Sharif Digital Repository

The primary objective of this research is to obtain an accurate forecasting model for the US presidential election. To identify a reliable model, artificial neural networks (ANN) and support vector regression (SVR) models are compared based on some specified performance measures. Moreover, six independent variables such as GDP, unemployment rate, the president’s approval rate, and others are considered in a stepwise regression to identify significant variables. The president’s approval rate is identified as the most significant variable, based on which eight other variables are identified and considered in the model development. Preprocessing methods are applied to prepare the data for the... 

This paper presents a multi-objective availability-redundancy allocation optimization model for a hyper-system. The hyper-system consists of B systems with shared resources. The structure of the systems is series-parallel subsystems consisting of multi-failure and multi-state components. The components may be purchased from different suppliers based on their price and discounts. It is assumed that technical and organizational activities continuously affect the components' failure rates and the subsystems' working conditions before starting the system's mission horizon. The model aims to find the optimal number and the type of the subsystems' components for all systems from each supplier and... 

This research addresses the location problem of congested facilities, assuming service interruptions and customer withdrawals. Service interruptions can occur as a result of events such as machine failures, power outages, and communication system disconnections. As long as no interruption occurs, each facility functions as a M/M/1 queuing system. Upon an interruption, the server stops working, and customers receiving service or waiting in line leave the queue before being served. Moreover, customers who visit the facility during the repair avoid entering the facility. The problem is first formulated as a mixed-integer nonlinear programming (MINLP) model, for which two piecewise mixed-integer... 

Blood transfusion services are vital components of healthcare systems all over the world. In this paper, a generalized network optimization model is developed for a complex blood supply chain in accordance with Iranian blood transfusion organization (IBTO) structure. This structure consist of four types facilities. Blood collection centers, blood collection and processing centers, mobile teams and blood transfusion center have various duties in IBTO structure. The major contribution is to develop a novel hybrid approach based on stochastic programming, ε-constraint and robust optimization (HSERO) to simultaneously model two types of uncertainties by including stochastic scenarios for total... 

Purpose: The purpose of this paper is to derive a closed-form expression for the steady-state availability of a cold standby repairable k-out-of-n system. This makes the availability calculation much easier and accurate. Design/methodology/approach: Assuming exponential distributions for system failure and repair, the Markov method is employed to derive the formula. Findings: The proposed formula establishes an easier and faster venue and provides accurate steady-state availability. Research limitations/implications: The formula is valid for the case when the probability density function of the component failure and the repair is exponential. Originality/value: The Markov method has never... 

Economic production and on-time ordering are among the most important topics related to production and inventory control issues. An economical production needs a comprehensive and precise planning to be implemented in all production stages. To have a controlled and comprehensive planning system, economic order quantity (EOQ) or economic production quantity (EPQ) models are usually used in various production-inventory environments to minimize costs, avoid delays in orders, and achieve high performance. To meet the demands, sometimes a multiperiod production-inventory planning that involves several products requires outsourcing. In this paper, a production-procurement plan that integrates EOQ... 

There are two main assumptions in multiperiodic inventory control problems. The first is the continuous review, where, depending on the inventory level, orders can happen at any time, and the other is the periodic review, where orders can only happen at the beginning of each period. In this paper, these assumptions are relaxed, and the periods between two replenishments are assumed independent and identically distributed random variables. Furthermore, the decision variables are assumed integer-type and that there are two kinds of space and budget constraints. The incremental discounts to purchase products are considered, and a combination of backorder and lost sales are taken into account... 

While the usual assumptions in multi-periodic inventory control problems are that the orders are placed at the beginning of each period (periodic review) or depending on the inventory level they can happen at any time (continuous review), in this article, we relax these assumptions and assume that the periods between two replenishments of the products are independent and identically distributed random variables. Furthermore, assuming that the purchasing price are triangular fuzzy variables, the quantities of the orders are of integer-type and that there are space and service level constraints, total discount are considered to purchase products and a combination of back-order and lost-sales... 

In this paper, a multiproduct single-machine production system under economic production quantity (EPQ) model is studied in which the existence of only one machine causes a limited production capacity for the common cycle length of all products, the production defective rates are random variables, shortages are allowed and take a combination of backorder and lost sale, and there is a service rate constraint for the company. The aim of this research is to determine the optimal production quantity, the allowable shortage level, and the period length of each product such that the expected total cost, including holding, shortage, production, setup and defective items costs, is minimized. The... 

Selling correlated products faces the sellers with the cross-selling, which is a key factor in managing revenue and costs of the sellers. Cross-selling is a phenomenon which happens when the demands of products are correlated so that the demand for one of the correlated products automatically initiates demand of another. In these cases, different selling tactics such as bundling, tying, mixed bundling, etc. are applied to sell the items. In this paper, an integrated pricing-inventory model for two complementary products under three selling strategies is developed. In the first model, it is assumed that the seller sells the products separately while those are packed and sold as bundling in... 

While in multi-periodic inventory control problems the usual assumption are that the orders are placed at the beginning of each period (periodic review) or depending on the inventory level they can happen at any time (continuous review), in this research, we relax these assumptions and assume that the periods between two replenishments of the products are independent and identically distributed random variables. Furthermore, assuming the purchasing price are triangular fuzzy variables, the quantities of the orders are of integer-type and that there are space, budget and service level constraints, incremental discount is considered to purchase products and a combination of back-order and... 

In today's competitive supply chains, providing products which can stimulate the customer's demand and enhance the revenues of companies is an important objective. Therefore, three stimulating factors, including the carbon emission reduction, return policy and quality improvement efforts are taken into consideration in a supply chain (SC). In line with reducing carbon emission, two possibilities in the forward flow, including the technologies investment and the trade and cap are employed. In the reverse flow, hybrid remanufacturing of the imperfect quality products under technology license is investigated. The impacts of collecting-remanufacturing processes on carbon reduction, quality... 

Increasing rates of environmental and social concerns involved in various communities have recently attracted researchers’ attention to consider them in proper designs of sustainable supply chains (SSCs). In this paper, the planning problem of a multi-period multi-echelon sustainable closed loop supply chain (SCLSC) is investigated. A comprehensive model that seriously takes into account the social and environmental aspects of the supply chain (SC) decisions and measures their social and environmental effects using the GRI (Global Reporting Initiative) guideline indicators is proposed. The proposed planning model includes tactical decisions comprising the price of the product and logistic... 

Selling correlated products faces the sellers with the cross-selling, which is a key factor in managing revenue and costs of the sellers. Cross-selling is a phenomenon which happens when the demands of products are correlated so that the demand for one of the correlated products automatically initiates demand of another. In these cases, different selling tactics such as bundling, tying, mixed bundling, etc. are applied to sell the items. In this paper, an integrated pricing-inventory model for two complementary products under three selling strategies is developed. In the first model, it is assumed that the seller sells the products separately while those are packed and sold as bundling in... 

In this paper, an Economic Production Quantity (EPQ) model is studied, in which the production defective-rate follows either a uniform or a normal probability distribution. Shortages are allowed and take a backorder state, and the existence of only one machine causes a limited production capacity for the common cycle length of all products. The aim of this research is to determine the optimal production quantity of each product, such that the expected total cost including holding, shortage, production, setup and defective items cost is minimized. The mathematical model of the problem is derived, for which the objective function is proved to be convex. Then, a derivative approach is utilized... 

Inspired by an upward stochastic walking idea, a new ensemble pruning method called simulated quenching walking (SQWALKING) is developed in this paper. The rationale behind this method is to give values to stochastic movements as well as to accept unvalued solutions during the investigation of search spaces. SQWALKING incorporates simulated quenching and forward selection methods to choose the models through the ensemble using probabilistic steps. Two versions of SQWALKING are introduced based on two different evaluation measures; SQWALKINGA that is based on an accuracy measure and SQWALKINGH that is based on a human-like foresight measure. The main objective is to construct a proper... 

Simulation models often include a large number of input factors, many of them may be unimportant to the output; justifying the use of factor screening experiments to eliminate unimportant input factors from consideration in later stages of analysis. With a large number of factors, the challenge is designing experiments so that total number of runs and consequently the required time and cost decrease while achieving a satisfactory detection rate. This article employs frequency domain method (FDM) which is applicable in discrete-event simulation models to propose a new statistic defined as the ratio of estimated signal spectrum to maximum estimated noise spectrum. The proposed method not only... 

In order to develop a more realistic resource-constrained project-scheduling model that is applicable to real-world projects, in this paper, the resource investment problem with discounted cash flows and generalized precedence relations is investigated under inflation factor such that a bonus-penalty structure at the deadline of the project is imposed to force the project not to be finished beyond the deadline. The goal is to find activity schedules and resource requirement levels that maximize the net present value of the project cash flows. The problem is first mathematically modeled. Then, a genetic algorithm (GA) is designed using a new three-stage process that utilizes design of... 

The present paper introduces a novel two-part self-adaptive technique in designing the genetic algorithm for project scheduling problems. One part of the algorithm includes a self-adaptive mechanism for genetic operators like crossover and mutation. The second part contains another self-adaptive mechanism for genetic parameters such as crossover probability. The parts come in turn repeatedly within a loop feeding each other with the information regarding the performance of operators or parameters. The capability of the method is tested and confirmed in comparison to metaheuristic and exact algorithms based on well-known benchmarks  

Most of the research works conducted on Project Scheduling Problem (PSP) especially Resource Constrain Project Scheduling Problem (RCPSP) either ignore equipment planning or schedule the activities first, and then plan for the required equipment. Moreover, little works that consider simultaneous PSP and Equipment Planning (EP) are based on the assumption that the equipment is continuously available. However, in reality, equipment is subject to either random breakdowns or deterministic maintenance programs that make it not being available all the time. In this paper, the PSP and EP problems are simultaneously considered in closer to reality situations in which the equipment is not always...