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Analyzing Iran's Natural Gas Pricing for Energy Intensive Industries by System Dynamics

Javadi, Yasin | 2024

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  1. Type of Document: M.Sc. Thesis
  2. Language: Farsi
  3. Document No: 57771 (46)
  4. University: Sharif University of Technology
  5. Department: Energy Engineering
  6. Advisor(s): Maleki, Abbas
  7. Abstract:
  8. This thesis examines the pricing of natural gas in Iran's energy-intensive industries using the system dynamics approach. The main objective of the research is to provide an analysis of the effects of gas price changes and their dimensions to assist policymakers in making optimal decisions regarding energy carrier pricing. The model is designed based on a systematic analysis of the economic behavior of energy-intensive industries and the impact of gas price fluctuations on their profitability, investment, and productivity. The study includes an examination of various gas pricing methods worldwide, particularly in North America and Europe, and compares them with the situation in Iran. Additionally, different pricing models, including oil-indexed pricing and cost-based approaches, are reviewed. The results of the research indicate that changes in natural gas prices may not significantly impact energy-intensive industries. Although increasing natural gas prices will raise the firms' costs, due to the low share of energy costs in these industries, even a sharp rise in natural gas prices will not pose major challenges for most energy-intensive industries. This research proposes a new pricing model, suggesting that natural gas prices in Iran should be adjusted in a way that not only maintains industrial productivity but also maximizes the country's economic benefits. This model can serve as a tool for policymakers in the energy sector
  9. Keywords:
  10. Energy Subside ; Natural Gas ; System Dynamic ; Dynamic Modeling ; Energy-Intensive Industries ; Gas Price

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