Sharif Digital Repository

Revenue management (RM) and customer relationship management (CRM) are the standard strategies of many hotels to increase their profitability. Although the objectives and time horizons of RM and CRM are different, they can be considered as complimentary business strategies. However, the integration has received little attention both practically and theoretically. In this study, we develop an approach to jointly make the capacity allocation and overbooking decisions considering CRM strategies over a hotel network. Hotel customers are divided based on their lifetime value into two major groups of occasional and loyal customers. Price discounts and room availability guarantee (RAG) are offered... 

In order to design a decision-making framework in production environments, in this study, we use both the stochastic dynamic programming and Bayesian inference concepts. Using the posterior probability of the production process to be in state λ (the hazard rate of defective products), first we formulate the problem into a stochastic dynamic programming model. Next, we derive some properties for the optimal value of the objective function. Then, we propose a solution algorithm. At the end, the applications and the performances of the proposed methodology are demonstrated by two numerical examples. © 2007 Asian Network for Scientific Information  

In this paper, we use both stochastic dynamic programming and Bayesian inference concepts to design an optimum-acceptance-sampling-plan policy in quality control environments. To determine the optimum policy, we employ a combination of costs and risk functions in the objective function. Unlike previous studies, accepting or rejecting a batch are directly included in the action space of the proposed dynamic programming model. Using the posterior probability of the batch being in state p (the probability of non-conforming products), first, we formulate the problem into a stochastic dynamic programming model. Then, we derive some properties for the optimal value of the objective function, which... 

If at least one out of two serial machines that produce a specific product in manufacturing environments malfunctions, there will be non conforming items produced. Determining the optimal time of the machines' maintenance is the one of major concerns. While a convenient common practice for this kind of problem is to fit a single probability distribution to the combined defect data, it does not adequately capture the fact that there are two different underlying causes of failures. A better approach is to view the defects as arising from a mixture population: one due to the first machine failures and the other due to the second one. In this article, a mixture model along with both Bayesian... 

In this research, we employ Bayesian inference and stochastic dynamic programming approaches to select the binomial population with the largest probability of success from n independent Bernoulli populations based upon the sample information. To do this, we first define a probability measure called belief for the event of selecting the best population. Second, we explain the way to model the selection problem using Bayesian inference. Third, we clarify the model by which we improve the beliefs and prove that it converges to select the best population. In this iterative approach, we update the beliefs by taking new observations on the populations under study. This is performed using Bayesian... 

Production planning is one of the most important issues in manufacturing. The nature of this problem is complex and therefore researchers have studied it under several and different assumptions. In this paper, applied production planning problem is studied in a general manner and it is assumed that there exists an optimal control problem that its production planning strategy is a digital controller and must be optimized. Since this is a random problem because of stochastic values of sales in future, it is modeled as a stochastic dynamic programming and then it is transformed to a linear programming model using successive approximations. Then, it is proved that these two models are...