Sharif Digital Repository

Accurate forecasts of tourist arrivals and study of the tourist arrival patterns are essential for the tourism-related industries to formulate efficient and effective strategies on maintaining and boosting tourism industry in a country. Forecasting accuracy is one of the most important factors involved in selecting a forecasting method. This study presents a hybrid artificial intelligence (AI) model to develop a Mamdani-type fuzzy rule-based system to forecast tourist arrivals with high accuracy. The hybrid model uses genetic algorithm for learning rule base and tuning data base of fuzzy system. Actually it extracts useful information patterns with a descriptive rule induction approach based... 

This paper aims to propose a framework by which decision-makers can evaluate and compare alternatives for sustainable island-based tourism development. The uncertainties and risks involved in information and judgment within the evaluation process were taken into account by using a hybrid approach, which combined the Delphi method, fuzzy set theory, and a discrete multi-criteria method based on prospect theory called TODIM (an acronym in Portuguese of interactive and multiple-criteria decision making). The decision making model examined 3 different techniques for aggregating the viewpoints of different decision-makers and explored how the aggregation technique would affect the ranking of the... 

This paper aims to propose a framework by which decision-makers can evaluate and compare alternatives for sustainable island-based tourism development. The uncertainties and risks involved in information and judgment within the evaluation process were taken into account by using a hybrid approach, which combined the Delphi method, fuzzy set theory, and a discrete multi-criteria method based on prospect theory called TODIM (an acronym in Portuguese of interactive and multiple-criteria decision making). The decision making model examined 3 different techniques for aggregating the viewpoints of different decision-makers and explored how the aggregation technique would affect the ranking of the...