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Coastal Morphology Monitoring using Remote Sensing and Predicting Water Advance under Climate Change Scenarios Considering the Effect of Coastal Topography, Case Study: Bushehr Province Coast in the Persian Gulf
Mehdi , Imani | 2024
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- Type of Document: M.Sc. Thesis
- Language: Farsi
- Document No: 58135 (09)
- University: Sharif University of Technology
- Department: Civil Engineering
- Advisor(s): Raie, Mohammad
- Abstract:
- Shoreline monitoring and predicting has a very important role for policymakers and managers of coastal areas in future planning and achieving sustainable development. In this regard, to monitor the shorelines and predict its changes, a study has been conducted considering the effect of tides. In this study, the shoreline obtained from satellite images has been modified by using slope maps, slope direction and tidal data. Then these lines were monitored using the Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS) and finally Bruun's rule along with the RCP scenario was used to predict changes in the shoreline. In this research, the coastlines of Bushehr Province in the Persian Gulf have been selected as a case study. To achieve these goals, the study area is divided into two parts (Zone I and Zone II) for analysis. These two parts include sandy beaches and beaches developed by humans. In these areas, there are many mangrove forests and protected environmental areas, which are a suitable environment for the life of birds, aquatic animals and other animal species. The results obtained from statistical regression models in sandy beaches show that the average rate of shoreline retreat is -3.2 m/year, while the average rate of shoreline advance in human-developed beaches is +11.7 m/year. According to the predictions made until the years 2050 and 2100, based on the RCP8.5 scenario, the studied sandy beaches will face an average shoreline retreat rate of -23 and -60 meters, respectively
- Keywords:
- Remote Sensing ; Geographic Information System (GIS) ; Shore Lines ; Climate Change ; Shoreline Retreat ; Tidal Effect Correction ; Digital Shoreline Analysis System (DSAS)Technique ; Coastal Morphology
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