Sharif Digital Repository

A probabilistic approach to modeling the seismic damage incurred by structural and nonstructural components is developed in this study. For this purpose, Bayesian linear regression is employed to characterize the epistemic uncertainty in the model. In this approach, regressors are constructed based on the mechanics of damage. In turn, the probability distributions of the model parameters and the model error are quantified by Bayesian regression using real-life data from laboratory experiments and/or post-earthquake inspections of damaged components. The study presents the stepwise procedure of collecting the observations, quantifying the repair costs, developing model forms, performing model...