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A Hybrid Stock Trading Strategy and Stock Portfolio Creation on the Stock Exchange Using a Combination of New Data Mining Techniques and Technical Analysis
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; khedmati, Majed (Supervisor)
Abstract
By expanding the use of IT and public access to financial markets, the number of players in this area has increased and the nonlinearity of the market has become more complex. Hence, investors need specific strategies that can make profitable investment by determining the time of purchase and sale of stocks. The purpose of this research is to provide a stock trading framework for strategic portfolio management. This framework uses daily values of 18 indicators of technical analysis as features and daily trading signals as data labels for training various machine learning models, such as support vector regression, k nearest neighbors, decision tree, artificial neural network and random...
An Online Portfolio Selection Algorithm Using Pattern-matching Principle
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Khedmati, Majid (Supervisor)
Abstract
According to the rise of turnover and pace of trading, accelerating of analysis and making decision is unavoidable. Humans are unable to analyze big data quickly without behavioral biases so, using machines to analyze big data seems critical. Hence, financial markets tend to apply algorithmic trading in which some techniques like data mining and machine learning are notable. OLPS which sequentially allocates capital among a set of assets aiming to maximize the final return of investment in the long run, is the core problem in algorithmic trading. This article presents an online portfolio selection algorithm. The online portfolio selection sequentially selects a portfolio over a set of assets...
Providing a Method Based on Signal Transformations and Machine Learning Tools for Forecasting in Stock Market
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Khedmati, Majid (Supervisor)
Abstract
Obtaining high profit is the ultimate goal of an investor in the financial market. The key to achieve high profits in stock trading is to find the right time to trade with minimum business risk. However, it is difficult, often, to make decision about the best time to buy or sell some stocks due to the extremely dynamic and volatile behavior of the stock market. In order to resolve these problems, two steps have been followed in this research:1) Create a model to predict the final price of the stock with small error rate, and 2) Suggest the best stocks for trading to the trader. In order to achieve the goals of the first step, the stock price data of Hcltech, Maruti, Axisbank is selected and...
An online portfolio selection algorithm using clustering approaches and considering transaction costs
, Article Expert Systems with Applications ; Volume 159 , November , 2020 ; Azin, P ; Sharif University of Technology
Elsevier Ltd
2020
Abstract
This paper presents an online portfolio selection algorithm based on pattern matching principle where it makes a decision on the optimal portfolio in each period and updates the optimal portfolio at the beginning of each period. The proposed method consists of two steps: i) sample selection, ii) portfolio optimization. First, in the sample selection, clustering algorithms including k-means, k-medoids, spectral and hierarchical clustering are applied to discover time windows (TW) similar to the recent time window. Then, after finding the similar time windows and predicting the market behavior of the next day, the optimum function along with the transaction cost is used in the portfolio...
Proposing a Hybrid Approach based on Deep Learning Algorithms for Stock Market Prediction
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Khedmati, Majid (Supervisor)
Abstract
Now a day, stock price prediction is known as one of the most challenging activities in the financial field. Research in price prediction models in financial markets, despite its many challenges, is still one of the most active areas for research. The price of non-linear financial assets is dynamic and unpredictable. Therefore, it is very difficult to arrangement and predict financial time series. Recently, many studies demonstrate that checking the news published in relation to a stock can significantly improve the accuracy of the prediction model.Among the latest techniques available for stock price prediction, we can mention deep learning models, which due to their high ability to...
Monotonic Change Point Estimation in Multistage Profiles
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Khedmati, Majid (Supervisor)
Abstract
In this thesis, a hybrid method is proposed to estimate the change point in the parameters of simple linear profiles in multistage processes under monotonic changes. In monotonic changes, the type of change is not known a priori, and the only assumption is the changes are of non-decreasing (isotonic) or non-increasing (monotonic) type. In the proposed method, at first, the stages and the parameters experiencing the change are identified and then, the changes occurred in these stages and parameters are identified and examined based on the moving window approach and support vector machine (SVM) algorithm. Finally, the maximum likelihood estimator of the change point is proposed. The...
A new DEA model for ranking association rules considering the risk, resilience and decongestion factors
, Article European Journal of Industrial Engineering ; Volume 15, Issue 4 , May , 2021 , Pages 463-486 ; 17515254 (ISSN) ; Babaei, A ; Sharif University of Technology
Inderscience Publishers
2021
Abstract
In this paper, a novel data envelopment analysis (DEA) model is proposed for ranking the association rules. In this regard, a mixed-integer linear programming (MILP) model is proposed to determine the most efficient association rules where, an N-person bargaining game is used to create an interactive competition between the existing N-weights to get a better ranking. In addition, the proposed model is fuzzified by setting the ambiguous threshold of the indicators’ weight in each rule to improve the overall ranking of the rules. Finally, the risk, resilience and decongestion factors are also considered to increase the responsiveness of the models to different real-world conditions. The...
An Online Portfolio Selection Algorithm Using Recurrent Neural Networks and Controlling the Risk of Tradings with Value at Risk Method
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Khedmati, Majid (Supervisor)
Abstract
Nowadays, capital markets play a key role in the economies of countries. Hence, this market is expanding more and more every day. In such circumstances, traditional analysis methods such as fundamental analysis and technical analysis have lost their position due to low speed and accuracy. In recent years, automated trading systems have been proposed as a solution to these problems. The online portfolio selection, which sequentially allocates capital among a set of assets aiming to maximize the final return of investment in the long run, is the core problem in algorithmic trading. In this research, we present an online portfolio selection algorithm based on pattern matching principle....
A Multi-agent Deep Reinforcement Learning Framework for Algorithmic Trading in Financial Markets
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Khedmati, Majid (Supervisor)
Abstract
Algorithmic trading in financial markets with machine learning is a developing and promising field of research. Financial markets have a complex, uncertain, and dynamic nature, making them challenging for algorithmic trading. To cope with the challenges of algorithmic trading in financial markets, we propose a multi-agent deep reinforcement learning framework trained by Deep Q-learning (DQN) algorithm to perform financial trading. This framework consists of multiple cooperative agents, each of which trained on a specific timeframe, to perform financial trading on the collective intelligence of the agents. Numerical experiments are conducted on historical data of the EUR/USD currency pair....
Graph Generation by Deep Generative Models
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Khedmati, Majid (Supervisor)
Abstract
Graphs are a language to describe and analyze connections and relations. Recent developments have increased graphs' applications in real-world problems such as social networks, researchers' collaborations, and chemical compounds. Now that we can extract graphs from real life, how can we model and generate graphs similar to a set of known graphs or that are very likely to exist but haven't been discovered yet? Therefore, this research will focus on the problem of graph generation. In graph generation, a set of graphs is a training dataset, and the goal of the thesis is to present an improved deep generative model to learn the training data's distribution, structure, and features.Identifying...
Assortment Planning and Pricing with Limited Inventory
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Khedmati, Majid (Supervisor)
Abstract
It has always been a challenge for retailers to plan which of the available goods will be displayed to the customer and at what price for each. In practice, the limited storage capacity of goods, the limited capacity of shelves, or the limited capacity of displaying goods on a web page in online stores may make it more difficult to decide on the above issues. These issues have been addressed in the literature when demand for goods is clear or a good estimate of demand can be obtained based on sales data. The purpose of this study is to investigate multi period Assortment planning, pricing and inventory planning with respect to the limited capacity of storage and display of goods in a...
A Novel Model For Financial Fraud Detection Using Machine Learning Techniques
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Khedmati, Majid (Supervisor)
Abstract
Today, e-commerce systems are used by both types of users. Therefore, the systems will be exposed to systematic fraud, and fraud is one of the main sources of financial losses for organizations. Therefore, it is very important for organizations to use accurate methods to detect fraud. this field is one of the most important applications of data mining in finance. There are various challenges in fraud detection projects, and this research has divided these challenges into three categories, which are: data pre-processing due to the imbalance data set, the accuracy of the machine learning model, and uncertainty. In the first part, both oversampling and undersampling methods will be used in...
Phase-I robust parameter estimation of simple linear profiles in multistage processes
, Article Communications in Statistics: Simulation and Computation ; 2019 ; 03610918 (ISSN) ; Akhavan Niaki, T ; Sharif University of Technology
Taylor and Francis Inc
2019
Abstract
This paper addresses the problem of robust parameter estimation of simple linear profiles in multistage processes in the presence of outliers in Phase I. In this regard, two robust approaches, namely the Huber’s M-estimator and the MM estimator, are proposed to estimate the parameters of the process in Phase I in the presence of outliers in historical data. In addition, the U statistic is applied to the robust parameter estimates to remove the effect of the cascade property in multistage processes and as a result, to obtain adjusted robust estimates of the parameters of simple linear profiles. The performance of the proposed methods is evaluated under weak and strong autocorrelations...
Proposing a Method to Enhance the Quality of Image Data in the Data Mining Process
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Khedmati, Majid (Supervisor)
Abstract
Single image super-resolution (SISR) is a known difficult problem, which aims to obtain a high-resolution (HR) output from one of its low-resolution (LR) versions.The problem of Super Resolution has applications in many areas and industries where, for example, it can reduce the cost and time of re-imaging in many fields including the medical industry. In the satellite industry, distortions are eliminated and geographic information increases with clarity. In the astronomical industry, image recognition and computation become easier with super resolution. Also in many other important fields, for example, car license plate imaging, image quality enhancement can have significant effects for...
Developing a Data Envelopment Analysis (DEA) Model to Evaluate the Performance of Countries ‘Healthcare System during Corona Virus Pandemic’
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Khedmati, Majid (Supervisor)
Abstract
Since the start of Covid-19 pandemic lately in 2019 from Wuhan in China, a lot of countries encountered it. Healthcare sysytems are the most important system against pandemics so it is needed to measure the efficiency of healthcare systems against Covid-19 in order to find best practices. In this research, a 3-phased method is proposed to evaluate the performance of the healthcare systems. In the first phase, countries are clustered, in the second phase the DEA model is applied in 2 separate parts, in one part with considering clusters and in another without it. In the third phase resilience is introduced for Covid-19 and then it is used as a criterion beside two other criteria, DEA result...
Portfolio Selection Considering Market Regime
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Khedmati, Majid (Supervisor)
Abstract
Since investing in the stock market is always known as one of the ways to increase capital, many researches have been done in the field of portfolio selection in order to provide methods to earn more profit and control investment risk. One of the influential factors in increasing the profit from the portfolio is the proper prediction of future of shares. Therefore, in many research, various methods and tools have been used to predict the future of shares more accurately. One of these tools is forecasting the market regime. In this research, harmonic patterns have been used to predict the market regime. Also, based on the harmonic patterns, the scope of entry into the transaction, the...
Detecting and Estimating the Time of Change Point in Parameters Vector of Multi-Attribute Processes
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Akhavan Niaki, Taghi (Supervisor)
Abstract
Control charts are one of the most important statistical process control tools used in monitoring processes and improving the quality by decreasing the variability of processes. In spite of various applications for multi-attribute control charts in industries and service sectors, only a few research efforts have been performed in developing this type of control charts. The developed multivariate control charts are all based on the assumption that the quality characteristics follow a multivariate Normal distribution while, in many applications the correlated quality characteristics that have to be monitored simultaneously are of attribute type and follow distributions such as multivariate...
Profile Monitoring in Multistage Processes
, Ph.D. Dissertation Sharif University of Technology ; Akhavan Niaki, Taghi (Supervisor)
Abstract
Nowadays due to the advancement in technology, most of the production processes consist of several dependent stages and the quality characteristics of products at each stage depends not only on the operation at the current stage but also to the quality characteristics at the upstream stages. In other words, the disturbance in the quality characteristics of each stage would propagate to the downstream stages and affects the quality of the products at downstream stages. This property is referred to as the cascade property of multistage processes. However, the most of the conventional SPC tools were developed based on the assumption of processes with single stage or processes with multiple...
A New Control Scheme for Phase-II Monitoring of Simple Linear Profiles in Multistage Processes
, Article Quality and Reliability Engineering International ; Volume 32, Issue 7 , 2016 , Pages 2559-2571 ; 07488017 (ISSN) ; Akhavan niaki, S. T ; Sharif University of Technology
John Wiley and Sons Ltd
2016
Abstract
In this paper, a new control scheme is proposed for Phase-II monitoring of simple linear profiles in multistage processes. In this scheme, an approach based on the U transformation is first applied to remove the effect of the cascade property involved in multistage processes. Then, a single max-EWMA-3 control statistic is derived based on the adjusted parameter estimates for simultaneous monitoring of all the parameters of a simple linear profile in each stage. Not only is the proposed scheme able to detect both increasing and decreasing shifts but it also has the feature of identifying the out-of-control parameter responsible for the source of process shift. Using extensive simulation...
Phase-I monitoring of general linear profiles in multistage processes
, Article Communications in Statistics: Simulation and Computation ; Volume 46, Issue 6 , 2017 , Pages 4465-4489 ; 03610918 (ISSN) ; Akhavan Niaki, S. T ; Sharif University of Technology
Taylor and Francis Inc
2017
Abstract
In this article, the general linear profile-monitoring problem in multistage processes is addressed. An approach based on the U statistic is first proposed to remove the effect of the cascade property in multistage processes. Then, the T2 chart and a likelihood ratio test (LRT)-based scheme on the adjusted parameters are constructed for Phase-I monitoring of the parameters of general linear profiles in each stage. Using simulation experiments, the performance of the proposed methods is evaluated and compared in terms of the signal probability for both weak and strong autocorrelations, for processes with two and three stages, as well as for two sample sizes. According to the results, the...