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Evaluation of the Endpoint Damage of Climate Change Due to Power Plant Emissions on the Human Health Using Life Cycle Analysis

Mirzaee, Saeed | 2022

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  1. Type of Document: M.Sc. Thesis
  2. Language: Farsi
  3. Document No: 55344 (46)
  4. University: Sharif University of Technology
  5. Department: Energy Engineering
  6. Advisor(s): Avami, Akram
  7. Abstract:
  8. Preserving and promoting the health of citizens in a society is one of the most important problems addressed in any country. The power sector discharges a huge volume of carbon dioxide which intensifies the climate change and consequent human health problems.The goal of this study is to evaluate the ultimate effect of climate change caused by power plant emissions on the human health using life cycle analysis approach for different provinces in Iran. An integrated model has been developed to evaluate the impact of climate change due to power plant emissions on the human health. This model includes the equations regarding the variations in carbon dioxide concentration in the atmosphere, forecasting temperature rise, and the microscale model along with the equations of mortality rate caused by temperature rise. Under the baseline scenario, mortality rate due to the global warming in 2100 is supposed to be on average 3% higher in proportion to 2050.The southern, central desert, and north eastern provinces are supposed to suffer a higher death burden due to the climate change. The north western provinces besides Chaharmahl-e-bakhtiari and Ilam provinces will have a lower mortality rate due to the climate change relative to other areas according to the gathered data.Under the coal-free power plant scenario, the mortality rate in 2100 will have a reduction of 2.5% relative to the baseline scenario. Therefore, stopping the use of coal in power plants can have a positive effect on reducing the mortality rate. Under the sustainable development of power plants, the mortality rate due to temperature rise will have a reduction of 6.5% relative to the baseline scenario in different provinces in 2100. In this scenario, the temperature rise will not exceed 3 °C. The application of decarbonizing technologies in power plants will have lower the mortality rate by 1% in all of the provinces e. Thus, a compound and holistic approach is required to neutralize the effects of the climate change on the human health. By developing fossil power plants, the temperature rise is predicted to be 10.81 °C roughly and all of provinces will suffer from a mortality rate of 40% in 2100
  9. Keywords:
  10. Climate Change ; Power Plants ; Life Cycle Assessment ; Temperature ; Global Warming ; Well-Being

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