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    Uncertainty analysis of wind-wave predictions in Lake Michigan

    , Article China Ocean Engineering ; Volume 30, Issue 5 , 2016 , Pages 811-820 ; 08905487 (ISSN) Nekouee, N ; Ataie Ashtiani, B ; Hamidi, S. A ; Sharif University of Technology
    Springer Verlag 
    Abstract
    With all the improvement in wave and hydrodynamics numerical models, the question rises in our mind that how the accuracy of the forcing functions and their input can affect the results. In this paper, a commonly used numerical third-generation wave model, SWAN is applied to predict waves in Lake Michigan. Wind data are analyzed to determine wind variation frequency over Lake Michigan. Wave predictions uncertainty due to wind local effects are compared during a period where wind has a fairly constant speed and direction over the northern and southern basins. The study shows that despite model calibration in Lake Michigan area, the model deficiency arises from ignoring wind effects in small...