo based uncertainty propagation strategies: Application in seawater intrusion simulations

    , Article Advances in Water Resources ; Vol. 67, issue , 2014 , pp. 46-64 Rajabi, M. M ; Ataie-Ashtiani, B ; Sharif University of Technology
    Abstract
    The implementation of Monte Carlo simulations (MCSs) for the propagation of uncertainty in real-world seawater intrusion (SWI) numerical models often becomes computationally prohibitive due to the large number of deterministic solves needed to achieve an acceptable level of accuracy. Previous studies have mostly relied on parallelization and grid computing to decrease the computational time of MCSs. However, another approach which has received less attention in the literature is to decrease the number of deterministic simulations by using more efficient sampling strategies. Sampling efficiency is a measure of the optimality of a sampling strategy. A more efficient sampling strategy requires...