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    Effect of Sanctions in Iran's 2013-2014 Recession: A Business Cycle Accounting Approach

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Karimi Rad, Ali (Author) ; Madanizadeh, Ali (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    We extend the work of Chari et al. (2007) to Iran’s economy institutions and introduce two additional wedges—the trade wedge and the oil wedge. The measured trade wedge value is regressed on nominal exchange rate, and thus we decompose the measured trade wedge into two components. One component represents the effect of nominal exchange rate on trade barriers and the other is representative of the effect of international sanctions in trade barriers. Then we evaluate the contribution of these two components of the trade wedge to the macroeconomic fluctuations in Iran from 2012 to 2014. Our results suggest that the trade wedge is crucial to account for the behavior of imported intermediate... 

    Analysis of the Effect of Economic Variables on Effectiveness of Mobile Sources Air Pollutants Emission Control Policies: in the Case of Tehran

    , Ph.D. Dissertation Sharif University of Technology Hassani, Amin (Author) ; Maleki, Abbas (Supervisor) ; Hosseini, Vahid (Co-Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Passenger cars (PCs) are of particular importance among mobile air pollutants emissions sources due to their population and significant share in air pollutants emissions and gasoline consumption. Moreover, ownership and use intensity of PCs are affected by socio-economic situation. The present study projects the future trends of air pollutants emissions and fuel consumption from PCs in Tehran by 1415 and assesses the effect of economic situation on the emission trends and effectiveness of emission reduction polices. Accordingly, the present study develops an interdisciplinary modeling framework, which combines econometric models with a bottom-up emission estimation model to simulate the... 

    Investigating the Effect of Sanctions on Iranian Economy Using System Dynamics Approach

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Samad Motlagh, Sajjad (Author) ; Kianfar, Farhad (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Developing and progressing excavation technology, and distillation and petroleum technology as fuel cause chemical and hydrocarbonic materials have been given an important role in human life. Having petroleum expanded, its effect in countries’ economics has been highlighted and found a substantial role in countries’ development. Iran, considering 11% extractable petroleum reserves which is equivalent to 138 billion barrel, is known as an oil rich country. The petroleum has an eminent role in country’s economics and is the main country’s income source and the most important exports. With regard to the high technology needed for petroleum exploration and purification, Iran requires foreign... 

    The Impact of International Sanctions on the Stock Market of Iran, Using Automated Content Analysis Methods

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Mahmoudi Meymand, Mohammad (Author) ; Barakchian, Mahdi (Supervisor) ; Ebrahimnejad, Ali (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    In this study, we provide a detailed analysis of the Iranian stock market, in particular, the impacts of the recent sanctions imposed on this country. We develop a novel economics concept, sanction-index, to measure the effect of sanctions on the Iranian stock market. We utilize a set of principled approach on news analysis and automated content analysis methods and construct an extensive dataset using over a decade of World Economics newspaper, from 2009 to2019. This newsletter is a highly celebrated and most influential newspaper in the Iranian stock market society. Employing this dataset, we search over sanctions-related keywords to identify sanctions-related articles from the set of all... 

    Interactive Consequences between Oil Markets and Behavior of Sanctioner and Sanctioned Countries: Case of Iran

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Karimi, Mohammad Sadegh (Author) ; Maleki, Abbas (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Sanctions are one of the most important variables influencing Iran's domestic and international decision-making and have had many effects on Iran's economy and politics in recent years. Iran's ability to influence the oil market and harm the interests of the sanctioning countries in this market raises the question of whether such a capability could affect the outcome of sanctions and lead to the withdrawal of those sanctioning countries. A theoretical examination of the issue of sanctions using game theory shows that if the sanctioned country is not able to retaliate in areas other than the disputed issue, the sanctions game may not reach an equilibrium in which the sanctions are lifted but... 

    Simulation of the Price Cycles of Steel in Iran & Analysis of the Effects of Foreign Policies Using System Dynamics

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Farzamfar, Arshia (Author) ; Bahramgiri, Mohsen (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Price cycles of metals have always been a major factor in making decisions for those actively participating in the market, among which steel, due to its nature and influence on economy and society, is of utmost importance. Therefore, the study and analysis of the steel market and understanding the contributing factors on price and potential policies affecting decisions are imperative.In this research, a model based on demand, supply, and other contributing factors on price has been developed in order to help with the analysis of price cycles and the effects of different policies as well as outside factors such as foreign policy effects. In order to do so, the literature of the topic both on... 

    The International Sanctions’ Impact on Lending Behaviour of Iranian Banks

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Ekbatani, Sepehr (Author) ; Rahmati, Mohammad Hossein (Supervisor) ; Madanizadeh, Ali (Co-Advisor)
    Abstract
    In this study, the impact of imposed financial sanctions on Iranian banks is being estimated using micro-level data. Using a panel regression while controlling on some variables and other shocks, we find a decline in both level and slope of granted loans by sanctioned banks. Moreover, we examine the varying characteristics of banks and how they respond to sanctions. Granted loans by big banks are found to decline drastically
    and from the prospective of ownership, private banks are also more vulnerable toward sanctions. At last, we seek for balance sheet channels for sanction transmission, and in almost every case the existence of such channel is supported which means, the impact of... 

    Technology planning system for the Iranian petroleum industry: lessons learned from sanctions

    , Article Technological Forecasting and Social Change ; Volume 122 , 2017 , Pages 170-178 ; 00401625 (ISSN) Hoshdar, F ; Ghazinoory, S ; Arasti, M ; Fassihi, S. F ; Sharif University of Technology
    Abstract
    Iran's petroleum industry is facing challenges including maturity of hydrocarbon fields, growing population of the nation that demands additional revenues from petroleum exports, and international economic sanctions that have limited access to technology sources. Restrictions from international technology providers have led managers of the industry enterprises to try to develop their needed technologies inside the country. The Ministry of Petroleum has supervised this and as a result, a technology planning systems has been developed and implemented since 2009. In this paper, an overview of the Iranian petroleum industry is provided from a technology planning perspective. The focus has been... 

    How the possibility of a fight-back strategy affects the consequences of a sanctions regime

    , Article Journal of International Studies ; Volume 13, Issue 3 , 2020 , Pages 264-279 Karimi, M. S ; Maleki, A ; Yazdi, A. H ; Sharif University of Technology
    Centre of Sociological Research  2020
    Abstract
    Sanctions imposed by a country against another country are considered as a foreign policy tool. Many studies have investigated different aspects of sanctions including the efficacy of sanctions to alter the target country’s behaviour. However, the effects of a potential fight-back strategy adopted by a target country have been discussed rarely. In this paper, the outcomes of a possible fight-back strategy are simulated using game theoretical analysis. To find the matching state of game theory and sanction regimes, we have conducted a critical and systematic review of 12 sanctions, from 1950 to 2012. The results show that the capability of a target country to implement fight-back strategies... 

    Energy supply transformation pathways in Iran to reduce GHG emissions in line with the Paris Agreement

    , Article Energy Strategy Reviews ; Volume 32 , 2020 Ghadaksaz, H ; Saboohi, Y ; Sharif University of Technology
    Elsevier Ltd  2020
    Abstract
    Extensive dependence of the national economy on wasteful fossil fuel use as well as limited access to the international financial markets and the best available techniques over the strict economic sanctions period have hindered Iran from developing a sustainable energy system. By considering the reversal order, the present study investigated the least-cost options for improving energy efficiency and reducing GHG emissions in the energy supply sector. The essential purpose of this research work is to increase the evidence base necessary to inform policy and strategy discussions within Iran and related communities concerning the choice of GHG emissions reduction. Applying ARDL approach to... 

    Business cycle accounting of trade barriers in a small open economy

    , Article Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance ; 2018 ; 10629769 (ISSN) Madanizadeh, S. A ; Karimirad, A ; Rahmati, M. H ; Sharif University of Technology
    Elsevier B.V  2018
    Abstract
    To what extent can a short-term decline in the output of a small open economy be explained by trade barriers? To answer this, we extend the Business Cycle Accounting method of Chari et al. (2007) to a small open economy model. We include an additional time-varying wedge to model financial trade frictions caused by barriers on imports. International sanctions on Iran provide an empirical opportunity to apply this method to data on Iran's recession in 2012-13. The results indicate that efficiency and investment wedges account for most of the fluctuations in aggregate variables during the sanctions, and trade barriers had little contemporaneous explanatory power. The effect of oil boycotts... 

    Business cycle accounting of trade barriers in a small open economy

    , Article Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance ; Volume 71 , 2019 , Pages 67-78 ; 10629769 (ISSN) Madanizadeh, S. A ; Karimirad, A ; Rahmati, M. H ; Sharif University of Technology
    Elsevier B.V  2019
    Abstract
    To what extent can a short-term decline in the output of a small open economy be explained by trade barriers? To answer this, we extend the Business Cycle Accounting method of Chari et al. (2007) to a small open economy model. We include an additional time-varying wedge to model financial trade frictions caused by barriers on imports. International sanctions on Iran provide an empirical opportunity to apply this method to data on Iran's recession in 2012-13. The results indicate that efficiency and investment wedges account for most of the fluctuations in aggregate variables during the sanctions, and trade barriers had little contemporaneous explanatory power. The effect of oil boycotts...