Sharif Digital Repository

The main objective of this research is to provide a framework by which decision-makers can evaluate and compare alternatives for sustainable development planning under uncertain dynamic future considering the risk and uncertainty associated with human judgment as well as the uncertain future. This approach combines the Delphi method, fuzzy set theory, and a discrete multi-criteria method based on prospect theory (TODIM). TODIM (an acronym in Portuguese for iterative MCDM) method is a particular multi-criteria approach based on the prospect theory. A qualitative Delphi technique is used to identify a set of qualitative sustainability criteria and to rate the alternatives accordingly. The... 

This thesis has two section. In the first section, this thesis studies the dynamic behavior of daily oil prices and finds strong evidence of GARCH as well as conditional jump behavior. This implies that conditional heter oscedasticity is present and the empirical distribution of oil price changes has heavy tails. Thus, the oil price consider ably sensitive to news and does not settle around along-run trend.In the second section This thesis investigates the out-of-sample value-at-risk (VaR) forecasts in gulf cooperation council stock markets by considering both oil volatilities and the developed GARCH model construction. The em-pirical results indicate that the Oil GARCH model with... 

The use of clean energy sources has become increasingly popular around the world in recent years. One of the most important of these sources is wind energy. Due to the high wind potential in offshore areas than on land, this study uses the integration of multi-criteria decision-making methods and GIS to identify the best areas for developing offshore wind farms in the Persian Gulf and the Sea of Oman. Criteria applied in this study are divided into two categories: restrictive criteria, such as recommended transportation routes and anchored restricted areas, and technical criteria, such as wind speed and water depth. After removing the inappropriate areas using restrictive criteria, the... 

Coral reefs are one of the most important ecosystems in terms of animal diversity and affect the life of organisms in different ways. This ecosystem is under many stresses today. Among the most important events that threaten corals is the event of coral bleaching, the most important cause of which is the increase in Sea Surface Temperature (SST). Therefore, it is highly important to monitor changes in SST affecting corals. Generally, temperature anomalies are investigated using the Degree Heating Weeks index (DHW) and SST data. DHW index is variable in different coral areas and changes with time. Consequently, in the present study, this index has been investigated due to the lack of... 

Different causes in the exploration, production and transport of oil in the marine environment result in oil spill events. Since elimination of the probability of occurrence of spills is not possible, it is important to have a plan to control the risk of oil spills by optimal response. In this research, a general stucture is presented for the DSS required for oil spill response planning. This system can be used for evaluation of the effectiveness of response drills, and risk-based ranking of receptor areas and spill sources. Ranking based on risk is realized through probabilistic or stochastic risk assessment. The applicability of the proposed system is examined in differnet case studies in... 

Knowing the location and time of oil accidents and trying to track the pollution caused by these accidents is very important for the purpose of monitoring and protecting the environment. The occurrence of large oil spills in the marine environment can have serious environmental, social and economic consequences. In this research, oil spills in the Persian Gulf were first identified using remote sensing method and Sentinel-1 satellite images. The images of this satellite were called for the processes needed to identify oil spills in Google Earth Engine space. After detecting the oil spills, it is necessary to determine the duplicate spills and remove these types of spills, as well as estimate... 

Super cyclone GONU formed on June 2007 has been recognized the strongest tropical cyclone in the North Indian Ocean (NIO). The aim of this study is to numerically simulate the cyclone GONU and its resulting waves in the southern seas of Iran leading to the best parametric model to simulate future occurrence of tropical cyclones (TCs) in the NIO. In this regard, the best track data of the cyclone is extracted from Indian Meteorological Department (IMD). The cyclone GONU wind field is simulated by Young and Sobey, Holland, and Rankin models in order to determine the most appropriate model which is then considered for regenerating cyclonic wind fields over the Makran coastline and the sea of... 

Many of the major structure over coastal waters in the Kish Island due to the aggressive condition are showing signs of reinforcement corrosion. Recent advances in the development of anodes make it practical to use zinc galvanic cathodic protection to protect this structure in this area. Five anode systems were tested on several samples as, (1) zinc metal spray applied by arc-spraying on the concrete, (2) a zinc foil with conductive adhesive backing, (3) a system of zinc mesh and grout jacket, (4) a system of zinc mesh and compression panels, and (5) a bulk zinc. These anodes are set up to comparison the effects of potential and current over the zinc galvanic cathodic protection during 4... 

With regards to rapid growth of world population, coastlines have limited natural resources and capacity for human settlement. To tackle the problem the idea of constructing artificial islands could be a solution. Since the artificial islands are semi-enclosed body of water designed to attract not only tourists but also settlements, the flow current pattern and residence time of water should be studied in detail in order to ensure adequate water quality in the surrounding area. In this study, an artificial island is planned to be constructed around Kish Island in Persia Gulf. In this article the effects of different geometries on circulation and residence time of water are investigated... 

The determinants of business cycles and how to deal with them are amongst the most important issues in macroeconomics. Using the annual data between 1980 to 2012, available for six oil producing members of Gulf cooperation council, we draw a connection between trade structure and business cycle synchronization. In fact, we try to answer whether the same trade structure in these countries with very similar characteristics has led to synchronized booms and recessions among them. Assuming cross correlation, different estimation methods, including common correlated effects, confirm the positive significant effect of trades tructure on business... 

Coral reef waters are called rainforest. The importance of coral reef waters is related to their diversity and millions species. According to incremental development of Kish Island, specially the west part of this island contributed to Tourism industry which is affected by dredging, sediment discharge in coastal area, constructing waterfront, the flows close to the beach due to breakwater and eutrophication. This Island includes marine resources and many biodiversity .So the management of marine environment is needed to be considered. Iran as a rich country due to coral reefs is considered as a most valuable marine environment in Persian Gulf. The process of polluting Persian Gulf is... 

In this project sulfur concretes were prepared. The optimum of casting temperature, weight percent of sulfur cement and weight percent of filler were analyzed, so that better corrosion resistance could be found. It is observed, the optimum sulfur is 15% for sulfur concrete samples with 21% sulfur cement; the optimum filler is 10-15% with 18% sulfur cement and finally the optimum filler is 10% for concrete samples with 15% sulfur cement. The casting temperature for concrete with 15-21% sulfur cement is in the interval of 127-150°C could be achieved. By applying the relation between the optimum filler percent and the content of sulfur cement and choosing a suitable temperature for casting... 

Corrosion study of the reinforced concrete is one of the most commonly investigation for the construction in civil engineering. The corrosion of embedded steel for the structures in the marine area like the Persian Gulf Sea Water needed considerable attentions. Presence of chlorides and decrease of pH in pores reinforcement depth of concrete is a serious problem. Research the corrosion rate in reinforced concrete system using fibers with a rebar is investigated. Cellulose and Carbon fiber materials are used as inhibitors. The addition of small quantities of these materials into the concrete mixture, will change the concrete permeability and the corrosion resistance rate. Tests demonstrate... 

Assessment of existing jacket type offshore platforms in Persian Gulf for life extension is of great importance in the field of offshore platforms in recent years. The main question to answer is whether an existing platform is safe enough to be used beyond the design life. Evaluation of existing jacket type offshore platforms under extreme environmental (wave) loading in Persian Gulf is a part of this major assessment. Two general approaches exist in this context, deterministic and probabilistic assessment. In this thesis, a new probabilistic method (reliability analysis) to assess offshore structures under environmental loading (extreme wave) is introduced. This method is a... 

Assessment of existing jacket-type offshore platforms in Persian Gulf for life extension or operative conditions is a major concern for oil offshore companies in recent years. Significant damage to offshore platforms as well as their contents will induce significant losses such as financial losses, fatalities and casualties. On the other hand, extreme waves or earthquakes are low-probability, large-consequence and large-uncertainty hazards that can affect these critical facilities; therefore, the assessment of existing offshore platforms subjected to each of these sources can be successfully carried out by a probabilistic approach. In this dissertation, a unique probabilistic...