Sharif Digital Repository

Complex systems are composed of a large number of subsystems behaving in a collective manner. In such systems, which are usually far from equilibrium, collective behavior arises due to self-organization and results in the formation of temporal, spatial, spatio-temporal and functional structures. The dynamics of order parameters in complex systems are generally non-stationary and can interact with each other in nonlinear manner. As a result, the analysis of the behavior of complex systems must be based on the assessment of the nonlinear interactions, as well as the determination of the characteristics and the strength of the fluctuating forces. This leads to the problem of retrieving a... 

Crop classification is one of the most important applications of remote sensing in agriculture. Knowing what crops are on the farm is invaluable both on a micro and macro scale. For example, this information can be used to design and imple- ment agricultural policies, product management and ensure food security. Also, this information can be used as a prerequisite for implementing other programs at the farm scale, such as monitoring and detecting anomalies during the crop growth cycle. Most of the studies in this field are focused on the optical data of the Sentinel-2 satel- lite, but the optical data are vulnerable to atmospheric conditions, and on the other hand, there is valuable... 

The human brain is one of the most complex and least understood systems in nature. In recent decades, numerous studies have been conducted to identify the behavior of this system. One of the areas of brain research is the investigation of the connections between different regions of the brain during a presumed process or in a resting state. Among various types of brain connections, effective connectivity provides researchers with higher-level information on brain behavior compared to other connections, but also entails greater computational complexity. In recent years, researchers have aimed to provide an estimator with the maximum desirable capabilities, and with the advent of (deep) neural... 

Cryptocurrencies are not only regarded as a trustworthy method of financial transaction validated by a decentralized cryptographic system as opposed to a centralized authority, but also as one of the most popular and lucrative forms of trade and investing. Predicting the price of a cryptocurrency is a challenging topic in time-series research. Its intricacy is due to the volatility and large swings of cryptocurrencies' price. The emergence of brand-new cryptocurrencies, which might present a profitable trading opportunity but lack sufficient historical data for technical analysis, prompted us to develop a trading strategy that could be applied universally. The forecast of the next timestep's... 

Electricity consumption has increased dramatically in recent decades, and this increase has severely affected electricity distribution. Therefore, forecasting electricity demand can provide a precondition for distributors. Predicting power consumption requires many parameters to be considered.In this research, machine learning, and deep learning methods such as recursive neural networks, long short-term memory networks, etc., as well as the ARIMA model will be used. These models have been tested on the London Smart Measurement Database. In order to evaluate the capability of the models in forecasting electricity consumption, each has been used to predict the electricity consumption of a... 

Throughout history, forming an optimal asset portfolio has been the primary goal of capital owners and managers of investment funds in any economic activity. Achieving this goal is equivalent to trying to minimize the risk caused by the inevitable fluctuations in the capital market and maximizing the overall investment return during the expected period. Investors can operate in various financial markets where there are different stocks and asset classes in each of these markets. The main goal of investors is to identify profitable stocks and form an optimal asset portfolio based on them.Based on this, during the past decades, many studies have been conducted to form and optimize the stock... 

Price prediction in financial markets is an exciting problem for a vast majority of groups and people; however, investment portfolio managers and owners are always looking for holistic predic-tion approaches and tools having high functional accurate metrics. Strictly speaking, players in fi-nancial markets are always in search of methods and toolboxes since they need to overcome the un-certainty of their buy, sell, or hold decisions in order to reduce the investment risk. In this research, we have tried to deal with the stock price prediction problem as an asset pricing problem and find a novel approach to push forward the state-of-the-art of the problem based on the fundamental pric-ing... 

The use of machine learning and deep learning tools to predict the future behavior of trends in massive data requires the extraction and creation of the eigenvector for the chosen model in the problem. It should be noted that simply by increasing the number of features, it cannot be expected that the learning model will have a higher efficiency. Rather, the quality and importance of the features in the field under study should be carefully considered. Topics such as data redundancy, data correlation, the amount of information in the data, distorted data, outliers, etc. are important steps in improving the dataset and creating a feature vector for training the learning model. In the realm of... 

Road casualty is the fifth leading cause of death in Iran. To adopt proper countermeasures there is a need to evaluate the consequences of the implemented policies. Despite the development of crash time series models, these methods have not been in accordance with the multivariate, seasonal, and non-linear nature of crash data. On the other hand, the interpretable crash causal analysis frameworks are descriptive and they lack predictive power. Moreover, the unobserved homogeneity between observations has been widely overlooked in the crash causal analysis literature. This thesis introduces a novel causal analysis methodology by combining the interpretability and prediction power of the... 

Nowadays, the capital market has a significant impact on the economy of a country and causes economic dynamism and growth in gross production. Among the important phenomena in the stock market is stock pricing, the correctness or incorrectness of which has a significant role in the performance of the stock market and the value of companies. The stock price in the stock exchange represents the stock market value and usually represents the investment value of the shareholders. Forecasting the trend of the stock market is considered an important and necessary thing and has been given much attention, because the successful forecasting of the stock price may lead to attractive profits by making...