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Heterogeneity of trade patterns in high-tech goods across established and emerging exporters: A panel data analysis
, Article Emerging Markets Finance and Trade ; Volume 49, Issue 4 , Dec , 2013 , Pages 4-21 ; 1540496X (ISSN) ; Sharif University of Technology
2013
Abstract
This study aims to identify underlying fundamental factors behind high-tech exports by the established and emerging countries, separately. The author also examines whether the two export patterns converge over time. Based on the gravity approach, a generalized method of moments panel estimator is applied to rigorously address the endogeneity problem in both static and dynamic versions of the model. In addition, the nonstationary and cointegrating features of variables are discussed. The author finds that high-tech exports from the emerging countries are mainly based on foreign direct investment inflows and participation in the international production chain, as well as a high degree of...
A Study of Iran Gas Export Markets and Strategic Proposal for Entering
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Kermanshah, Ali (Supervisor)
Abstract
Possessing second place among gas reserve owner countries worldwide, Iran enjoys a very particular position in energy supply field. The crude oil is about to be replaced by natural gas in fuel sector because of growing demand for natural gas along with depletion of crude oil reserves. Some other drivers to this change are the increase in the known reserves of natural gas, the need to monetize stranded gas reserves and the environmental pressure to minimize the flaring of associated gas and carbon dioxide emissions. In such conditions the optimum consumption of these national abundant resources results in obtaining considerable revenues and strong presence of Iran in world consumption...
A Study of Challenges and Opportunities in Entering the Arab States of Persian Gulf's Market
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Askariazad, Mohammad Hossein (Supervisor)
Abstract
As the Business environment becomes more and more competitive, companies are forced to push themselves to use their capabilities in order to gain success. The success of the companies depends on their business knowledge and the strategies they use to compete in global market. The purpose of this study is to examine the attitude of consumers towards Beem products in Iran and the potential customers’ attitude toward home appliance product in Arab State of Persian Gulf (ASPG) in order to define the most proper strategy of adaptation to enter into an international market and increase the market share in a new environment. Quantitative methods have been chosen for gathering data. Two sets of...
Calculating Sustainable Level of Government Expenditures and Non-Oil Primary Deficit in Iran
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Nili, Massoud (Supervisor)
Abstract
Fiscal sustainability in Iran is essential for the government to make sure to sustain its current policies in the long run without defaulting on liabilities or expenditures. On the other hand, fiscal sustainability in Iran, as an oil-exporting country, is essential to prevent fluctuations in macro economy in short run due to fluctuations in oil price. In this paper, by simulating two models, the sustainable level of government expenditures and primary non-oil budget deficit are calculated. The first model shows the optimal use of oil revenues. In the second model government decides to cut using oil revenues in budget; based on this aim, the revenues allocated to expenditures and saving are...
Is Exporting Improve the Performance of Plant?« Evidence from Iranian Industrial Exporters»
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Madanizadeh, Ali (Supervisor)
Abstract
The purpose of this research is compare some indicators of size, performance and productivity between exporter and non-exporter plants. For this purpose and, to answer questions of research we use from the industrial plants dataset (1382_1390). We obtain some stylized facts from the dataset then test evidence from data with econometric methods. In this dataset there are information about property, management, sales (domestic/foreign), inputs (domestic/foreign) and information about labor force, capital, investment of plant and many other variety information about plant. The results of my research show that always exporter in most measures of performance, size and productivity advantages...
Political Economy of White Elephants in Oil Exporting Countries
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Nili, Masoud (Supervisor)
Abstract
The procyclical behavior of public investment expenditure in OECs is one of the main channels through which the blessing of the natural resource abundance turns into a curse. The focal issue about the public investment expenditures in OECs is the misallocation and the inefficiency of these expenditures which often appear in the form of white elephants- i.e. government investment projects with large scale and high social/political prestige for the politicians implementing theme, but with negative economic return- especially in the oil booms. Moreover, the imprical evidence shows that the efficiency of public investment management in OECs is positively and significantly correlated with the...
Evaluation of Methanol Value Chain
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Maleki, Abbas (Supervisor) ; Hosseini, Ali (Supervisor)
Abstract
In this research, a general model is proposed aiming at establishment of optimized application of Methane gas with maximum added value. That is, maximum added value of methane for different applications of methane including consumption as fuel, export and injection-to-wells are calculated and compared. Accordingly, results of this study are used for decision making regarding Iran’s most important gas reservoirs. In this study, maximum present net value of investment concerning comparison of petrochemical industry input and export to a number of selected countries in addition to injection in 20 years is calculated based on a specific discount rate. It is noteworthy that the scope of this...
The Feasibility Study of Micronized Powder Plant for Exporting (UNIDO METOD)
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Hooshmand, Mahmoud (Supervisor)
Abstract
This thesis deals with the development of a hypothetical micronized powder factory and trying to test and engage in this hypothetical development of the following plant, it considers following factors:
1-Domestic & International market
2-Plant location
3-Plant design & development
a.machinery
b.technology & equipment
c.human resource
d.environment
e.packing
4-raw material
5-shipping & transport
To evaluate above factors the UNIDO methodology is used in this research work. The UNIDO methods are using a process by which feasibility studies of production facilities or plant are base on. After reviewing a variety of factors, ranging from financial...
1-Domestic & International market
2-Plant location
3-Plant design & development
a.machinery
b.technology & equipment
c.human resource
d.environment
e.packing
4-raw material
5-shipping & transport
To evaluate above factors the UNIDO methodology is used in this research work. The UNIDO methods are using a process by which feasibility studies of production facilities or plant are base on. After reviewing a variety of factors, ranging from financial...
Modeling jumps in organization of petroleum exporting countries basket price using generalized autoregressive heteroscedasticity and conditional jump
, Article Investment Management and Financial Innovations ; Volume 13, Issue 4 , 2016 , Pages 196-202 ; 18104967 (ISSN) ; Gharaati, S ; Dolatabadi, I ; Sharif University of Technology
LLC CPC Business Perspectives
Abstract
This paper uses autoregressive jump intensity (ARJI) model to show that the oil price has both GARCH and conditional jump component. In fact, the distribution of oil prices is not normal, and oil price returns have conditional heteroskedasticity. Here the authors compare constant jump intensity with the dynamic jump intensity and evidences demonstrate that oil price returns have dynamic jump intensity. Therefore, there is strong evidence of time varying jump intensity Generalized Autoregressive Heteroscedasticity (GARCH) behavior in the oil price returns. The findings have several implications: first, it shows that oil price is highly sensitive to news, and it does settle around a trend in...
Role of Oil in Financial Development-economic Growth Volatility Nexus
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Nili, Masoud (Supervisor) ; Madanizadeh, Ali (Supervisor)
Abstract
In this research, we investigate the role of oil and degree of dependence to it on nexus between financial development and growth volatility. The link between financial development and growthvolatility has been the focus of extensive literature, but no empirical study has been investigated the role of oilin relationship between financial development and growth fluctuations. By using information of 78 developing countries (11 oil exporting and 67 non-oil countries) during 1983-2008, we construct a dynamic model. Difference GMM technique is used to estimate the model. Our findings show that negative impact of financial development on volatility of GDP, Investment and Consumptiongrowth is...
Reengineering of Customs Exports Processes, Case Study
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Akbari Jokar, Mohammad Reza (Supervisor)
Abstract
Sensitivity and importance of exports of goods and services has led countriesto identify its tools and factors in order todeveloptheirexports. One of the mostimportant factorsin the development ofexports of goodsandservices, is the customsformalities.Dueto the high volumeof trade and the increasingspeed ofbusiness,Customsisalsoinevitablybe transformed, Because the Customsclients, expect as fast as they trade their goods, the Customs formalities done.In this research , we have tried to improve the customs export procedures, in accordance with the objectives and outlined prospects for foreign trade space provided. Thus, while recognizing the duties and customs policies and the study of the...
Technology planning system for the Iranian petroleum industry: lessons learned from sanctions
, Article Technological Forecasting and Social Change ; Volume 122 , 2017 , Pages 170-178 ; 00401625 (ISSN) ; Ghazinoory, S ; Arasti, M ; Fassihi, S. F ; Sharif University of Technology
Abstract
Iran's petroleum industry is facing challenges including maturity of hydrocarbon fields, growing population of the nation that demands additional revenues from petroleum exports, and international economic sanctions that have limited access to technology sources. Restrictions from international technology providers have led managers of the industry enterprises to try to develop their needed technologies inside the country. The Ministry of Petroleum has supervised this and as a result, a technology planning systems has been developed and implemented since 2009. In this paper, an overview of the Iranian petroleum industry is provided from a technology planning perspective. The focus has been...
Economic Cooperation Organization: Ex-post Impact and Potentials on Intra-group Trade in Non-Oil Industries Using Gravity Model
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Abedini, Javad (Supervisor)
Abstract
International trade arrangements have been considerably developed in recent decadees. Especially, one can note the role of these factors in economic development and improvement of life standards in member countries. In the meantime, Economic Cooperation Organization (ECO) was established in 1985, by Iran, Pakistan and Turkey and then extended by seven other countries: Afghanistan, Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan, Turkmenistan and Uzbekistan. Improving economic development and intra-group trade of member countries is one of the main objectives for the group. The purpose of this research is to estimate the ex-post effects of ECO on the intra-group trade of member countries....
Feasibility study of carbon dioxide capture from power plants and other major stationary sources and storage in Iranian oil fields for enhanced oil recovery (EOR)
, Article 9th International Conference on Greenhouse Gas Control Technologies, GHGT-9, Washington DC, 16 November 2008 through 20 November 2008 ; Volume 1, Issue 1 , 2009 , Pages 3663-3668 ; 18766102 (ISSN) ; Eslami, A. M ; Moradian, A ; US Department of Energy ; Sharif University of Technology
2009
Abstract
Iran, with a record of over one century of oil production, is currently one of the major oil producing countries of the world. Several of the old fields have been depleted to an uneconomical level of production which requires significant amount of natural gas for re-injection so that currently over 100 million cubic meters of natural gas is reinjected daily to maintain or enhance oil production to an economical level. It is estimated that in order to maintain oil production, over 200 million cubic meters of natural gas will be needed daily by 2015. However, due to the increased level of domestic and export demands for natural gas, EOR with natural gas is prohibitive and therefore portions of...
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Abedini, Javad (Supervisor)
Abstract
In this piece of work, a gravity model is suggested as Iranian non-fuel export model to OIC countries. The most important results out of this model are the acquired coefficients of two variables, namely “ECO membership” and “Economic and Trade Freedom of Importer”. At first, we expected that for importer, being a member of ECO would increase the amount of trade with iran. Surprisingly, this is not what we see in a model. In fact, as ECO has not achieved any tangible success in increasing trade between its members, eastern Asian Muslim countries has become an important trade partner for iranians. This result is compatible with other pieces of researches about ECO. “Economic and Trade Freedom...
Iran’s Strategies to Access to China’s LNG Markets: Using Game Theory
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Maleki, Abbas (Supervisor)
Abstract
This study will examine the interests of Iran in entering one of the largest and most outreaching LNG markets which is China. In order to examine these interests, understanding China's policy on importing LNG and the competitive environment in this market is necessary. First, the decision theory is used to simulate China's policy on adjusting the import mix during the demand growth period of 2011 to 2017.This provides a simulated picture of its policy on increasing demand for the 2020. Then, the behavior of other LNG exporting countries to China is analyzed using game theory approach. By analyzing the sensitivity of the parameters in which uncertainty exist, it was revealed that Iran's...
The emergence of Iran in the world car industry: An estimation of its export potential
, Article World Economy ; Volume 32, Issue 5 , 2009 , Pages 790-818 ; 03785920 (ISSN) ; Péridy, N ; Sharif University of Technology
2009
Abstract
In the past 10 years Iran has been emerging as a major car producer in the world. However, due to delays in economic reforms, Iranian car exports have not increased as much as production. This paper presents a first estimation of the Iranian export potential in the car industry. Based on new theoretical developments of the gravity equation, an empirical bilateral trade model is proposed. It includes sectoral variables (car production, import tariffs), as well as other original variables, such as expectations and hysteresis. We then develop a dataset which includes the 40 major car-exporting countries in the world, 34 importing countries, a 10-year time period as well as four car production...
To What Extent Do Oil Price Shocks Explain the Business Cylces of the Economy of Iran in a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrim Model Under New-Keynesian Assumptions?
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Nili, Masoud (Supervisor)
Abstract
In this thesis, a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium model under new-Keynesian assumptions has been proposed for the economy of Iran, as a major oil-exporting economy. The economy is supposed to be inhabited by households, firms (both final-good and intermediate-good producing firms), a government and a monetary authority. It is exposed to stochastic and exogenous shocks to total factor productivity, oil export revenues and the growth rate of money. The most important features of the model, which distinguish it from most other proposed models for the economy of Iran, are the assumptions of the presence of monopolistic competition in intermediate-good producing firms and also a degree of...
Including Oil Sector to What Extent Explains Countercyclical Co-Movement in Oil Exporting Countries Production
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Nili, Massoud (Supervisor)
Abstract
International co-movements of oil exporting countries macroeconomic aggregates especially in production are different from developed countries counterparts. Between those negative production co-movement of oil exporting and developed countries is most important. In this article we first test this countercyclical co-movement in production and set it as stylized fact. Besides, by studying consumption and investment co-movements, we find other international business cycles stylized facts as well. Then by constructing two country model for oil exporting and developing country pair we present an answer for “why is so?” The model replicates real data well in ordering of the correlations. This...
Investigating the Knowledge, Usage and Attitude of Exporters to the Support Programs of the Trade Promotion Organization of Iran
, M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology ; Mashayekhi, Ali Naghi (Supervisor)
Abstract
In this study, we seek to evaluate the three factors of knowledge level, the rate of use and attitude of exporting companies to the services provided by Iran Trade Promotion Organization. A questionnaire was used to collect information and data from 68 active companies in different industries of the country. Questions are about the 8 support packages officialy provided by the trade promotion organization to help exporters. In this research, we first studied the importance of the subject and the theories presented in this regard, and then we examined the similar studies conducted in other countries. Afterwards, we describe the tools used to collect information and present the results of the...