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arian--hamid-reza
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Calculating Value at Risk for Bond Portfolios by Selecting Basic Scenarios in the Historical Simulation Method
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Zamani, Shiva (Supervisor) ; Arian, Hamid Reza (Supervisor)
Abstract
In many methods of calculating Value-at-Risk (VaR), we need to calculate the value of the portfolio several times for different scenarios. Because an explicit formula is not available to calculate the value of some fixed income assets, calculating VaR for portfolios containing these assets imposes a heavy computational burden. In this study, we introduce a new method for calculating VaR for such portfolios. In this method, some of the existing scenarios are selected as basic scenarios and the value of the portfolio is calculated only for each of them. Next, using the calculated values, the portfolio values for other scenarios are estimated by interpolation (or extrapolation). Finally, by...
Portfolio Management: Combining Hierarchical Models with Prior Hierarchical Structure
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Arian, Hamid Reza (Supervisor) ; Zamani, Shiva (Supervisor)
Abstract
I investigate methods of integrating prior hierarchical structure into hierarchical portfolio optimization methods. My contributions to the literature are forming a prior hierarchical structure based on investors' priorities and generating a unique representative distance matrix, which can be used as an input to other portfolio optimization methods too. In addition, I use SIC and GICs industry classifications as priory information for S&P500 companies and use them as a complementary input to the Hierarchical Risk Parity model and Hierarchical Equal Risk Contribution and compare the resultant portfolios' performance with (López de Prado, 2019)’s method of integrating prior information and...
Integrating Supervised and Unsupervised Machine Learning Algorithms for Profit-based Credit Scoring
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Arian, Hamid Reza (Supervisor) ; Zamani, Shiva (Supervisor)
Abstract
In this study, we combined supervised and unsupervised machine learning algorithms, included the benefits of true identification of good borrowers and costs of false identification of bad borrowers, and then proposed a model for predicting the default of loan applicants with a profit-based approach. The results show that our proposed model has the best performance in profit measure in comparison with individual supervised models. In fact, we first divided the data into two train sets and one test set. We have constructed our model by training unsupervised models on the first train set and supervised models on the second train set. The results of implementing the model on the Australian and...
Optimal Distance Calculation Method for Portfolio Optimization using
Nested Cluster Optimization
,
M.Sc. Thesis
Sharif University of Technology
;
Arian, Hamid Reza
(Supervisor)
;
Zamani, Shiva
(Supervisor)
Abstract
In the basic model of this thesis, which is called nested cluster optimization, only one distance function is used for clustering to form clusters with similar characteristics, while depending on whether the optimization model is long-only or long-short, different functions can be used. The aim of this thesis is to find the optimal distance function between assets in the simple nested cluster optimization so that during three different and separate strategies, based on three criteria of the lowest risk, the highest Sharpe ratio, and the highest return, the optimal distance function of assets is selected and clustering and finally weighting the portfolio to be done. The optimal distance...
Bitcoin Price Prediction based on Artificial Intelligence Models
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Arian, Hamid Reza (Supervisor) ; Talebian, Masoud (Supervisor)
Abstract
Cryptocurrencies (cryptos), as a new type of money, are considered a medium of exchange, an investment asset, and a hedging tool in today's world. In 2008, bitcoin as the first cryptocurrency was introduced, which has survived through recent years and has gained more and more popularity every day. Cryptos are one of the first applications of blockchain, the technology that many expect to revolutionize the future world in different ways. We aim to investigate what affects the bitcoin price, based on artificial intelligence and, in particular, machine learning. First, we find features impacting bitcoin price via a thorough investigation of the literature. Then, applying machine learning and...
Assessment of Risk Arising from Changes in Implied Volatility in Option Portfolios
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Arian, Hamid Reza (Supervisor) ; Zamani, Shiva (Supervisor)
Abstract
This study delves into the intricate realm of risk evaluation within the domain of specific financial derivatives, notably options. Unlike other financial instruments, like bonds, options are susceptible to broader risks. A distinctive trait characterizing this category of instruments is their non-linear price behavior relative to their pricing parameters. Consequently, evaluating the risk of these securities is notably more intricate when juxtaposed with analogous scenarios involving fixed-income instruments, such as debt securities. A paramount facet in options risk assessment is the inherent uncertainty stemming from first-order fluctuations in the underlying asset’s volatility. The...
Customer Churn Prediction in the Iran Insurance Industry
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Aslani, Shirin (Supervisor) ; Arian, Hamid Reza (Supervisor)
Abstract
Insurance companies in Iran operate in a completely competitive and dynamic environment. Because customer acquisition in these companies is significantly more expensive than customer retention, with timely forecasting of churning customers, they can manage their customers more effectively. In this study, in order to predict customer churn in the insurance industry, the data of one of the Iranian insurance companies that has more than two million insurers were used. In order to identify important data and variables, previous studies were reviewed, and on the other hand, the Central Insurance Regulations of the Islamic Republic of Iran, as well as the information of the insurance contracts of...
The Predicting Power of Investors’ Sentiment for Cryptocurrency Returns
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Arian, Hamid Reza (Supervisor) ; Hagh Panah, Farshad (Co-Supervisor)
Abstract
Classical financial literature believes that people's decisions in financial markets are rational and that asset prices remain at their intrinsic value. On the other hand, behavioral finance literature believes that there are limitations in investors' decision-making and the impact of decisions on emotions, and states that investors' emotions directly affect asset prices. The aim of this research is to investigate which of the famous indicators introduced in the literature as a representative of the emotional behavior of investors has a better performance in predicting the returns of cryptocurrencies. For this purpose, in the first step, the information related to the calculation of three...
Synthesis & Characterization of Au-HKUST-1 Nanocomposite and Evaluation of Plasmonic Properties of Gold Nanoparticles in this Nanocomposite
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Madaah Hosseini, Hamid Reza (Supervisor)
Abstract
In the past few years, many research works on the controllable integration of metal nanoparticles and metal-organic frameworks were done, since the obtained composite material shows a synergism effect in catalysis and photocatalysis, drug delivery applications, gas, and energy storage, as well as sensing. For the first time, in this study, we employed template-assisted growth to synthesize Au-HKUST-1 Nanocomposite. XRD analysis entirely confirms that employing this strategy in synthesizing Au-HKUST-1 was wholly successful, and the plasmonic properties of this nanostructure were studied via UV-visible spectroscopy. In the course of synthesis, gold nanoparticles with 70nm diameter were...
Identification of the Set of Single Nucleotide Variants in Genome Responsible for the Differentiation of Expression of Genes
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Rabiee, Hamid Reza (Supervisor) ; Beigi, Hamid (Supervisor)
Abstract
Single nucleotide polymorphs, There are changes caused by a mutation in a nucleotide in the Dena sequence. Mononucleotide polymorphisms are the most common type of genetic variation. Some of these changes have little or no effect on cells, while others cause significant changes in the expression of cell genes that can lead to disease or resistance to certain diseases. Because of the importance of these changes and their effect on cell function, the relationships between these changes are also important. Over the past decade, thousands of single disease-related mononucleotide polymorphisms have been identified in genome-related studies. Studies in this field have shown that the expression of...
Live Layered Video Streaming over Multichannel P2P Networks
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Rabiee, Hamid Reza (Supervisor)
Abstract
Nowadays, video streaming over peer-to-peer networks has become an interesting field to deliver video in large scale networks. As multi-channel live video streaming networks increase,distributing video with high quality among channels faces many challenges. The most significant challenges cause from frequent channel churns, unbalanced channel resources, network heterogeneity and diversity of users’ bandwidths. They include: nodes’ unstability, low users participations, large startup and playback delays, low video quality received by users and lack of resources in unpopular channels.In order to solve the above problems, we have proposed several solutions such as: 1- using distribution groups...
Improving Graph Construction for Semi-supervised Learning in Computer Vision Applications
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Rabiee, Hamid Reza (Supervisor)
Abstract
Semi-supervised Learning (SSL) is an extremely useful approach in many applications where unlabeled data can be easily obtained. Graph based methods are among the most studied branches in SSL. Since neighborhood graph is a key component in these methods, we focus on methods of graph construction in this project. Graph construction methods based on Euclidean distance have the common problem of creating shortcut edges. Shortcut edges refer to the edges which connect two nearby points that are far apart on the manifold. Specifically, we show both in theory and practice that using geodesic distance for selecting and weighting edges results in more appropriate neighborhood graphs. We propose an...
Investigating Conformal Vector Field on Riemannian Manifolds
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Fanai, Hamid Reza (Supervisor)
Abstract
At first the killing vector fields will be investigated. Conditions are introduced for the hypersurface of a Riemannian manifold with a killing vector field to be equipped with the same killing vector field. Then 2-killing vector field is studied and its relation with killing vector fields and monotone vector fields is presented. After that conformal vector fields are discussed and conditions are introduced in order that the Riemannian manifold equipped with a conformal vector field, isisometric to n-dimensional sphere with constant curvature. Finally we will present the conditions which conformal vector field is a 2-killing vector field. Then we will present the results in which the...
Network Topology Inference from Incomplete Data
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Rabiee, Hamid Reza (Supervisor)
Abstract
During the last decade, there have been a great number of researches on complex networks.Data aggregation is the first step in the analysis of these networks. However, due to the large scale of them, almost never is there complete information about a network’s different aspects. Therefore, analysis of a complex network is usually done based on the incomplete data. Al-though a good sampling approach in a way that the achieved sample is a good representative of the whole network has its own challenges, analysis of incomplete data causes a significant alternation in the estimation results. Consequently, one of the first problems emerging after sampling is the possibility of predicting the...
Local Community Detection in Social
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Rabiee, Hamid Reza (Supervisor)
Abstract
The fast growth of social networks and their wide range of applications have made the anal-ysis of them an interesting field of research. The growth of concern in modeling large social networksand investigation of their structural features leads studies towards community detec-tion in such networks. In recent years, a great amount of effort has been done for introducing community detection algorithms, many of which are based on optimization of a global cri-terion which needs network’s topology. However, because of big size of most of the social networks , accessing their global information tends to be impossible. Hence, local commu-nity detection algorithms have been introduced. In this...
Continuous Time Modeling of Marked Events
, Ph.D. Dissertation Sharif University of Technology ; Rabiee, Hamid Reza (Supervisor)
Abstract
A great deal of information are continuously generated by users in different contexts such as social networks and online service providers in terms of temporal marked events. These events indicate that what happened to who by when and where.Modeling such events and predicting future ones has interesting applications in different domains such as item recommendation in online service providers and trending topic prediction in online social networks. However, complex longitudinal dependencies among such events makes the prediction task challenging. Moreover, nonstationarity of generative model of events and large size of events, makes the modeling and learning the models challenging.In this...
Analysis and Modeling of User Behavior over Social Media
, Ph.D. Dissertation Sharif University of Technology ; Rabiee, Hamid Reza (Supervisor)
Abstract
Nowadays many of us spend a big part of our daily times on social media.One of the most important research problems in social media analysis is how to engage users. The trace of user activity over these websites is a valuable resource for user understanding and engagement, but this data is very huge and unstructured. An approach to deal with this problem is user behavior modeling. In this process, first a behavioral model is considered for users, then using the activity data and the behavioral model, some parameters are learned. Finally, using the learned parameters, a user profile is constructed for each user. This profile can be used for user engagement and many other applications....
Relations Between Dynamical Systems And Knot Theory
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Fanaii, Hamid Reza (Supervisor)
Abstract
In fact knot theory is working by an elastic string. A knot is A smooth embedding of in . We say that two knots are equivalent if there is an ambient isotopic between them. In knot theory we study equivalent classes of knots. As it seems from its name, a dynamical system is the study of motions, mechanics and dynamics of a system. We will observe some systems and stability of orbits in theme. Then we define templates which contain orbits in themselves. At last, we observe relations between discrete dynamical systems and knot theory. Then for any arbitrary chaotic knot we observe that there exist an universal template that contain a copy of any kind of not. Finally we will study some open...
Improving QoS in Wireless Metropolitan Area Networks (WMANs) for Multimedia Applications
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Rabiei, Hamid Reza (Supervisor)
Abstract
Multimedia applications which exploit the network resources are best provided in broadband networks. Additionally, broadband wireless access systems enable broadband access in places where the wired solutions are not applicable. The IEEE 802.16 standard is designed to provide broadband wireless access and addresses the PHY and MAC layers of wireless metropolitan area networks. This standard has been designed to support quality of service for different applications, and due to their various requirements has considered four classes of service for connections. However, quality of service support mechanisms (such as admission control and packet scheduling), are out of the scope of the standard....
Using Statistical Pattern Recognition on Gene Expression Data for Prediction of Cancer
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Rabiee, Hamid Reza (Supervisor)
Abstract
The classification of different tumor types is of great importance in cancer diagnosis and drug discovery. However, most previous cancer classification studies are clinical based and have limited diagnostic ability. Cancer classification using gene expression data is known to contain the keys for addressing the fundamental problems relating to cancer diagnosis. The recent advent of DNA microarray technique has made simultaneous monitoring of thousands of gene expressions possible. With this abundance of gene expression data, researchers have started to explore the possibilities of cancer classification using gene expression data and quite a number of Pattern Recognition approaches have been...