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Economic Analysis of Energy Supply Security based on Energy Security Indices
, Ph.D. Dissertation Sharif University of Technology ; Maleki, Abbas (Supervisor)
Abstract
As a problem, generally, energy security components do not interfere with the calculation of the optimal energy supply situation. In this paper, we are looking to find a solution to make a framework of the impact of energy security on energy supply in order to obtain comprehensive analysis of the economic optimal point. Method is based on the competition of energy costs to meet demand during the study period. Threats that have been addressed in the energy security are seen as risky and stochastic parameters in the model. The nature of these parameters is of uncertainty type, therefore, based on the probable scenarios of the stochastic model, the perspective of the energy supply system is...
Interactive Consequences between Oil Markets and Behavior of Sanctioner and Sanctioned Countries: Case of Iran
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Maleki, Abbas (Supervisor)
Abstract
Sanctions are one of the most important variables influencing Iran's domestic and international decision-making and have had many effects on Iran's economy and politics in recent years. Iran's ability to influence the oil market and harm the interests of the sanctioning countries in this market raises the question of whether such a capability could affect the outcome of sanctions and lead to the withdrawal of those sanctioning countries. A theoretical examination of the issue of sanctions using game theory shows that if the sanctioned country is not able to retaliate in areas other than the disputed issue, the sanctions game may not reach an equilibrium in which the sanctions are lifted but...
Assessing the Capacity of the Renewables as the Industrial Driving Force Rather than the Energy Provider, Case Study: Feasibility Study of Wind Turbine Manufacturing in Iran
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Maleki, Abbas (Supervisor)
Abstract
Facing the two challenges of the recession and rising requirement to reduce carbon emissions have led countries around the world to look for ways to promote economic productivity and reduce greenhouse gas emissions. In the meantime, the appearance of renewable energies has the potential to grow and diversify the economy, in addition to providing an effective solution to meet the growing demand for energy. The impact of development of the renewables industry on the economy for each country and each type of renewables can be examined separately. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the development role of wind energy industry as the motive engine of industry and specifically answer two...
Evaluation of Location and Optimization of Capacity of On-grid Photovoltaic Power Plant Regarding Power Systems Static Security
,
M.Sc. Thesis
Sharif University of Technology
;
Maleki, Abbas
(Supervisor)
;
Parniani, Mostafa
(Supervisor)
Abstract
Static security of the power grid means the ability of the power system to withstand against unwanted events, in such a way that it remains in its safe state and operates within the acceptable range of its operation. Considering the importance of renewable energies and the increasing need for the presence of renewable sources of electrical energy production, this research investigates the location and the optimal capacity of grid-connected photovoltaic(PV) power plants as the most important renewable source of electric energy production, with emphasis on preserving static security of the System. PV power plants are considered to have a high penetration rate in the network, and the static...
Study of Caspian Energy Markets with Respect the Energy Demand Security of Caspian Countries
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Maleki, Abbas (Supervisor)
Abstract
The promotion of oil and gas industry of a country or region requires foreign and long-term investments. Ensuring the security of demand is one of the major driving forces for increasing investments in oil and gas sectors.The status of the Caspian markets in terms of energy demand security is the main issue in this study. Just like security of supply, security of energy demand will not be affected by economic logic alone, but the combination of various factors should be considered; So in this study Combined criteria was developed.According to the horizons of policy making for the energy export of Caspian, 2015 year as the recent past, 2020 as the medium-term and 2030 as the long-term have...
Future Studies of Sustainability Indicators of Iranian Supply Energy System
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Maleki, Abbas (Supervisor)
Abstract
According to current trend of energy production and consumption in the world, economic problems in various countries and too many eco-system disorders in which created by an unsustainable trend in development, recently, the concept of “sustainability” and in the following “sustainable development” has been featured by scientists, researchers and policy makers in different scientific disciplines specially energy system engineering. Therefore exact recognition of unsustainability of local and global energy supply and demand system is very essential. In this research after selection of five energy indicators for sustainable development by Delphi and MCDM methods, future perspective of Iranian...
Cost-Benefit analysis of Iran-Europe Natural gas pipeline in the field of Economics, Environment and Energy Security
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Maleki, Abbas (Supervisor)
Abstract
The intermediary between Consumer and market of Natural gas is long transportation pipeline. Analysis of different dimension is a prerequisite for constructing these infrastructures. This study has been done in the fields of economics, environment and energy security. The proposed pipeline, which is called Islamic pipeline, passes through different countries, Iraq, Syria, Greece and Italy. It carries natural gas and feeds Europe gas requirements, also passes the Mediterranean Sea, which includes underwater pipe-laying technology that has been considered. Economic analysis of this project calculated, using Cost-Benefit analysis. Environmental issues has been identified and classified,...
Hydrogen Development Strategies for the Future of Iran's Energy Systems
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Maleki, Abbas (Supervisor)
Abstract
Many pieces of evidence of climate change show that humanity should be concerned about the future of its life and the planet. The concentration of carbon dioxide in the atmosphere has reached its highest level. Therefore, in recent years, the reduction of publications and climate issues has been on the agenda of governments. For this reason, governments and various international organizations are looking for a way to change and reform the global energy system. Forecasts indicate a decrease in the share of fossil fuels and an increase in the percentage of renewable energies and hydrogen. Hydrogen has been introduced as the future fuel carrier due to its many advantages such as the...
Iran’s Economic Strategies to Participate Japan’s LNG Market by Using Game Theory
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Maleki, Abbas (Supervisor)
Abstract
Iran has the second largest gas reserves in the world with huge gas reserves about 32 trillion cubic meters. The expansion of gas exports in recent decades has been accompanied by liquefied natural gas exports, with the LNG industry growing rapidly due to the inability to export gas via pipeline to distant markets. The expansion of the LNG industry around the world, there have been various markets for this product that the Southeast Asian market being the largest market for this product and Japan is the largest importer in this sector.Specific mechanisms of the Japanese market, which have separated it from the rest of the LNG importing countries, are the extension of long-term contracts for...
Qualitative Comparative Analysis of Policies for Fuel Subsidies Reforming in Selected Countries: Recommendations for Iran
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Maleki, Abbas (Supervisor)
Abstract
Energy subsidies are one of the most challenging issues for many countries in the world, specially oil and gas exporting countries. Iran is one of the countries that has lost more than ten percent of its GDP due to energy subsidies in recent years. In this thesis, we are going to analyze experiences of different countries and try to provide policy makers with generalizations about this problem so they can implement reform policies more successfully. We have used Qualitative Comparative Analysis (QCA) methodology. This method can provide modest generalizations by using systematic cross-case comparison between a small number of cases. Details of this method and reasons behind choosing it are...
The Role of Regulation, Its Optimal Model in the Field of Pricing, Food Policies, and Petroleum Products in Iran
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Maleki, Abbas (Supervisor)
Abstract
Undoubtedly, energy is one of the most important components of progress in any country. Despite some existing imagery about the future of human access to new and non-renewable energy sources, it is now safe to say that energy is a limited resource that is becoming increasingly difficult to access over time. Utilizing the experiences of developed countries in the field of optimal management and advancing strategic goals in the field of energy is one of the necessities of the country today. In this dissertation, using the meta-combined method, the experiences of the United States of America, China, Saudi Arabia, Norway, Singapore and India as countries that each have one of the advantages in...
Investigation of the Feasibility and the Model of Energy-based Interactions between Iran and Iraq
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Maleki, Abbas (Supervisor)
Abstract
In this project Iran and Iraq energy relation is investigate. Considering the Importance and the capacity of Iran and Iraq in world and Middle East energy and the geopolitics of these two countries, a good economic relationship between them, especially in energy domain, can highly improve their sustainable relations. In this research the Agent Based Modeling is used for studying Iran and Iraq relationship. In Agent Based Modeling the overall system behavior is made up of individual agents’ behavior. In this modeling, the agents decide based on their own behavioral rules and also their status. In this study Iran and Iraq are modelled as two agents. The state of the two countries in energy,...
Good Governance Structure for Securing the Supply of Oil Products at Iran's Transportation Sector
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Maleki, Abbas (Supervisor)
Abstract
The oil refining industry, as the first oil supply chain, is of great importance. By examining the issue of the Iranian Oil Refining Industry, using the game theory, one can find an accurate analysis of the barriers to the development of this industry. For this purpose, the main factors affecting the oil refining industry, the government and the refinery's owner, are modeled and their benefits are considered. By examining the relationship between these actors and their actions, the following strategies are proposed to improve the administration and regulate the Iranian oil refining industry:
1- Refining feed prices, according to the quality of crude oil (sulfur content and API...
1- Refining feed prices, according to the quality of crude oil (sulfur content and API...
Investigation of Economic Incentives for Reducing Energy Intensity in Industrial Sector
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Maleki, Abbas (Supervisor)
Abstract
The trend of increasing energy intensity in the country, despite awareness of the officials and managers of the need to take action to improve it, is ongoing. Various studies conducted worldwide to improve the productivity of energy. These studies suggest ways for improving energy intensity; suggestions that will never be implemented, because of lack of utility consideration of actors. In this research, in search for energy intensity reduction barriers in the industrial sector of the country, a game theoretical approach has been applied. In this study’s modeling, energy consuming firms as an actor, compete with each other and the government as an important actor in the implementation or...
Optimal Electricity Energy Supply and Demand System for Iran to Meet Emissions Pledge Under the Paris Climate Accord
, Ph.D. Dissertation Sharif University of Technology ; Maleki, Abbas (Supervisor)
Abstract
In this thesis, an optimum structure of electricity supply system will be presented that consumer and producer interests are provided in order to reducing greenhouse emissions in achieving targets Paris Accord. So, at first, subsidy of fossil and renewable power plants were determined with considering Iran’s energy rules and applying variables such as efficiency, FOB price of oil and natural gas, inflation rate, energy conversion price and FIT in renewable power plants. At second, electricity price will be estimated by System Dynamics (SD) method and Pay as bid pricing mechanism in energy market on years between at 2018 to 2030 (time period of Paris Accord). Based on the subsidy of fossil...
Evaluation of Methanol Value Chain
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Maleki, Abbas (Supervisor) ; Hosseini, Ali (Supervisor)
Abstract
In this research, a general model is proposed aiming at establishment of optimized application of Methane gas with maximum added value. That is, maximum added value of methane for different applications of methane including consumption as fuel, export and injection-to-wells are calculated and compared. Accordingly, results of this study are used for decision making regarding Iran’s most important gas reservoirs. In this study, maximum present net value of investment concerning comparison of petrochemical industry input and export to a number of selected countries in addition to injection in 20 years is calculated based on a specific discount rate. It is noteworthy that the scope of this...
Institutional Analysis on Impediments over Fuel Consumption Reduction at Iran's Transportation Niches
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Maleki, Abbas (Supervisor)
Abstract
The transportation sector is the largest oil consumer sector in the world. Iran is no exception to this, and the transportation sector, especially road transport, has a large share of oil and energy consumption in Iran. Diesel supply security in The road transport system has been implemented but it has not been properly managed for gasoline, as the country has been an importer of gasoline for many years and large cities suffering the pollution caused by light duty vehicles. Analyze the transportion of light duty vehicle by the game theory method can detect the barriers to reducing fuel consumption. For this purpose, the main Actors affecting the transport of light duty vehicles - people,...
Impacts Analysis of Discriminatory Pricing Policies Implementation in the Framework of Iran’s Subsidies Targeting law
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Maleki, Abbas (Supervisor)
Abstract
The subsidies targeting law was ratified on October 23, 2009. At mentioned law appointed that the government redistributes up to 50% of earned revenues from price reforming of energy carriers to households by cash and non-cash payments and 30% of earned revenues to the production sector. But reports studies indicate that from 2010 to 2016, the government allocated 93.4% of the revenues to households in cash and non-cash and only 0.7% to the production sector. It can, therefore, be concluded that the subsidies targeting law has not been properly implemented. Indeed, the government has not only failed to fully reform energy carriers prices, but also has increased the households’ share of...
Feasibility Study of Blockchain Policy on Oil and Gas Industries
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Maleki, Abbas (Supervisor)
Abstract
The Oil and gas industry is one of the most important industries in the world. It has great role in Iran’s economy also. Regarding complexities of new companies, there is room for more cooperation and coordination within the industry and with other actors. Oil and gas niches have close interdependency with financial sector. The new encrypted currencies play great role in new financial models. Blockchain technology can help the oil and gas industry by using its appropriate features. Blockchain is a system of recording information in a way that makes it difficult or impossible to change, hack, or cheat the system. The supply chain of oil and gas industry in Iran includes upstream, midstream...
Cost-Benefit Analysis of Greenhouse Gases Emissions Reduction in Iran’s Power Sector for Implementing the Intended Nationally Determined Contribution Under the Paris Agreement
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Maleki, Abbas (Supervisor)
Abstract
The Cost/Benefit Analysis (CBA) is considered to be among the chief and most widely used analytical tools in the realm of public policy and particularly environmental and climatic planning. The National Strategic Plan on Climate Change—a.k.a., Intended Nationally Determined Contribution (INDC) of Iran—under the Paris Agreement (PA) accommodates sets of measures to be undertaken in various sectors of the country, including energy and specifically the power generation sub-sector, so as to reduce the emission of greenhouse gases (GHGs). This study begins with a regression analysis of historical data to identify current trends of fossil fuels consumption, wherefrom the emission level of relevant...