![]() |
Proposing a Method for Forecasting Interrupted Time Series based on Fuzzy Logic: a System Dynamics Approach, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Khedmati, Majid (Supervisor)
Abstract
Performing analysis and forecasting is crucial. Better forecasting will lead to better decisions. One method for predicting the future is time series analysis. In reality, it is common for an intervention to occur and alter the characteristics of a time series. In recent years, interrupted time series analysis has been receiving a lot of attention. A new forecasting method for interrupted time series has been developed in this study. This is a system dynamics-based approach. At every stage of the approach, system thinking is incorporated. In order to model the effects of a given intervention, common modes of behavior in dynamic systems are used. Furthermore, control theory has been used to...
Cataloging briefProposing a Method for Forecasting Interrupted Time Series based on Fuzzy Logic: a System Dynamics Approach, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Khedmati, Majid (Supervisor)
Abstract
Performing analysis and forecasting is crucial. Better forecasting will lead to better decisions. One method for predicting the future is time series analysis. In reality, it is common for an intervention to occur and alter the characteristics of a time series. In recent years, interrupted time series analysis has been receiving a lot of attention. A new forecasting method for interrupted time series has been developed in this study. This is a system dynamics-based approach. At every stage of the approach, system thinking is incorporated. In order to model the effects of a given intervention, common modes of behavior in dynamic systems are used. Furthermore, control theory has been used to...
Find in contentBookmark |
![]() |
|