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    Effects of Measures on Phase Transitions in Two Cooperative Susceptible Infectious Recovered (SIR) Dynamics

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Khazaee, Adib (Author) ; Ghanbarnejad, Fakhteh (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    In recent studies, it has been shown that a cooperative interaction in a co-infection spread can lead to a discontinuous transition at a decreased threshold. Here, we have investigated effects of immunization on the threshold and the type of phase transitions in a cooperative spread of two diseases. It has been assumed that the immunization begins at the start of the spread and it is perfect, meaning that the vaccinated are immune for ever. We have used the SIR model for the spread of two diseases and scrutinized phase transitions through a mean field approach. This study is divided into three parts. In the first part, vaccination with a fixed rate has been introduced in the symmetric spread... 

    The Dynamic and the Geometry of Disease Outbreaks by Redefining the Effective Distance

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Babazadeh Maghsoodlo, Yazdan (Author) ; Ghanbarnejad, Fakhteh (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    An infectious disease can spread through different communities via mobility networks. In this study we address three basic questions related to this matter in the meta-population approximation: firstly, where did the disease start? Secondly, when did the disease start? Thirdly, how does it spread in the network? To answer these questions, we introduce a generic mathematical framework with appropriate physical assumptions and study the spread of diseases. Then, with analytical solutions, we bring up different algorithms in order to answer these three questions. Using these algorithms, we redefine the effective distance and arriving time and unveil the simple geometry of the disease outbreak  

    Redicting Information Reshare by People on Twitter

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Ranjbar, Milad (Author) ; Raeisi, Sadegh (Supervisor) ; Ghanbarnejad, Fakhteh (Co-Supervisor)
    Abstract
    In this thesis, we attempt to construct a model that can predict whether someone will retweet a tweet. For this purpose, we construct a machine learning model and we use Twitter’s network features as our model’s input. We collect about 1300 random tweets and their retweets to make retweet cascades. By collecting or calculating users’ features in each retweet cascade, we construct our desired input data for our model. We test both random forest and neural networks as our machine learning section of the model. Random forest is the most accurate of the two models, predicting retweet actions with an accuracy of 0.89. Additionally, we find out that two features of the network have the greatest... 

    Effects of Temporal Correlations on Co-infection

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Sajjadi, Ebrahim (Author) ; Ejtehadi, Mohammad Reza (Supervisor) ; Ghanbarnejad, Fakhteh (Co-Supervisor)
    Abstract
    SIS and SIR are common models for describing and predicting the epidemics of the contagious diseases. But these models fail to predict patterns of spreading dynamics in the case of co-infective diseases, i.e. getting infected by one disease, alters the chance of getting infected by the other one. Coinfection has been studied in the mean field approximation and on complex networks with different topologies. Another study shows temporal correlations of the underlying transmission network, play role on co-infection dynamics.In this research we investigate the effects of various temporal correlation on epidemic order parameters of independent infection and co-infection.For this purpose, we... 

    Exact Solution of Generalized Cooperative SIR Dynamics

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Zarei, Fatemeh (Author) ; Moghimi Araghi, Saman (Supervisor) ; Ghanbarnejad, Fakhteh (Co-Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Epidemics are one of the most important issues in social environments, economics systems, medicine, and other environments. In the study of the epidemics, some behaviors have been observed that are very similar to the phase transition in critical systems. For example, by changing the parameters that the epidemics process is characterized, the system’s epidemic behavior changes. Depending on the type of problem, this behavior change may be similar to continuous or discontinuous phase transitions. One of the fascinating issues that have just been taken into consideration in this area is the cooperation of two or more diseases. This means that the rate of transmission of a disease depends on... 

    Social distancing in pedestrian dynamics and its effect on disease spreading

    , Article Physical Review E ; Volume 104, Issue 1 , 2021 ; 24700045 (ISSN) Sajjadi, S ; Hashemi, A ; Ghanbarnejad, F ; Sharif University of Technology
    American Physical Society  2021
    Abstract
    Nonpharmaceutical measures such as social distancing can play an important role in controlling the spread of an epidemic. In this paper, we use a mathematical model combining human mobility and disease spreading. For the mobility dynamics, we design an agent-based model consisting of pedestrian dynamics with a novel type of force to resemble social distancing in crowded sites. For the spreading dynamics, we consider the compartmental susceptible-exposed-infective (SEI) dynamics plus an indirect transmission with the footprints of the infectious pedestrians being the contagion factor. We show that the increase in the intensity of social distancing has a significant effect on the exposure... 

    Emergence of Hopf bifurcation in an extended SIR dynamic

    , Article PLoS ONE ; Volume 17, Issue 10 October , 2022 ; 19326203 (ISSN) Roostaei, A ; Barzegar, H ; Ghanbarnejad, F ; Sharif University of Technology
    Public Library of Science  2022
    Abstract
    In this paper, the original SIR model is improved by considering a new compartment, representing the hospitalization of critical cases. A system of differential equations with four blocks is developed to analyze the treatment of severe cases in an Intensive Care Unit (ICU). The outgoing rate of the infected individuals who survive is divided into nI and bI/1+b where the second term represents the transition rate of critical cases that are hospitalized in ICU. The findings demonstrate the existence of forward, backward and Hopf bifurcations in various ranges of parameters. © 2022 Roostaei et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution... 

    Exact solution of generalized cooperative susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) dynamics

    , Article Physical Review E ; Volume 100, Issue 1 , 2019 ; 24700045 (ISSN) Zarei, F ; Moghimi Araghi, S ; Ghanbarnejad, F ; Sharif University of Technology
    American Physical Society  2019
    Abstract
    In this paper, we introduce a general framework for coinfection as cooperative susceptible-infected-removed (SIR) dynamics. We first solve the SIR model analytically for two symmetric cooperative contagions [L. Chen, Europhys. Lett. 104, 50001 (2013)10.1209/0295-5075/104/50001] and then generalize and solve the model exactly in the symmetric scenarios for three and more cooperative contagions. We calculate the transition points and order parameters, i.e., the total number of infected hosts. We show that the behavior of the system does not change qualitatively with the inclusion of more diseases. We also show analytically that there is a saddle-node-like bifurcation for two cooperative SIR... 

    Impact of temporal correlations on high risk outbreaks of independent and cooperative SIR dynamics

    , Article PLoS ONE ; Volume 16, Issue 7 July , 2021 ; 19326203 (ISSN) Sajjadi, S ; Ejtehadi, M. R ; Ghanbarnejad, F ; Sharif University of Technology
    Public Library of Science  2021
    Abstract
    We first propose a quantitative approach to detect high risk outbreaks of independent and coinfective SIR dynamics on three empirical networks: A school, a conference and a hospital contact network. This measurement is based on the k-means clustering method and identifies proper samples for calculating the mean outbreak size and the outbreak probability. Then we systematically study the impact of different temporal correlations on high risk outbreaks over the original and differently shuffled counterparts of each network. We observe that, on the one hand, in the coinfection process, randomization of the sequence of the events increases the mean outbreak size of high-risk cases. On the other... 

    Emergence of synergistic and competitive pathogens in a coevolutionary spreading model

    , Article Physical Review E ; Volume 105, Issue 3 , 2022 ; 24700045 (ISSN) Ghanbarnejad, F ; Seegers, K ; Cardillo, A ; Hövel, P ; Sharif University of Technology
    American Physical Society  2022
    Abstract
    Cooperation and competition between pathogens can alter the amount of individuals affected by a coinfection. Nonetheless, the evolution of the pathogens' behavior has been overlooked. Here, we consider a coevolutionary model where the simultaneous spreading is described by a two-pathogen susceptible-infected-recovered model in an either synergistic or competitive manner. At the end of each epidemic season, the pathogens species reproduce according to their fitness that, in turn, depends on the payoff accumulated during the spreading season in a hawk-and-dove game. This coevolutionary model displays a rich set of features. Specifically, the evolution of the pathogens' strategy induces abrupt...