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- Type of Document: M.Sc. Thesis
- Language: Farsi
- Document No: 42244 (44)
- University: Sharif University of Technology
- Department: Management and Economics
- Advisor(s): Abedini, Javad
- Abstract:
- In this piece of work, a gravity model is suggested as Iranian non-fuel export model to OIC countries. The most important results out of this model are the acquired coefficients of two variables, namely “ECO membership” and “Economic and Trade Freedom of Importer”. At first, we expected that for importer, being a member of ECO would increase the amount of trade with iran. Surprisingly, this is not what we see in a model. In fact, as ECO has not achieved any tangible success in increasing trade between its members, eastern Asian Muslim countries has become an important trade partner for iranians. This result is compatible with other pieces of researches about ECO. “Economic and Trade Freedom of Importer: is the next variable which has an estimated coefficient different from what we expect. This variable has been tested with three different indexes and the result had been the same for all of them. This variable is statistically important with a negative coefficient which shows that Iran would export less to the countries with more economic freedom. This could be a closed economy whose market is far from perfect competition may be a better destination for Iran’s product. The empirical model in this piece of work is estimated using two different regression models, namely LSDV and Dynamic OLS. The results show that the trade volume between iran and any OIC countries is a lot dependent on their trade history rather than current economic state.
- Keywords:
- Gravity Model ; Panel Data ; Iran's Non-Fuel Export ; Organization of Islamic Countries(OIC)
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