Sharif Digital Repository

This work presents a modification of deep neural networks for time series analysis. We used kernel layer(s), as a novel approach, at the beginning of the common deep neural networks. These kernels learn based on dynamic time warping (DTW). In each kernel, DTW is calculated between the kernel value and a part of input time series or a part of last layer output (if the kernel is not in the first layer). DTW also gives an alignment path for the input series. This alignment path is used to defining a loss function with the goal of getting better alignment (lower DTW distance) between the kernel and the other input. Besides getting better accuracy on the examined datasets, the other achievement... 

Throughout history, forming an optimal asset portfolio has been the primary goal of capital owners and managers of investment funds in any economic activity. Achieving this goal is equivalent to trying to minimize the risk caused by the inevitable fluctuations in the capital market and maximizing the overall investment return during the expected period. Investors can operate in various financial markets where there are different stocks and asset classes in each of these markets. The main goal of investors is to identify profitable stocks and form an optimal asset portfolio based on them.Based on this, during the past decades, many studies have been conducted to form and optimize the stock... 

Using revenue management in any industry can increase the profit. In aviation industries, due to the huge number of requests and travels for each airline, a revenue management system can lead to a good profit for the airlines. The first step in revenue management system is predicting the demand.In this article two models are developed using time series techniques, based on the information taken from one of the Iranian airlines in Tehran-Mashhad fly route.The first model is developed using ARIMA and seasonal-ARIMA models and the second one is based on the demand and price history, price in the day of prediction and the ARIMA model. The second model which is a combination of price, prior price... 

The use of machine learning and deep learning tools to predict the future behavior of trends in massive data requires the extraction and creation of the eigenvector for the chosen model in the problem. It should be noted that simply by increasing the number of features, it cannot be expected that the learning model will have a higher efficiency. Rather, the quality and importance of the features in the field under study should be carefully considered. Topics such as data redundancy, data correlation, the amount of information in the data, distorted data, outliers, etc. are important steps in improving the dataset and creating a feature vector for training the learning model. In the realm of... 

Complex systems are composed of a large number of subsystems behaving in a collective manner. In such systems, which are usually far from equilibrium, collective behavior arises due to self-organization and results in the formation of temporal, spatial, spatio-temporal and functional structures. The dynamics of order parameters in complex systems are generally non-stationary and can interact with each other in nonlinear manner. As a result, the analysis of the behavior of complex systems must be based on the assessment of the nonlinear interactions, as well as the determination of the characteristics and the strength of the fluctuating forces. This leads to the problem of retrieving a... 

Studies in recent years have shown formation of strongly functionally linked sub-networks during rest, networks that are often referred to as resting-state networks. RSNs not only have basic information about the brain but also play a key role in detecting brain disorders, such as Alzheimer and Autism; Consequently, they have been remarkably noticed by neuroscientists. Numerous methods have been used in order to extract RSNs using resting-states fMRI time series. Independent component analysis (ICA) is the most common method, whi have been reported to show a high level of consistency neurophysiology; however, its results is unstable in subject-level. is weakness restricted the ICA... 

Financial and monetary markets are appropriate areas of applying Chaos Theory. Firstly, current theories of financial and monetary economics state that economic and financial variables such as exchange rates and stock prices are stochastic, so forecasting them is almost impossible. Secondly, if we find the hidden ordered and deterministic trends, we can achieve considerable profits. In this piece of research, we evaluate different methods and tests of detecting chaos in financial time series, and choose the most applicable methods to test financial markets’ indices. The main three indices of Tehran Stock Exchange, including Price, Finance and Industry indices, are examined. A sample of the... 

Road accidents are unfortunate events that cause more thanl16000 deaths each year in Iran. Intercity accidents require a comprehensive plan to reduce casualties because the number of roads users are increasing and the accidents account for nearlyl65% of fatalities. In this study, we first tried to identify the status of Iran through a study of traffic accidents in the world, and then the research and activities carried out in Iran were analyzed to find new and effective solutions. Using the daily fatalities data froml2008 tol2014, and using the new methodology presented in this research based on the Discrete Fourier Transformation (DFT), the Box-Jenkins models and the Secant method, the...