Sharif Digital Repository

In the present research, results from the finite element (FE) stress analysis of 108 models, validated using test data obtained from the experimental investigation, was used to propose probability distribution models for stress concentration factors (SCFs) in internally ring-stiffened tubular KT-joints under four types of in-plane bending (IPB) loads. The SCF is one of the crucial parameters in the fatigue reliability analysis of tubular joints. It exhibits considerable scatter which calls for greater emphasis in accurate derivation of its governing probability function. According to the knowledge of the authors, no comprehensive research has been carried out on the probability distribution... 

This paper puts forward a framework for optimal mitigation of regional risk to enhance the resilience of civil infrastructure. To meet this objective, probabilistic models, methods, and software are developed and applied. The work is conducted within a new reliability-based approach, in which reliability methods compute risk. This contrasts several contemporary approaches for risk analysis. Risk, in this context, denotes the probability of exceeding monetary loss. Evaluating such probabilities requires probabilistic models for hazards, response, damage, and loss. This motivates the following contributions in this paper. First, a new computer program is developed that is tailored to conduct... 

To cope with the unprecedented growth of mobile data traffic, we investigate the performance gains obtained from unifying coverage-centric 4G mobile networks and capacity-centric fiber-wireless (FiWi) broadband access networks based on data-centric Ethernet technologies with resulting fiber backhaul sharing and WiFi offloading capabilities. Despite recent progress on backhaul-aware 4G studies with capacity-limited backhaul links, the performance-limiting impact of backhaul latency and reliability has not been examined in sufficient detail previously. In this paper, we evaluate the maximum aggregate throughput, offloading efficiency, and in particular, the delay performance of FiWi enhanced... 

Doubly fed induction generators (DFIGs) are widely used in wind power systems; hence their reliability model is an important consideration for production assessment and economic analysis of wind energy conversion systems. However, to date mutual influences of reliability analysis, production estimations and economic assessments of wind farms have not been fully investigated. This study proposes a reliability model for DFIG wind turbines considering their subcomponent failure rates and downtimes. The proposed production estimation algorithm leads to an economic assessment for wind farms. A comprehensive spare parts management procedure is then presented in the study. As a case study,... 

Power plant successful operation is always a function of its constituent sub-systems and components. Due to the current financial constraints in power industry, power plant operators are continuously facing a wide range of challenges when dealing with maintenance scheduling and asset management practices of the plant sub-systems. Knowledge on the roles and criticality of the constituent components on the plant overall performance will help in establishing the plans for its smooth, safe, and economic operation. To ensure making the techno-economical decisions on the maintenance of power plant equipment, this paper focuses on the reliability modeling of the combined cycle power plants (CCPP).... 

Despite the significant research efforts devoted to the microgrid and smart grid areas, numerous problems related to real world implementations still remain unsolved. The present special issue was announced with the objective of addressing and disseminating state-of-the-art R&D results on microgrids to bring together researchers from both academia and industry with the goal of fostering interactions among stakeholders. In response, 190 two-page extended abstracts were received and considered for the first round of reviews. Authors of about 60 selected abstracts were then invited to submit the full papers in the second round and out of them 27 high-quality manuscripts were ultimately approved... 

Absorber is an important component in absorption machines and its characteristics have significant effects on the overall efficiency of absorption machines. This article reports a model of simultaneous heat and mass transfer process in absorption of refrigerant vapor into a lithium bromide solution of water - cooled vertical plate absorber in the Reynolds number range of 5 < Re < 150. The boundary layer assumptions were used for the transport of mass, momentum and energy equations and the fully implicit finite difference method was employed to solve the governing equations in the film flow. Dependence of lithium bromide aqueous properties to the temperature and concentration and film... 

Implementation of Distribution Automation (DA) in electric power distribution systems can result in customer satisfaction with improved reliability, consistent quality and high-tech services. Loop Restoration Strategy (LRS) is a special DA method in the feeder level which is used by electric utilities to improve distribution system reliability. The effects of the implemented LRS on the reliability indices of a given distribution system mainly depend on its Automatic Control System (ACS). Selecting the type of ACS of LRS by electric utilities relies on the level of improvement required at load points and system oriented reliability indices. A step by step evaluation procedure is proposed in... 

Escalating reliability threats and performance issues due to process variations under the tight power envelopes of multi- /many-core chips challenge the cost-effective deployment of future technology nodes. We propose an adaptive run-time system that synergistically integrates heterogeneous hardening modes at both hardware and software levels, and selects appropriate hardening modes for concurrently executing applications under total chip power budget and timing constraints, while optimizing for reliability. To enable a high level of adaptability, we perform a comprehensive analysis of various design tradeoffs and study the impact of hardware/software hardening modes in terms of achieved... 

This paper reveals the consequences of practicing the 2015 National Earthquake Hazards Reduction Program (NEHRP) soilstructure interaction (SSI) provisions, which form the basis of the 2016 edition of the seismic design standard provided by the ASCE. For this purpose, the probability that the practice of SSI provisions, in lieu of fixed-base provisions, increases the ductility demand of the structure computed. It is subsequently investigated whether the NEHRP provisions are indeed an improvement upon the SSI provisions of the current ASCE seismic design standard. To this end, 720 soil-structure systems with different numbers of stories, structural systems, aspect ratios, and foundation... 

Current design practice is usually to produce a safety system which meets a target level of performance that is deemed acceptable by the regulators. Safety systems are designed to prevent or alleviate the consequences of potentially hazardous events. In many modern industries the failure of such systems can lead to whole system breakdown. In reliability analysis of complex systems involving multiple components, it is assumed that the components have different failure rates with certain probabilities. This leads into extensive computational efforts involved in using the commonly employed generating function (GF) and the recursive algorithm to obtain reliability of systems consisting of a... 

This study presents a framework that utilizes Bayesian regression to create probabilistic cost models for retrofit actions. Performance improvement is the key parameter introduced in the proposed framework. The incorporation of this novel feature facilitates the characterization of retrofit cost as a continuous function of the desired performance improvement. Accounting for the performance gained from retrofit enables the use of the models in determining the optimal level of retrofit. Furthermore, accounting for the model uncertainty facilitates the use of the models in risk and reliability analyses. The proposed framework is applied to create seismic retrofit cost models for masonry school... 

The first-order reliability method (FORM) is a well-known procedure for reliability analysis in the engineering community. It provides an efficient way to calculate the failure probability of a structure. However, it introduces an unknown error in the estimations for non-linear limit states. This paper seeks a correction for the FORM by employing Monte Carlo simulation. The proposed method combines the efficiency of FORM with the robustness of the Monte Carlo method. The merits of the proposed method are illustrated through benchmark examples. The results show the high accuracy of the proposed method and a substantial reduction in the number of samples compared with crude Monte Carlo. ©...