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data-assimilation
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Error behavior modeling in Capacitance-Resistance Model: A promotion to fast, reliable proxy for reservoir performance prediction
, Article Journal of Natural Gas Science and Engineering ; Volume 77 , May , 2020 ; Aminshahidy, B ; Bazargan, H ; Sharif University of Technology
Elsevier B. V
2020
Abstract
Using the original form of Capacitance-Resistance Model (CRM), as a waterflooding performance prediction tool, for modeling real reservoirs makes some unavoidable errors. Combination of this model with available data assimilation methods yields more powerful simulation tool with updating parameters over time. However, the inherent uncertainty arisen by modeling complex reservoirs with only a limited number of CRM parameters is not addressed yet. In this study, the model error behavior has been simulated through a physically-based dynamical system in which it has been correlated with the original model parameters. The ensemble-based Kalman filter (EnKF) data assimilation method has been...
Review of assimilating GRACE terrestrial water storage data into hydrological models: Advances, challenges and opportunities
, Article Earth-Science Reviews ; Volume 213 , 2021 ; 00128252 (ISSN) ; Ataie Ashtiani, B ; Simmons, C. T ; Sharif University of Technology
Elsevier B.V
2021
Abstract
Global climate change and anthropogenic impacts lead to alterations in the water cycle, water resource availability and the frequency and intensity of floods and droughts. As a result, developing effective techniques such as hydrological modeling is essential to monitor and predict water storage changes. However, inaccuracies and uncertainties in different aspects of modeling, due to simplification of meteorological physical processes, data limitations and inaccurate climate forcing data limit the reliability of hydrological models. Satellite remote sensing datasets, especially Terrestrial Water Storage (TWS) data which can be obtained from Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE),...
Reservoir Characterization and Parameter Estimation Using Ensemble Kalman Filter
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Pishvaei, Mahmood Reza (Supervisor) ; Bozorgmehri Boozarjmehri, Ramin (Supervisor)
Abstract
Management decisions, enhanced oil recovery, and reservoir development plans in petroleum industries are based on predictions by reservoir simulation. Due to uncertainties in model parameters or engineering assumptions, the simulation results are not accurate, while they are correct. For more accurate estimation of unknown production quantities, it is required to characterize the unknown parameters and its uncertainty. By using static data alone the result of characterization is unreliable and unsure, therefore dynamic data use practically. In reservoir engineering literature, this is called “History Matching”.The ensemble Kalman filter is an optimal recursive data processing algorithm based...
Monitoring Terrestrial Water Storage Variabilities By GRACE
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Abrishamchi, Ahmad (Supervisor)
Abstract
Terrestrial water storage change is an important factor in a region ecosystem studies and climate variability effects. Terrestrial water storage is composed of water on vegetation surfaces, in the biomass, in the unsaturated soil or rock zone, as groundwater, snow and ice, and as surface water in rivers, lakes, reservoirs and wetlands. There was no possibility to monitor and estimate this volume of water and it's changes during past decade because of lack of global processing system. After a successful launch, the GRACE mission developed by NASA is currently mapping the variations of the gravity field of the Earth over its lifetime.
The aim of this study is to investigate Terrestrial...
The aim of this study is to investigate Terrestrial...
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Fotouhi Firouzabadi, Morteza (Supervisor)
Abstract
A typical problem in applied mathematics and science is to estimate the future state of a dynamical system given its current state. One approach aimed at understanding one or more aspects determining the behavior of the system is mathematical modeling. This method frequently entails formulation of a set of equations, usually a system of partial or ordinary differential equations. Model parameters are then measured from experimental data or estimated from computer simulation or other methods. Solutions to the model are then studied through mathematical analysis and numerical simulation usually for qualitative fit to the dynamical system of interest and any relative time-series data that is...
Model-data interaction in groundwater studies: Review of methods, applications and future directions
, Article Journal of Hydrology ; Volume 567 , 2018 , Pages 457-477 ; 00221694 (ISSN) ; Ataie Ashtiani, B ; Simmons, C. T ; Sharif University of Technology
Elsevier B.V
2018
Abstract
We define model-data interaction (MDI) as a two way process between models and data, in which on one hand data can serve the modeling purpose by supporting model discrimination, parameter refinement, uncertainty analysis, etc., and on the other hand models provide a tool for data fusion, interpretation, interpolation, etc. MDI has many applications in the realm of groundwater and has been the topic of extensive research in the groundwater community for the past several decades. This has led to the development of a multitude of increasingly sophisticated methods. The progress of data acquisition technologies and the evolution of models are continuously changing the landscape of groundwater...
Impact of climate variation on hydrometeorology in Iran
, Article Global and Planetary Change ; Volume 170 , 2018 , Pages 93-105 ; 09218181 (ISSN) ; Sharif University of Technology
Elsevier B.V
2018
Abstract
Results confirm that Iran like many countries is affected by high climate variability, which has influenced hydroclimatological variables such as temperature, evaporation, precipitation, runoff, and radiation. This study uses Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) data to assess hydrological cycle changes in Iran during a long period (Jan1948-Jan2017). Results show that hydrometeorological variables have significant changes (p-value<.01) during the period of 2010–2017 relative to the baseline period (2004–2009). Most extreme values of these variables including temperature, evaporation, precipitation, wind, and downward longwave radiation occurred recently (in 2015 to 2017). The average...
Real-time oil Reservoir Characterization by Assimilation of Production Data
, Ph.D. Dissertation Sharif University of Technology ; Pishvaie, Mahmoud Reza (Supervisor) ; Bozorgmehry Boozarjomehry, Ramin (Supervisor)
Abstract
Hydrocarbon reservoirs development and management is based on their dynamic models. To encounter various types of error during model building, model parameters are adjusted to produce reservoir historical data by assimilation (history matching) of reservoir production or 4D seismic data. Among the existing sequential methods for automatic history matching, ensemble Kalman filter and its variants have displayed promising results. The innovations of this thesis for ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) are presented into three major orients; these includes adaptive localization/regularization, characterization of original PUNQ test model and characterization of channelized reservoir.
To mitigate...
To mitigate...
Intelligent and Sequential Reservoir Model Updating and Uncertainty Assessment during EOR Process
, Ph.D. Dissertation Sharif University of Technology ; Pishvaie, Mahmoud Reza (Supervisor) ; Bozorgmehry Boozarjomehry, Ramin (Supervisor)
Abstract
Hydrocarbon reservoir management and development as well as planning of enhanced oil recovery (EOR) processes are based on the reservoir dynamic model. Thus, successful implementation of EOR scenarios greatly depends on the quality of the dynamic model and accuracy of the associated parameters in order to correctly describe fluid flow through porous media. First, a dynamic model is constructed based on the prior knowledge. However, because of the various types of error during model building, the prior model is not so accurate and perfect. Accordingly, new observation data, such as production and 4D seismic data, are utilized to calibrate the prior model and characterize the reservoir under a...
Closed Loop Mangement of Naturally Fractured Reservoir Using Data Assimilation Methods
, Ph.D. Dissertation Sharif University of Technology ; Pishvaie, Mahmoud Reza (Supervisor) ; Bozorgmehry Boozarjomehry, Ramin (Supervisor)
Abstract
In this research, the aim is to investigate the use of data assimilation method for better reservoir model updating in the reservoir management. In addition, multi-objective optimization concept is studied for the production optimization. The application of these methods is applied for reservoir management in the naturally fractured reservoirs. To update the reservoir, ensemble based methods, especially ensemble Kalman filter and ensemble smoother, are used. To tackle the challenges encountered with these methods, modifications are proposed to obtain a better history matching and more accurate reservoir characterization. The proposed framework for history matching is implemented for the...
Adjoint Inverse Modeling of PM2.5 Emissions in Order to Improve Performance of Air Quality Models
, Ph.D. Dissertation Sharif University of Technology ; Hosseini, Vahid (Supervisor) ; Mozafari, Ali Asghar (Supervisor)
Abstract
In atmospheric studies, chemical transport models are formulated to simulate the spatial and temporal distribution of pollutant concentrations. However, the performance of these models is strongly dependent on the input parameters such as emissions. Inverse modeling is a widely used mathematical approach for estimating model parameters by minimizing the discrepancy between model output and observations. For air quality studies, inverse modeling is often used for emission inversion as emissions are associated with significant amount of uncertainties.This research aims to estimate optimal values for anthropogenic PM2.5 emission through a four-dimensional variational (4D-Var) inverse modeling...
A Probabilistic Framework for Water Budget Estimation Using Remotely Sensed Data
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Ataie Ashtiani, Behzad (Supervisor)
Abstract
Having information about the amount of water storage is essential to estimate the amount of water available for use in agriculture, industrial, etc. The purpose of this study is to propose a method for estimating the water budget in large-scale basins using remote sensing data. Using ground-based measurements to obtain water budget components is a challenging issue. This may be due to the limited access to in-site data in temporal and spatial resolution, especially in large scale basins. In recent years, with the increasing growth of satellite data, the application of remotely sensed data to estimate changes in water storage is increasing. In this study, due to the limitation of access to...
A stochastic well-test analysis on transient pressure data using iterative ensemble Kalman filter
, Article Neural Computing and Applications ; 2017 , Pages 1-17 ; 09410643 (ISSN) ; Adibifard, M ; Sharif University of Technology
Abstract
Accurate estimation of the reservoir parameters is crucial to predict the future reservoir behavior. Well testing is a dynamic method used to estimate the petro-physical reservoir parameters through imposing a rate disturbance at the wellhead and recording the pressure data in the wellbore. However, an accurate estimation of the reservoir parameters from well-test data is vulnerable to the noise at the recorded data, the non-uniqueness of the obtained match, and the accuracy of the optimization algorithm. Different stochastic optimization methods have been applied to this address problem in the literature. In this study, we apply the recently developed iterative ensemble Kalman filter in the...
Joint estimation of facies boundaries and petrophysical properties in multi-facies channelized reservoirs through ensemble-based Kalman filter and level set parametrization
, Article Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering ; Volume 167 , 2018 , Pages 752-773 ; 09204105 (ISSN) ; Pishvaie, M. R ; Boozarjomehry, R. B ; Sharif University of Technology
Elsevier B.V
2018
Abstract
Ensemble-based assimilation methods are the most promising tools for dynamic characterization of reservoir models. However, because of inherent assumption of Gaussianity, these methods are not directly applicable to channelized reservoirs wherein the distribution of petrophysical properties is multimodal. Transformation of facies field to level set functions have been proposed to alleviate the problem of multimodality. Level set representation ensures that the estimated fields are facies realizations as well as no modification of the assimilation method is required. Moreover, due to the complexity of the history matching problem in the channelized reservoirs, most researchers conventionally...
Lake Urmia crisis and restoration plan: Planning without appropriate data and model is gambling
, Article Journal of Hydrology ; Volume 576 , 2019 , Pages 639-651 ; 00221694 (ISSN) ; Ataie Ashtiani, B ; Sharif University of Technology
Elsevier B.V
2019
Abstract
Losing eight meters of water level over a 20-year period from 1996 to 2016 marked the Lake Urmia (LU) as one of the regional environmental crises. This condition has threatened biota life, intensified desertification around the lake, and raised social concerns by adversely impacting the inhabitants’ health and economy. In 2013, the Urmia Lake Restoration National Committee (ULRNC) started implementing certain management practices to stop the drying trend of LU, resulted in the cease of water level drop and stabilization of LU condition in 2016. Nevertheless, the restoration actions have not yet raised the lake to the water level as planned by the roadmap. This paper aims to describe and to...
A stochastic well-test analysis on transient pressure data using iterative ensemble Kalman filter
, Article Neural Computing and Applications ; Volume 31, Issue 8 , 2019 , Pages 3227-3243 ; 09410643 (ISSN) ; Adibifard, M ; Sharif University of Technology
Springer London
2019
Abstract
Accurate estimation of the reservoir parameters is crucial to predict the future reservoir behavior. Well testing is a dynamic method used to estimate the petro-physical reservoir parameters through imposing a rate disturbance at the wellhead and recording the pressure data in the wellbore. However, an accurate estimation of the reservoir parameters from well-test data is vulnerable to the noise at the recorded data, the non-uniqueness of the obtained match, and the accuracy of the optimization algorithm. Different stochastic optimization methods have been applied to this address problem in the literature. In this study, we apply the recently developed iterative ensemble Kalman filter in the...
Assessment of water storage changes using GRACE and GLDAS
, Article Water Resources Management ; Volume 34, Issue 2 , 2 January , 2020 , Pages 685-697 ; Sharif University of Technology
Springer
2020
Abstract
Water crisis is one of the main global risks that has different impacts on the society. This work uses available data and tools to track water storage changes in Iran, where lack of observations limits hydroclimatological studies and thus causes disasters. Data from Global Land Data Assimilation System (GLDAS) and Gravity Recovery and Climate Experiment (GRACE) are combined to analyze water storage changes (LWE) in Iran. GRACE signals indicate a large reduction of the water storage in North of Iran along the coast of the Caspian Sea (the largest global inland water body), where the water level has been oscillating significantly. In addition, results show the largest reduction of the water...
An improved Kalman filtering approach for the estimation of unsaturated flow parameters by assimilating photographic imaging data
, Article Journal of Hydrology ; Volume 590 , 2020 ; Belfort, B ; Lehmann, F ; Weill, S ; Ataie Ashtiani, B ; Fahs, M ; Sharif University of Technology
Elsevier B.V
2020
Abstract
As a non-invasive method, photographic imaging techniques offer some interesting potentials for characterization of soil moisture content in unsaturated porous media, enabling mapping at very fine resolutions in both space and time. Although less explored, the wealth of soil moisture data provided by photographic imaging is also appealing for the estimation of unsaturated soil hydraulic parameters through inverse modeling. However, imaging data have some unique characteristics, including high susceptibility to noise, which can negatively affect the parameter estimation process. In this study a sequential data assimilation approach is developed to simultaneously update soil moisture content...