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mehmanchi--erfan
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Subsidy cut and its effect on tehran electricity company: A system dynamics approach
, Article Proceedings of the 2012 - Summer Computer Simulation Conference, SCSC 2012, Part of SummerSim 2012 Multiconference ; Volume 44, Issue 10 , 2012 , Pages 113-120 ; 9781618399847 (ISBN) ; Fard, S. Z
2012
Abstract
In recent years, subsidy payment has been made a main challenge for governments due to growth of population and energy price in global markets. Targeted subsidy plan has been implemented in Iran since last year, and this article discusses its effects on costs and revenues of Tehran Electricity Company as one of the major subdivisions of Iran's electricity industry. In the new system, structural changes have been made in electricity tariffs, so it is not possible to predict the future trends in electricity consumption only based on the past consumptions. In order to model the decision making structure in the recent conditions, a system dynamics method is applied. In addition to modeling the...
Solving a new mixed integer non-linear programming model of the multi-skilled project scheduling problem considering learning and forgetting effect on the employee efficiency
, Article IEEE International Conference on Industrial Engineering and Engineering Management ; 18 November , 2014 , Pages 400-404 ; ISSN: 21573611 ; ISBN: 9781479909865 ; Shadrokh, S ; Sharif University of Technology
2014
Abstract
In this paper, we propose a new mathematical programming model to tackle the multi-skilled project scheduling problem. Considering the effect of learning and forgetting on the human skills, an exponential learning function has been developed by assuming the efficiency of employees performing activities to be dynamic. Taking the nonlinearity of the function into account, we use separable programming to acquire an appropriate linear approximation for it. Moreover, the proposed model allows us to relax some of the binary variables linearly without any modifications. At the end, the final model is tested with some instances and is solved by CPLEX in order to confirm the implemented...
Exact and Metaheuristic Solution of Multi-skilled Project Scheduling Problem Considering Learning and Forgetting Effects on the Performance of Project Members
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Shadrokh, Shahram (Supervisor)
Abstract
The multi-mode resource-constrained project scheduling problem is one of the most complex and most widely used problems in the project scheduling knowledge area and operations research science. Recently, a new type of this problem which is called multi-skilled project scheduling problem has been introduced in the literature. The aim of MSPSP is to schedule the activities regarding the precedence relationships and multi-skilled human resource constraints in such a way that the need of each activity to a subset of skills should be met by the qualified employees. In this thesis, in addition to taking the constraints of the standard problem into account, we consider a state in which the...
A Process Mining Approach to Analyze Customer Journeys to Improve Customer Experience
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Hassannayebi, Erfan (Supervisor)
Abstract
With the growth of the number of online service providers and the need to innovate in these services, in this study, the processes and the journeys taken by visitors of a website that provides employment services and employment insurance has been analyzed. In this research, process mining techniques and predictive process monitoring were implemented. With the use of a supervised and unsupervised learning algorithm, it attempted to identify the customer journeys' output and the existing patterns that lead to the complaint. In the first step, the website event log is extracted. Afterward, by using frequency-based encoding methods, the journeys traveled by users were clustered based on the...
Predictive Business Process Monitoring Using Machine Learning Algorithms
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Hassannayebi, Erfan (Supervisor)
Abstract
In order to survive in today's business world, which is changing at a very fast pace, organizations can detect deviations even before they occur, quickly and with a high percentage of confidence, by analyzing their processes, in order to prevent disruptions in the processes. by monitoring the information systems that automatically execute business processes, it is possible to ensure the correct implementation of the existing processes. For this purpose, various techniques for monitoring business processes have been presented so that managers have a comprehensive and real view of how implement processes and be able to identify possible deviations in the future and try to fix them because the...
Data-Driven Prediction for Monitoring Business Process Pperformances Based on Classification Algorithms
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Hassannayebi, Erfan (Supervisor)
Abstract
In recent years, several studies have been conducted in the field of data mining techniques in the field of process mining with the aim of improving the performance of organizations. Predictive process monitoring is a data-driven approach that helps business managers to improve the status and conditions of their organization. In this approach, the event log, which includes a set of completed examples of a process, is received as input, and machine learning methods are used to predict the outcome and results of the organization's processes before the process is completed. This prediction can include the prediction of the final result, the next event, the time remaining until the completion of...
Green Supplier Selection under Supply Risks with Respect to Supplier’s Financial Performance using Integrated Fuzzy MCDM Methods
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Hassannayebi, Erfan (Supervisor)
Abstract
The supplier selection problem is considered as one of the most strategic and critical issues for any organization. This issue is mainly relevant to traditional and manufacturing businesses. However, if we examine its relationship with the emerging concept of Vendor Acquisition, which has become increasingly significant in modern businesses and startups, the importance of supplier selection becomes even greater. Today, choosing the right supplier or vendor determines the level of success organizations achieve in any new project, and the performance of vendors plays a crucial role in shaping and directing these projects. This study aims to present a comprehensive framework for supplier...
Supramolecular polycaprolactone nanocomposite based on functionalized hydroxyapatite
, Article Journal of Bioactive and Compatible Polymers ; Volume 27, Issue 5 , January , 2012 , Pages 467-480 ; 08839115 (ISSN) ; Shokrollahi, P ; Atai, M ; Omidian, H ; Bagheri, R ; Sharif University of Technology
SAGE
2012
Abstract
Arms bearing ureido-pyrimidinone functional groups with self-association capability (through quadruple hydrogen bonds) were successfully grafted onto hydroxyapatite nanoparticles. The supramolecularly modified nanoparticles (nHApUPy) exhibited enhanced colloidal stability compared to the original hydroxyapatite nanoparticles and were uniformly dispersed in supramolecular polycaprolactone in PCL(UPy)2/HApUPy nanocomposites at different filler loadings. The combined atomic force microscopy, mechanical, and rheological analyses confirmed a high degree of compatibility of HApUPy nanoparticles with the polymer matrix. The temperature dependence of the supramolecular structure in PCL(UPy)2/HApUPy...
Operations Optimization in Supply Chain Systems using Simulation and Reinforcement Learning
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Hassan Nayebi, Erfan (Supervisor)
Abstract
The inventory costs constitute a significant portion of the supply chain costs. Therefore, choosing an optimal inventory policy for orders is of great importance. The aim of this research is to find the optimal inventory policy for a distribution center in a three-tier supply chain consisting of a manufacturer, a distribution center, and a retailer. This research simulates a supply chain in agent-based framework and optimizes it using reinforcement learning. The optimization KPI in this research is the mean daily cost of the supply chain. Finally, the result obtained from reinforcement learning is compared with the optimized result of AnyLogic and the mean daily cost in the model optimized...
Predictive Process Monitoring Based on Optimized Deep Learning Methods
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Hassannayebi, Erfan (Supervisor)
Abstract
Business processes are an essential part of every business as they provide insights on how to optimize and make them more efficient. Predictive Business Process Monitoring has garnered significant attention in recent years due to its capability to forecast process outcomes and predict the next activity within an ongoing process. In the last few years, there have been works that focused on deep learning and its applications in predicting the next activity. Some research used Long Term Short Memory, while others used Convolutional Neural Networks. However, long term short term memory models have the constraint of relatively slow training, while Convolutional Neural Networks are fast but may...
Customer Journey Analytics using Process Mining Based on the Markov Model
,
M.Sc. Thesis
Sharif University of Technology
;
Hassan Nayebi, Erfan
(Supervisor)
Abstract
The analysis of customer journeys has gained significant attention due to the critical role of customer behavior data in enhancing business decision-making and formulating strategies for customer acquisition and retention. By segmenting customers based on their journey patterns, businesses can offer personalized recommendations, thereby improving customer engagement and loyalty. Additionally, predicting the next steps in a customer’s journey based on historical data allows for timely and appropriate interventions at various touchpoints. By understanding where customers are in their journey, businesses can provide targeted recommendations that increase the likelihood of converting potential...
A System Dynamic Simulation Approach to Investigate Economic And Environment Factors Based on VUCA framework: A Case Study in Petrochemical Industry
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Hassannayebi, Erfan (Supervisor)
Abstract
To maintain adaptability, businesses should anticipate changes in their environment. The commonly employed forecasting method within corporate circles is the bottom-up approach, which relies on historical data for projecting future trends. However, research suggests that this approach often falls short of accurately reflecting real-world events. This has led to the adoption of dynamic systems modeling, a technique grounded in the assumption of stable conditions. This method effectively replicates the system's current state, thereby assisting in predicting future behaviors over a longer timeframe. The dynamic systems modeling approach was employed in this study, underscoring the imperative...
Synthesis and Characterization of Nano-Composite Based on Supramolecuylar Poly Caprolactone/ Hydroxyapatite for Tissue Engineering Application
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Bagheri, Reza (Supervisor) ; Shokrollahi, Parvin (Supervisor) ; Ataei, Mohammad (Co-Advisor)
Abstract
Synthetic polymers have a high capacity to provide and manufacture the pieces used in tissue engineering. However, optimizing the biocompatibility, bioresorbableility and mechanical properties simultaneous with processability of material is complicated and requires a lot of effort at designing different parts of the system. On the other hand, due to existence of secondary bonds (such as metal-ligand coordination or hydrogen bond) supramolecular polymers are able to respond to some stimuli such as temperature, pH, or pressure, which is important in terms of dynamic nature of interaction between the living cells and the external matrix of cell. Recently there have been extensive studies on...
Discovering and Improving the Processes of an Iranian Psychiatric Hospital Using Process Mining
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Hassan Nayebi, Erfan (Supervisor)
Abstract
Providing quality hospital services depends on the efficient and correct implementation of processes. Therapeutic care processes are a set of activities that are carried out with the aim of diagnosing, treating and preventing any disease in order to improve and promote the patient's health. The purpose of this study is to use process mining techniques to discover and improve healthcare processes. The case study of this research is a psychiatric hospital in Shiraz. The approach implemented in this research consists of three main stages including data pre-processing, model discovery phase, and analysis phase. Three algorithms including Heuristic Miner, Inductive Miner, and ILP Miner were used...
Optimization of Foreign Exchange (Forex) Trading Using Machine Learning Methods
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Hassan Nayebi, Erfan (Supervisor)
Abstract
The foreign exchange market, commonly known as Forex, is one of the largest and most significant financial markets in the world, attracting the attention of numerous investors on a daily basis. One of the main challenges faced by traders in this market is the accurate prediction of currency prices. Although Forex market forecasting is highly popular, the inherent complexity of this market continues to make accurate prediction a persistent concern. In recent decades, remarkable advancements have occurred in the field of machine learning, particularly in deep learning. These developments have also influenced the Forex market, resulting in the publication of numerous research articles aimed at...
Integrating Customer Behavior Analysis into Demand Forecasting for Fast-Moving Consumer Goods in Retail Chains
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Hassan Nayebi, Erfan (Supervisor)
Abstract
Forecasting demand for fast-moving consumer goods (FMCG) is a fundamental yet challenging issue in retail management due to highly volatile demand, short product life cycles, low profit margins, and limited customer loyalty. Customer purchase behavior reflects their response to a set of concurrent product attributes in the retail environment; price, discounts, product placement, and other stimuli influence the final purchase decision not independently, but in combination and in interaction with related products. Therefore, modeling this behavior realistically requires considering the dynamic interactions among products, and relying solely on univariate time series analysis is insufficient....
Clustering and Analyzing Online Business Customer Behavior using Ensemble Learning Methods
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Hassan Nayebi, Erfan (Supervisor)
Abstract
In the age of information and technology, online stores have significantly expanded as one of the most prominent manifestations of e-commerce. With increasing competition among businesses, leveraging modern data mining techniques to identify potential customers, predict customer churn, and enable more precise targeting in direct marketing has become a necessity. This study integrates data mining methods with marketing concepts to analyze the behavior of online store customers using the RFM model (Recency, Frequency, and Monetary value of purchases) and employs the K-Means clustering algorithm to segment customers. Furthermore, to more accurately predict customer behavior, two modeling...
Optimal planning of Last-Mile Delivery in a Hybrid Transportation System
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Hassan Nayebi, Erfan (Supervisor)
Abstract
Last-mile delivery, as the final stage of the retail supply chain, accounts for more than 50% of logistics costs and, with the growth of e-commerce and home delivery, exerts increasing pressure on urban networks. Forecasts indicate that the demand for last-mile delivery services will grow by approximately 78% by 2030, a trend that will lead to increased freight transport, pollutant emissions, and traffic congestion. The traditional truck-based delivery method, which requires separate visits to each customer, not only exacerbates traffic but also faces the challenge of failed deliveries. Therefore, the development of innovative solutions for last-mile delivery is considered a strategic...
The investigation of natural super-cavitation flow behind three-dimensional cavitators: Full cavitation model
, Article Applied Mathematical Modelling ; Volume 45 , 2016 , Pages 165-178 ; 0307904X (ISSN) ; Kadivar, Erfan ; Javadi, K ; Javadpour, S. M ; Sharif University of Technology
Elsevier Inc
2016
Abstract
In this study, natural super-cavitating flow around three different conical cavitators with wedge angles of 30°, 45° and 60° is investigated. We apply the k−ϵ turbulence model and the volume of fluid (VOF) technique to numerically study the three-dimensional cavitating flow around the cavitators. The turbulence approach is coupled with a mass transfer model which is implemented into the finite-volume package. Simulations are performed for different cavitation numbers. Finally, the effects of some important parameters such as the cavitation index, inlet velocity, Froude number and wedge angle of cavitators on the geometrical characteristics of the super-cavities are discussed. Our numerical...
Analysis and Improvement of Agile Software Development Process Using Process Mining and Machine Learning Algorithms
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Hassan Nayebi, Erfan (Supervisor)
Abstract
In the competitive world of software development, IT product development teams face numerous challenges and issues within business processes. In recent years, the combination of process mining and machine learning algorithms to optimize software development processes has gained attention. However, there is still a lack of a comprehensive model for identifying and conducting root-cause analysis of problems and providing solutions based on them in agile software development systems. The aim of this research is to find a solution for identifying and addressing issues in the software development process by modifying the change request workflow and examining various aspects of incidents. To...