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keshavarz-haddad--g--r
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Gender ratio, divorce rate, and intra-household collective decision process: evidence from iranian urban households labor supply with non-participation
, Article Empirical Economics ; Volume 48, Issue 4 , 2015 , Pages 1365-1394 ; 03777332 (ISSN) ; Sharif University of Technology
2015
Abstract
This paper provides an empirical investigation on the individual labor supply of Iranian spouses in an intra-household collective decision framework in which gender ratio and divorce rate play a central role for resource allocation of household. The dataset is taken from the Households’ Expenditures Survey (2008) and the Annual Statistical Yearbook (2008) of Iran. I have conducted the parameters estimation and hypothesis testing using switching regression technique to catch the presence of the widespread non-participation of spouses across Iranian households. Reduced forms of labor supply are estimated considering the endogeneity of wage rates. The findings show that the unitary model of...
Parents’ decision on child labour and school attendance: evidence from Iranian households
, Article Journal of Education and Work ; Volume 30, Issue 6 , 2017 , Pages 612-631 ; 13639080 (ISSN) ; Sharif University of Technology
2017
Abstract
In the framework of a household’s collective decision processes, this study presents a structural empirical model to test the hypothesis that child labour is compelled by household’s poverty and parent’s bargaining power against one another. To this end, a measure for mother’s intra-household bargaining power is developed. I use Iranian Household’s Income and Expenditures Surveys (2005 and 2010). Estimation method used in this study is multinomial logit. Findings indicate that household’s poverty is not the sole cause of child’s work incidence. Instead, given the other factors such as poverty, being the first born, local labour market prospect and gender fixed, mother’s bargaining power is...
Performance evaluation of the Bayesian and classical value at risk models with circuit breakers set up
, Article International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics ; Volume 10, Issue 3 , 10 June , 2020 , Pages 222-241 ; Online ISSN: 1757-1189 ; Heidari, H ; Sharif University of Technology
Inderscience Publishers
2020
Abstract
Circuit breakers, like price limits and trading suspensions, are used to reduce price volatility in security markets. When returns hit price limits or missed, observed returns deviate from equilibrium returns. This creates a challenge for predicting stock returns and modelling value at risk (VaR). In Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE), the circuit breakers are applied to control for the excess price volatilities. This paper intend to address which models and what methodology should be applied by risk analysts to calculate the VaR when the returns are unobservable. To this end, we extend Wei’s (2002) model, in the framework of Bayesian Censored and Missing-GARCH approach, to estimate VaR for a share...
Bias decomposition in the value-at-risk calculation by a GARCH(1,1)
, Article International Journal of Computational Economics and Econometrics ; Volume 10, Issue 2 , 14 May , 2020 , Pages 183-202 ; Hasanzade, M ; Sharif University of Technology
Inderscience Publishers
2020
Abstract
The recent researches show that value-at-risk (VaR) estimations are biased and is calculated conservatively. Bao and Ullah (2004) proved the bias of an ARCH(1) model for VaR can be decomposed in to two parts: bias due to the returns' misspecification distributional assumption for GARCH(1,1), i.e., (Bias1) and bias due to estimation error, i.e., (Bias2). Using quasi maximum likelihood estimation method this paper intends to find an analytical framework for the two sources of bias. We generate returns from Normal and t-student distributions, then estimate the GARCH(1,1) under Normal and t-student assumptions. Our findings reveal that Bias1 equals to zero for the Normal likelihood function, but...
The profitability of pair trading strategy in stock markets: Evidence from Toronto stock exchange
, Article International Journal of Finance and Economics ; 2021 ; 10769307 (ISSN) ; Talebi, H ; Sharif University of Technology
John Wiley and Sons Ltd
2021
Abstract
Market practitioners and speculators attempt to make benefits from the existence of market price gaps and profit opportunities by arbitrage strategies. Although some investors trade stocks based on the available financial and fundamental information of a particular share, there are others who make profits by risk hedging and swing trading opportunities. One of these strategies is pairs trading, which is a sub-category of statistical arbitrage. Pairs trading can assure reasonably a risk-free profit gaining. This paper aims to make a hypothetical portfolio composed of pairs of stocks by exploring a significant association between their prices in the Toronto Stock Exchange, TSX. We compare the...
The profitability of pair trading strategy in stock markets: Evidence from Toronto stock exchange
, Article International Journal of Finance and Economics ; Volume 28, Issue 1 , 2023 , Pages 193-207 ; 10769307 (ISSN) ; Talebi, H ; Sharif University of Technology
John Wiley and Sons Ltd
2023
Abstract
Market practitioners and speculators attempt to make benefits from the existence of market price gaps and profit opportunities by arbitrage strategies. Although some investors trade stocks based on the available financial and fundamental information of a particular share, there are others who make profits by risk hedging and swing trading opportunities. One of these strategies is pairs trading, which is a sub-category of statistical arbitrage. Pairs trading can assure reasonably a risk-free profit gaining. This paper aims to make a hypothetical portfolio composed of pairs of stocks by exploring a significant association between their prices in the Toronto Stock Exchange, TSX. We compare the...
Parents Bargaining Power and Child’s Time Allocation in Iranian Households
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Keshavarz Haddad, Gholamreza (Supervisor)
Abstract
This research intends to analysis the determinants of child work and schooling in Iran. To do this we use the Household’s Income and Expenditure survey of Iran in 2009. There are two competing theoretical base of household’s time allocation, the unitary and collective bargaining decision approaches. We use the later to consider the differences in preferences of parents toward the child’s time allocation. Making use of Bivariate Probit and Tobit, we examined the effects of parents’ bargaining power and child’s birth order on his/her schooling and work decision. Our finding, confirm that, mother’s bargaining power has negative association with the work participation of her son and daughter but...
Fiscal decentralization and economic growth in iran
, Article Australian Journal of Basic and Applied Sciences ; Volume 4, Issue 11 , 2010 , Pages 5490-5495 ; 19918178 (ISSN) ; Karimi Petanlar, S ; Keshavarz Haddad, G ; Alizadeh, M ; Sharif University of Technology
2010
Abstract
Economists and policy-makers believe that the Fiscal Decentralization is an effective strategy to promote economic growth. Thereby Economic Growth is seen as an objective of Fiscal Decentralization and efficiency in the allocation of resources in the public sector. This study analyzed the relationship between fiscal decentralization and economic growth in Iran for the period 2001-2007.We used data for 28 provinces of the country estimated the model using a panel data regression with Fixed Effect. We find that fiscal decentralization has a positive effect on Iran's economic growth
The socioeconomic and demographic determinants of crime in Iran (a regional panel study)
, Article European Journal of Law and Economics ; Volume 32, Issue 1 , 2011 , Pages 99-114 ; 09291261 (ISSN) ; Markazi Moghadam, H ; Sharif University of Technology
2011
Abstract
The raising trend both in violent and property crime are of major concern in Iran. Using a panel data modeling (province wide), the paper provides an econometrics assessment of the relationship between crime against properties and violent crimes as functions of deterrent, social, economic and demographic factors in Iran, in the framework of Becker-Ehrlich crime supply theory. The findings indicate that, although deterrence hypothesis is not confirmed for burglary and assault, it explains the variations of murders and threats. Economic factors play key role in burglary and threat explanation, but they do not affect willful murders, however, Literacy explains both murders and threats. Average...
Analysis of adverse selection and moral hazard in the health insurance market of Iran
, Article Geneva Papers on Risk and Insurance: Issues and Practice ; Volume 35, Issue 4 , October , 2010 , Pages 581-599 ; 10185895 (ISSN) ; Zomorrodi Anbaji, M ; Sharif University of Technology
2010
Abstract
This paper aims to estimate a demand model for health insurance and medical care in Iran, in the presence of heterogeneous and latent health status of individuals; moreover it tests the asymmetry of information in the health insurance market. Our data set have been taken from the Households expenditures survey (2006) of Iran. Parameters of the model are estimated by the Generalized Method of Moments (GMM) and the presence of asymmetric information (adverse selection and moral hazard) is tested by a non-parametric econometric method. The analytical model is specified under minimal assumptions on the selection process of different insurance categories and the statistical distribution of...
Analysis of Effective Factors of Second Job Selection in Iranian Labor Market
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Keshavarz Haddad, Ghloalmreza (Supervisor)
Abstract
Working in second job is one the fact in labor market. based on the data of Statistical center of Iran. In Iran approximately 18 % of worker have second job. This trend fluctuate around 20%. That increase from 18% in 1372 into 19% in 1382. This research examines effective factor on secondary job market panel data from statistical surveys conducted by Statistics Centre of Iran from 1380 to 1382 .We apply three step Multiple selection method. Because of existence of censoring data & sample selection problem We use of probit method for panel data for modeling of existence in labor market and second job. Then we use of Tunali (1985) Method for estimate hours in second job. Result of research...
Trade Liberalization and Wage Inequality in Iran’s Industries
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Keshavarz Haddad, GholamReza (Supervisor)
Abstract
This study examins effects of trade liberalization on the wage inequality across industries and between genders within these industries by utilizing the data of micro-level Households’ Income and Expenditures surveys and trade statistics over 2001-2011. The analysis is carried based on the Heckscher–Ohlin’s theory in international trade and Baker’s taste discrimination theory at firms. We use Quantile regression and ordinary least squares (OLS) to consider the wage discrimination across entire distribution wage distribution and at wages mean as well. The results of Blinder-Oaxaca decomposition approach (inequality at mean wage) and Machado and Mata’s model (inequality of wage at entire...
Relationship between Fertility and Female Labor Participation in Iran
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Keshavarz Haddad, Gholamreza (Supervisor)
Abstract
Despite the fact that total fertility rate has a drastic decrease from 6.6 in 1980 to 1.8 childeren in 2008 and their education was highly growing in the last two decades, their participation in labor market is stillrelatively low(with maximum rate of 17.5 in 2007). Making use of the Iranian Household Expenditure and Income Survey(HEIS) and yearly labor market surveys (1984-2009), we intend to investigate the interaction between fertility(FER) and female labor participation(FLP) in Iran, for both the population with ages of 10-64 and 18-30. We use simultaneousequations by GMM to estimate the system of equation. Our findings show that the sign of FER’s determinants are as expected, but FLP...
Estimating the Optimal Commodity Futures Hedge Ratio:A Comparative Approach for the Gold Coin Market in Iran
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Keshavarz Haddad, Gholamreza (Supervisor)
Abstract
The increasing trend of gold prices over the last years, also a remarkable inflation in the prices level of Iran, attracted Iran households’ financial resources to the market of this precious metal. Although there are a sensible risk in the value of this asset, gold coin futures contracts is considered as an effective risk management lever of financial investors. This research intends to estimate the optimal rate of futures over spot contracts in the gold coins market of Iran. To this end, we use spot and futures prices over the 2008 Dec through 2011 Dec, which all the time series are sourced from the Iran’s mercantile exchange website. Among the existing procedures of optimal hedge ratio...
The Profitability of Stocks Pairs Trading Strategy in the Toronto Stock Exchange
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Keshavarz Haddad, GholamReza (Supervisor)
Abstract
Since past time, market practitioners and speculators have attempted to use the existent market gaps and opportunities like arbitrage. While some investors buy stocks based on the available financial information of particular companies, others, by using different strategies, try to make profit out of it, based on true realization of the market and its behavior. This strategies will create the profitability by providing different situations including risk hedging and swing trading opportunities .In this context, researchers have designed various strategies for recognizing the assets that have high return potential. One of these strategies in trading with financial tools, is pair trading...
The Role of Children in the Decisions of Urban Households in Iran
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Keshavarz Haddad, Gholamreza (Supervisor)
Abstract
Family economics consider children either as "goods" in consumption vector of their parents or as agents that have the ability of full economic independency. While the children reach adolescent age, the theory models their role, not only as individuals with their own preferences, but also as agents who can have an impact on family outcomes. Aim of this study is to focus on the fact that if children of certain ages take part in the households’ decisions or not. We use data from Households Income and Expenditures Survey 2011 for urban area and families with three members, parents and child with the age range 15 - 30. For a closer look, households were divided into four groups which include...
To What Extent Diversifying when Theran Stock Market is High Volatile, will Reduce Risk?
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Keshavarz Haddad, Gholamreza (Supervisor)
Abstract
Investment diversifiying is one of risk management technique. In this research, We investigate diversifiying in a case that stock market is high volatile, e.i. There are large movements in stock returns. Empirical researches show that inhigh volatile market, conditional correlation between returns is stronger, so diversifiying cant reduce risk. For evaluating this claim in Iranian financial asset market, We estimate quantiles of stock return distribution in 10%, 25%, 90% and 75% levels by Kernel density and GARCH models.Then, We find average conditional correlation, error variance and conditional CAPM to test the possibility of reducing Non-systematic and systematic risk. Analytical results...
Decay Factor Optimization in time Weighted Simulation (Using loss Functions Şener and Lopez)
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Keshavarz Haddad, Gholamreza (Supervisor)
Abstract
Over the last two decade, Value at Risk (VaR) has been used a popular method of market risk measurement, However Financial institutes and financial practitioners intend to improve its sufficiency and accuracy. One to the popular technique of VaR calculation is the times weighted simulation (BRW). When the weights are assigned to each observed return, exponentially decreasing, normally. The more recent returns would have his how weight. In the underlying literature the decay factor are selected on an ad hoc basely.The present research proposes a new method of decay factor determining by and optimization algorithm. By this method the decay factor is determined by minimization of the Sener loss...
Decomposition of Cohort, Age and Time Effects in Iranian Households Cigarette Consumption
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Keshavarz Haddad, Gholamreza (Supervisor)
Abstract
This study aims to examine cigarette consumption behavior of younger cohorts in the urban areas of Iran. we use Iranian household's income and expenditures survey over 2007-2012 and a double-hurdle modeling approach to take into account the zero expenditure on cigarette consumption. after controlling for price and demographic factors which determine the demand for cigarettes, we find that the younger cohorts tend to use more cigarettes than the older ones, however the age effects for men aged between 21-45 are positive
The Impact of Unconditional Cash Subsidies on the Iranian Households Cigarette Consumption by Using Dose-Response Function
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Keshavarz Haddad, Gholamreza (Supervisor)
Abstract
This study aims to estimate impact of the energy subsidy reform on household’s cigarette consumption in urban and rural areas in 2010-2012. According to the household size,income generated from receiving cash subsidies is different across families. So to measure the household’s response to different levels of subsidies on consumers spending, the doseresponse function is used. Our main contribution is estimation and calculation of cigarette spending reaction to the unconditional cash transfer by dose of the subsidy that they received, while the previous works in this literature have used the well know binary variable of being on the exposure of program. In terms of being on the exposure of...