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    Value-at-Risk Forecasts in GCC Stock Markets Under Oil Shocks

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Gharaati, Shahabeddin (Author) ; Zamani, Shiva (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    This thesis has two section. In the first section, this thesis studies the dynamic behavior of daily oil prices and finds strong evidence of GARCH as well as conditional jump behavior. This implies that conditional heter oscedasticity is present and the empirical distribution of oil price changes has heavy tails. Thus, the oil price consider ably sensitive to news and does not settle around along-run trend.In the second section This thesis investigates the out-of-sample value-at-risk (VaR) forecasts in gulf cooperation council stock markets by considering both oil volatilities and the developed GARCH model construction. The em-pirical results indicate that the Oil GARCH model with... 

    The effect of temperature and impeller speed on mechanically Induced Gas Flotation (IGF) performance in separation of Oil from oilfield-produced water

    , Article Petroleum Science and Technology ; Volume 28, Issue 14 , 2010 , Pages 1415-1426 ; 10916466 (ISSN) Mastouri, R ; Borghei, S. M ; Nadim, F ; Roayaei, E ; Sharif University of Technology
    2010
    Abstract
    The effect of temperature and impeller speed on the performance of induced gas flotation (IGF) systems for the removal of oil from produced water in different ranges (5-300 g/L) of total dissolved solids (TDS) was investigated in a pilot plant study. Furthermore, it was evaluated whether the IGF pilot plant effluent could reach the 15 mg/L outlet oil content as required by Article VI of the Kuwait Convention for Persian Gulf region, before being discharged to the sea. The results showed that oil removal efficiencies up to 90% could be reached at high temperature (80°C) in just one single flotation cell without adding any chemicals. Flotation unit, however, should be followed by at least one... 

    Assessment of Existing Offshore Platforms for In-Place Conditions

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Bassamzadeh, Nastaran Sadat (Author) ; Golafshani, Ali Akbar (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Assessment of existing jacket type offshore platforms in Persian Gulf for life extension is of great importance in the field of offshore platforms in recent years. The main question to answer is whether an existing platform is safe enough to be used beyond the design life. Evaluation of existing jacket type offshore platforms under extreme environmental (wave) loading in Persian Gulf is a part of this major assessment. Two general approaches exist in this context, deterministic and probabilistic assessment. In this thesis, a new probabilistic method (reliability analysis) to assess offshore structures under environmental loading (extreme wave) is introduced. This method is a... 

    The Effect of Sea Current on an Artificial Island

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Mohammadpour, Maryam (Author) ; Abbaspour Tehrani Fard, Majid (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    With regards to rapid growth of world population, coastlines have limited natural resources and capacity for human settlement. To tackle the problem the idea of constructing artificial islands could be a solution. Since the artificial islands are semi-enclosed body of water designed to attract not only tourists but also settlements, the flow current pattern and residence time of water should be studied in detail in order to ensure adequate water quality in the surrounding area. In this study, an artificial island is planned to be constructed around Kish Island in Persia Gulf. In this article the effects of different geometries on circulation and residence time of water are investigated... 

    Environmental policy-making for persian gulf oil pollution: a future study based on system dynamics modeling

    , Article Energy Sources, Part B: Economics, Planning and Policy ; Volume 12, Issue 1 , 2017 , Pages 17-23 ; 15567249 (ISSN) Khajehpour, H ; Ahmady, M. A ; Hosseini, S. A ; Mashayekhi, A. N ; Maleki, A ; Sharif University of Technology
    Abstract
    Environmental degradation due to economic activities is a key challenge facing sustainable development. The fossil fuel production sector is a very polluting industry. In this research, the future trends of pollution accumulation in the region due to direct/indirect oily discharge into the semi-enclosed area of the Persian Gulf are studied. The purpose of the study was not only to alert policy-makers about potential future threats in the region but also to conduct a trial to develop potential solutions to these problems. Four different environmental cases were studied via the principle of system dynamic modeling simulation. The cases consisted of three situations: relaxed, simple policy, and... 

    Inverse vibration technique for structural health monitoring of offshore jacket platforms

    , Article Applied Ocean Research ; Volume 62 , 2017 , Pages 181-198 ; 01411187 (ISSN) Haeri, M. H ; Lotfi, A ; Dolatshahi, K. M ; Golafshani, A. A ; Sharif University of Technology
    Elsevier Ltd  2017
    Abstract
    In this paper a new approach is introduced for structural health monitoring of offshore jacket platforms. The procedure uses the measured ambient vibration responses and the corresponding readable natural frequencies and mode shapes of the structural system. Since offshore platforms are composed of heavy topsides supported by jacket structures, participation of the first mode is dominant in each direction in the response of the structure under field excitations. Moreover, ambient vibrations such as wave loads and boat impacts only excite the first modes of the structure. Therefore, it is difficult to find higher modes and the pertinent frequencies by use of accelerometers data. The... 

    Effect of Trade Structure Similarity on Business Cycle Synchronization

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Hosseini, Atefeh (Author) ; Barakchian, Mahdi (Supervisor) ; Madanizadeh, Ali (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    The determinants of business cycles and how to deal with them are amongst the most important issues in macroeconomics. Using the annual data between 1980 to 2012, available for six oil producing members of Gulf cooperation council, we draw a connection between trade structure and business cycle synchronization. In fact, we try to answer whether the same trade structure in these countries with very similar characteristics has led to synchronized booms and recessions among them. Assuming cross correlation, different estimation methods, including common correlated effects, confirm the positive significant effect of trades tructure on business... 

    Assessment of Existing Jaket-Type Offshore Platforms in the Persian Gulf Region for Service Life Extension or Operative Conditions

    , Ph.D. Dissertation Sharif University of Technology Ebrahimian, Hossein (Author) ; Golafshani, Ali Akbar (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Assessment of existing jacket-type offshore platforms in Persian Gulf for life extension or operative conditions is a major concern for oil offshore companies in recent years. Significant damage to offshore platforms as well as their contents will induce significant losses such as financial losses, fatalities and casualties. On the other hand, extreme waves or earthquakes are low-probability, large-consequence and large-uncertainty hazards that can affect these critical facilities; therefore, the assessment of existing offshore platforms subjected to each of these sources can be successfully carried out by a probabilistic approach. In this dissertation, a unique probabilistic... 

    FEMA approaches in seismic assessment of jacket platforms (case study: Ressalat jacket of Persian gulf)

    , Article Journal of Constructional Steel Research ; Volume 65, Issue 10-11 , 2009 , Pages 1979-1986 ; 0143974X (ISSN) Golafshani, A. A ; Tabeshpour, M. R ; Komachi, Y ; Sharif University of Technology
    2009
    Abstract
    The assessment of existing platforms under past environmental (wave, wind, current and etc.) loads and probable future loads (earthquake) is a relatively new process and has not yet been standardized as the design has. This lack of standardization creates some difficulty in establishing performance requirements which must be developed depending upon the risks (i.e., hazards, exposures and consequences) associated with the future operation of the platform. The present criteria of the offshore structure standards for seismic assessment can be improved using Building prestandards. Recently some documents such as FEMA-356 and ATC-40 are developed for seismic assessment of buildings. However... 

    Corrosion Resistance of Steel Reinforcement in Concrete Using Cellulose and Carbon Fiber Materials in Persian Gulf Water

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Gharaei, Pedram (Author) ; Zabihollah, Abolghasem (Supervisor) ; Shams, Mohammad Reza (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Corrosion study of the reinforced concrete is one of the most commonly investigation for the construction in civil engineering. The corrosion of embedded steel for the structures in the marine area like the Persian Gulf Sea Water needed considerable attentions. Presence of chlorides and decrease of pH in pores reinforcement depth of concrete is a serious problem. Research the corrosion rate in reinforced concrete system using fibers with a rebar is investigated. Cellulose and Carbon fiber materials are used as inhibitors. The addition of small quantities of these materials into the concrete mixture, will change the concrete permeability and the corrosion resistance rate. Tests demonstrate... 

    Reviewing the Current Situation of Kish Coral and Estimation of Damage Amount by Them (A Case study on Kish Island)

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Joshaghani, Mina (Author) ; Gholami, Mohammad Reza (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Coral reef waters are called rainforest. The importance of coral reef waters is related to their diversity and millions species. According to incremental development of Kish Island, specially the west part of this island contributed to Tourism industry which is affected by dredging, sediment discharge in coastal area, constructing waterfront, the flows close to the beach due to breakwater and eutrophication. This Island includes marine resources and many biodiversity .So the management of marine environment is needed to be considered. Iran as a rich country due to coral reefs is considered as a most valuable marine environment in Persian Gulf. The process of polluting Persian Gulf is... 

    Cathodic Protection of Concrete by Zinc Sacrificial Anode in Persian Gulf Sea Water

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Cheraghali, Behrouz (Author) ; Dolati, Abolghasem (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Many of the major structure over coastal waters in the Kish Island due to the aggressive condition are showing signs of reinforcement corrosion. Recent advances in the development of anodes make it practical to use zinc galvanic cathodic protection to protect this structure in this area. Five anode systems were tested on several samples as, (1) zinc metal spray applied by arc-spraying on the concrete, (2) a zinc foil with conductive adhesive backing, (3) a system of zinc mesh and grout jacket, (4) a system of zinc mesh and compression panels, and (5) a bulk zinc. These anodes are set up to comparison the effects of potential and current over the zinc galvanic cathodic protection during 4... 

    A Fuzzy Multi-Criteria Approach to Sustainable Development Case Study of Hendurabi Island in Iran

    , Ph.D. Dissertation Sharif University of Technology Mounesan, Ali Asghar (Author) ; Abrishamchi, Ahmad (Supervisor) ; Maknoon, Reza (Co-Supervisor)
    Abstract
    The main objective of this research is to provide a framework by which decision-makers can evaluate and compare alternatives for sustainable development planning under uncertain dynamic future considering the risk and uncertainty associated with human judgment as well as the uncertain future. This approach combines the Delphi method, fuzzy set theory, and a discrete multi-criteria method based on prospect theory (TODIM). TODIM (an acronym in Portuguese for iterative MCDM) method is a particular multi-criteria approach based on the prospect theory. A qualitative Delphi technique is used to identify a set of qualitative sustainability criteria and to rate the alternatives accordingly. The... 

    An industrial application of low-grade sensible waste heat driven seawater desalination: a case study

    , Article Desalination ; Volume 470 , 2019 ; 00119164 (ISSN) Rahimi, B ; Marvi, Z ; Alamolhoda, A. A ; Abbaspour, M ; Chua, H. T ; Sharif University of Technology
    Elsevier B.V  2019
    Abstract
    This paper reports on the application of low-grade sensible waste heat (liquid phase) driven multi-effect distillation (MED) technology to exploit waste heat sources that are generally abundant in the petrochemical industries especially, those located close to the Persian Gulf's coastline. For this purpose, a techno-economic feasibility study by considering local capital and operating costs for a selected petrochemical plant has been conducted. In this study, a sensible waste heat stream (practically at 80 °C in the liquid phase), which is actively cooled by the cooling process of the plant, is considered as the heat source for the proposed desalination process. This process can recover... 

    A new stochastic oil spill risk assessment model for Persian Gulf: Development, application and evaluation

    , Article Marine Pollution Bulletin ; Volume 145 , 2019 , Pages 357-369 ; 0025326X (ISSN) Amir Heidari, P ; Raie, M ; Sharif University of Technology
    Elsevier Ltd  2019
    Abstract
    Persian Gulf is a semi-enclosed highly saline reverse estuary that is exposed to the risk of oil spills in offshore oil and gas activities. In the early 2000s, a specific version of NOAA's Trajectory Analysis Planner (TAP II) was developed for Persian Gulf to assist regional organizations in preparing oil spill contingency plans. In this research, a new stochastic model is developed to cover the limitations of TAP II. The new model is based on an advanced trajectory model, which is now linked with high resolution spatiotemporal data of the wind and sea current. In a case study, the developed model is compared with TAP II, and evaluated by multiple tests designed for analysis of uncertainty,... 

    Numerical Simulation and Investigation of Impact of Climate Change on Probability Occurrence of Tropical Cyclone in Sea of Oman and Persian Gulf

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Ilami, Dariush (Author) ; Abbaspour Tehrani Fard, Madjid (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Super cyclone GONU formed on June 2007 has been recognized the strongest tropical cyclone in the North Indian Ocean (NIO). The aim of this study is to numerically simulate the cyclone GONU and its resulting waves in the southern seas of Iran leading to the best parametric model to simulate future occurrence of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the NIO. In this regard, the best track data of the cyclone is extracted from Indian Meteorological Department (IMD). The cyclone GONU wind field is simulated by Young and Sobey, Holland, and Rankin models in order to determine the most appropriate model which is then considered for regenerating cyclonic wind fields over the Makran coastline and the sea of... 

    Response planning for accidental oil spills in persian gulf: a decision support system (DSS) based on consequence modeling

    , Article Marine Pollution Bulletin ; Volume 140 , 2019 , Pages 116-128 ; 0025326X (ISSN) Amir Heidari, P ; Raie, M ; Sharif University of Technology
    Elsevier Ltd  2019
    Abstract
    Different causes lead to accidental oil spills from fixed and mobile sources in the marine environment. Therefore, it is essential to have a systematic plan for mitigating oil spill consequences. In this research, a general DSS is proposed for passive and active response planning in Persian Gulf, before and after a spill. The DSS is based on NOAA's advanced oil spill model (GNOME), which is now linked with credible met-ocean datasets of CMEMS and ECMWF. The developed open-source tool converts the results of the Lagrangian oil spill model to quantitative parameters such as mean concentration and time of impact of oil. Using them, two new parameters, emergency response priority number (ERPN)... 

    Effects of salinity, ion type, and aging time on the crude oil-brine interfacial properties under gravity condition

    , Article Journal of Petroleum Science and Engineering ; Volume 195 , December , 2020 Khajepour, H ; Akhlaghi Amiri, H. A ; Ayatollahi, S ; Sharif University of Technology
    Elsevier B.V  2020
    Abstract
    In this study, the impacts of salinity, ion type, and aging process were investigated on coalescence and spreading of crude oil interfaces (including an oil droplet and an oil film) under gravity, through drop rest time measurement techniques, aided by an image analysis system. Three different salt solutions of NaCl, Na2SO4, and MgCl2 were studied at different ionic strengths, ranged from 1% to 150% of Persian Gulf seawater ionic strength. According to the results, aging the oil droplet in the brine increased the interfacial rigidity. Addition of a gas phase - by thinning the surface oil film - almost doubled both rest time and spreading time values. In the aged mode, the presence of salt in... 

    Correlation between concentrations of chlorophyll-a and satellite derived climatic factors in the Persian Gulf

    , Article Marine Pollution Bulletin ; Volume 161, Part A , December , 2020 Moradi, M ; Moradi, N ; Sharif University of Technology
    Elsevier Ltd  2020
    Abstract
    Monthly mean satellite derived Chl-a, aerosols, wind, SST, PAR, and turbidity datasets were used to investigate the possible factors regulating phytoplankton variability in the Persian Gulf. The spatial correlation analysis revealed two distinct regions of SST and PAR, and a relatively uniform spatial correlation pattern of the other parameters. The cross correlation between aeolian dusts and Chl-a was significantly positive with 1–3 months offset. The pattern of spatial correlation between Chl-a and SST was positive in the shallow regions without time lag, and was negative with time offset of 3–5 months in deeper regions. The cross correlation between Chl-a and north-ward winds were... 

    Ultimate strength analysis of jacket type offshore platforms due to wave, current and wind loading

    , Article Proceedings of the International Conference on Offshore Mechanics and Arctic Engineering - OMAE, 15 June 2008 through 20 June 2008, Berlin ; Volume 1 , 2008 , Pages 779-786 ; 9780791848234 (ISBN) Mirzadeh Niasar, J ; Aghakouchak, A. A ; Samadani, S ; Aghakouchak, A
    2008
    Abstract
    As the result of safety factors considered in load and resistant values for the design of new offshore platforms, a higher resistance compared to the 100 year return period environmental loading, is achieved in the structure. This type of design is usually performed using linear methods of structural analysis. In this case the structure practically has a high reserve capacity which is disregarded in the design phase but may be considered in special cases. One of these important cases is when an existing structure is assessed and evaluated after elapse of its structural life. In this case using the platforms reserve capacity, through a non-linear analysis such as push-over, would be logical...