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    Predicting the competitive position of extended gates: The case of inland customs zones

    , Article European Journal of Transport and Infrastructure Research ; Volume 18, Issue 4 , 2018 , Pages 433-456 ; 15677141 (ISSN) Sherafatipour, S ; Saffarzadeh, M ; Tavasszy, L ; Fatemi Ardestani, S. F ; Sharif University of Technology
    Editorial Board EJTIR  2018
    Abstract
    The extended gate concept aims to reduce the pressure on international ports by postponing administrative processes from these border gates to inland terminals. At present, this approach is used mainly in the container transport industry in European and Asian ports. In this paper we study an extended gate concept, where inland customs services are made available from all entry points of a country. Our aim is to predict the portion of the current flow through border gates that is diverted to these inland customs zones. We propose a time-series gravity models to predict these changes and estimate the parameters of this model using publicly available data for different cargo groups. The focus... 

    On the control of unknown continuous time chaotic systems by applying takens embedding theory

    , Article Chaos, Solitons and Fractals ; Volume 109 , April , 2018 , Pages 53-57 ; 09600779 (ISSN) Kaveh, H ; Salarieh, H ; Hajiloo, R ; Sharif University of Technology
    Elsevier Ltd  2018
    Abstract
    In this paper, a new approach to control continuous time chaotic systems with an unknown governing equation and limitation on the measurement of states, has been investigated. In many chaotic systems, disability to measure all of the states is a usual limitation, like in some economical, biological and many other engineering systems. Takens showed that a chaotic attractor has an astonishing feature in which it can embed to a mathematically similar attractor by using time series of one of the states. The new embedded attractor saves much information from the original attractor. This phenomenon has been deployed to present a new way to control continuous time chaotic systems, when only one of... 

    Model-free chaos control in a chaotic henon-like system using takens embedding theory

    , Article 5th International Conference on Control, Instrumentation, and Automation, ICCIA 2017, 21 November 2017 through 23 November 2017 ; Volume 2018-January , 2018 , Pages 80-85 ; 9781538621349 (ISBN) Hajiloo, R ; Salarieh, H ; Alasty, A ; Sharif University of Technology
    Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc  2018
    Abstract
    In this paper, the problem of chaos control in a chaotic Henon-like system without using the governing equations of the system is investigated. It is also assumed that the system has only one measurable state. The time-series of the measurable state is used to stabilize chaos by a three-step method. First, using Takens embedding theory, a delayed phase space is reconstructed preserving the topological characteristics of the system. Then, an appropriate dynamic model is identified to estimate the time-series data in the reconstructed phase space. Finally, the unstable fixed point of the system is stabilized using an appropriate linear delayed feedback controller with controller gains... 

    Using Time Series and Planning Uncertain Demand in Supply Chain with System Dynamics Approach

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Rezaei, Davoud (Author) ; Kianfar, Farhad (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    In the field of supply chain, management constantly seeks to adopt strategies for realizing its targeted objectives. The supply chain, therefore, includes integrated production-distribution processes with all effective parts where proper management requires a comprehensive and dynamic approach. It is necessary to meet required items at required time. This becomes more important with the supply systems providing items. On the other hand, the difficulty of supply chain management, decisions, and policy-making can be increased by a wide range of conditions such as changes in demand. Thus, a comprehensive approach is needed to take the present dynamics into account. The current paper develops a... 

    Chaos control in delayed phase space constructed by the Takens embedding theory

    , Article Communications in Nonlinear Science and Numerical Simulation ; Volume 54 , 2018 , Pages 453-465 ; 10075704 (ISSN) Hajiloo, R ; Salarieh, H ; Alasty, A ; Sharif University of Technology
    Elsevier B.V  2018
    Abstract
    In this paper, the problem of chaos control in discrete-time chaotic systems with unknown governing equations and limited measurable states is investigated. Using the time-series of only one measurable state, an algorithm is proposed to stabilize unstable fixed points. The approach consists of three steps: first, using Takens embedding theory, a delayed phase space preserving the topological characteristics of the unknown system is reconstructed. Second, a dynamic model is identified by recursive least squares method to estimate the time-series data in the delayed phase space. Finally, based on the reconstructed model, an appropriate linear delayed feedback controller is obtained for... 

    ECG fiducial point extraction using switching Kalman filter

    , Article Computer Methods and Programs in Biomedicine ; Volume 157 , 2018 , Pages 129-136 ; 01692607 (ISSN) Akhbari, M ; Montazeri Ghahjaverestan, N ; Shamsollahi, M. B ; Jutten, C ; Sharif University of Technology
    Elsevier Ireland Ltd  2018
    Abstract
    In this paper, we propose a novel method for extracting fiducial points (FPs) of the beats in electrocardiogram (ECG) signals using switching Kalman filter (SKF). In this method, according to McSharry's model, ECG waveforms (P-wave, QRS complex and T-wave) are modeled with Gaussian functions and ECG baselines are modeled with first order auto regressive models. In the proposed method, a discrete state variable called “switch” is considered that affects only the observation equations. We denote a mode as a specific observation equation and switch changes between 7 modes and corresponds to different segments of an ECG beat. At each time instant, the probability of each mode is calculated and... 

    Time Series Analysis Of Meteorological-Climatic Variables For Urmia Lake Basin

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Hashemzadeh, Mohammad (Author) ; Tajrishy, Masoud (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Human as an important part of the natural environment and can exert their positive or negative effects in the form of long-term and short-term on a natural environment. Human impacts on the natural system are very complex and consist of various components. The most considerable among them from past to now are maybe land use and land cover change, although, the impact of dam construction, water pollution, air pollution and etc, can not be neglected. To quantify the impact of these changes, many researchers have studied meteorological and climatic parameters using statistical relationships, but one major problem always existed, the low spatial accuracy of meteorological data. In recent years,... 

    Turbulencelike behavior of seismic time series

    , Article Physical Review Letters ; Volume 102, Issue 1 , 2009 ; 00319007 (ISSN) Manshour, P ; Saberi, S ; Sahimi, M ; Peinke, J ; Pacheco, A. F ; Rahimi Tabar, M. R ; Sharif University of Technology
    2009
    Abstract
    We report on a stochastic analysis of Earth's vertical velocity time series by using methods originally developed for complex hierarchical systems and, in particular, for turbulent flows. Analysis of the fluctuations of the detrended increments of the series reveals a pronounced transition in their probability density function from Gaussian to non-Gaussian. The transition occurs 5-10 hours prior to a moderate or large earthquake, hence representing a new and reliable precursor for detecting such earthquakes. © 2009 The American Physical Society  

    Designing a multivariate-multistage quality control system using artificial neural networks

    , Article International Journal of Production Research ; Volume 47, Issue 1 , 2009 , Pages 251-271 ; 00207543 (ISSN) Akhavan Niaki, T ; Davoodi, M ; Sharif University of Technology
    2009
    Abstract
    In most real-world manufacturing systems, the production of goods comprises several autocorrelated stages and the quality characteristics of the goods at each stage are correlated random variables. This paper addresses the problem of monitoring a multivariate-multistage manufacturing process and diagnoses the possible causes of out-of-control signals. To achieve this purpose using multivariate time series models, first a model for the autocorrelated data coming from multivariate-multistage processes is developed. Then, a single neural network is designed, trained and employed to control and classify mean shifts in quality characteristics of all stages. In-control and out-of-control average... 

    Optimization of Support Vector Regression Parameters Using Firefly Algorithm

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Ghanbari, Mohammad Reza (Author) ; Mahdavi-Amiri, Nezameddin (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Support vector regression (SVR) in the field of machine learning attracted much attention because of its attractive features and high efficiency for high-dimensional and nonlinear data. Although support vector regression has shown to be very effective for prediction problems, it is necessary to adjust the parameters contained therein to obtain the desired output with error rates. In the past, this was done manually, by trial and error. Over time and by development of optimization algorithms, one of the newest methods to solve such problems is the meta-heuristic optimization algorithms. Therefore, in this thesis, we use the firefly optimization algorithm, which is a population-based... 

    Chaos Control in Delayed phase Space Constructed by the Takens' Embedding Theory

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Hajiloo, Reza (Author) ; Salarieh, Hassan (Supervisor) ; Alasty, Aria (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    One of the most surprising lessons of dynamical systems theory is that the phase spaces of simple nonlinear systems may contain strange attractors. For certain simple systems, such as pendulum, direct observations of the phase space and finding strange attractors are possible. But physical systems in which all the relevant dynamical variables can be simultaneously monitored are relatively scarce. Takens’ theory shows how a time-series of measurements of a single observable state can be often used to reconstruct qualitative features of the phase space of the system. In this research, using the time-series of one measurable state, an algorithm is proposed to control chaos. The approach... 

    A biologically plausible learning method for neurorobotic systems

    , Article 2009 4th International IEEE/EMBS Conference on Neural Engineering, NER '09, Antalya, 29 April 2009 through 2 May 2009 ; 2009 , Pages 128-131 ; 9781424420735 (ISBN) Davoudi, H ; Vosoughi Vahdat, B ; National Institutes of Health, NIH; National Institute of Neurological Disorders and Stroke, NINDS; National Science Foundation, NSF ; Sharif University of Technology
    2009
    Abstract
    This paper introduces an incremental local learning algorithm inspired by learning in neurobiological systems. This algorithm has no training phase and learns the world during operation, in a lifetime manner. It is a semi-supervised algorithm which combines soft competitive learning in input space and linear regression with recursive update in output space. This method is also robust to negative interference and compromises bias-variance dilemma. These qualities make the learning method a good nonlinear function approximator having possible applications in neuro-robotic systems. Some simulations illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed algorithm in function approximation, time-series... 

    Detection of streamflow trends and variability in karun river-Iran as parts of climate change and climate variability

    , Article Proceedings of World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2009 - World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2009: Great Rivers, 17 May 2009 through 21 May 2009, Kansas City, MO ; Volume 342 , 2009 , Pages 4782-4793 ; 9780784410363 (ISBN) Farrokhi, A. R ; Abrishamchi, A ; Sharif University of Technology
    2009
    Abstract
    This paper describes the application of statistical and spectral procedures that identifies trends and periodicity in streamflow time series. The results of Mann-Kendall and seasonal Kendall tests (non-parametric tests which are known as appropriate tools in detecting linear trends of hydrological time series) shows negative trends especially during low water months (August to November). This downward trend is more significant in October. But these methods can not interpret periodic behavior. Hence spectral procedures were applied on data series to investigate periodicities in streamflow data series. Fourier and Continuous Wavelet Transform (CWT) analyses produce evidence of interannual... 

    A hybrid simulation-adaptive network based fuzzy inference system for improvement of electricity consumption estimation

    , Article Expert Systems with Applications ; Volume 36, Issue 8 , 2009 , Pages 11108-11117 ; 09574174 (ISSN) Azadeh, A ; Saberi, M ; Gitiforouz, A ; Saberi, Z ; Sharif University of Technology
    2009
    Abstract
    This paper presents a hybrid adaptive network based fuzzy inference system (ANFIS), computer simulation and time series algorithm to estimate and predict electricity consumption estimation. The difficulty with electricity consumption estimation modeling approach such as time series is the reason for proposing the hybrid approach of this study. The algorithm is ideal for uncertain, ambiguous and complex estimation and forecasting. Computer simulation is developed to generate random variables for monthly electricity consumption. Various structures of ANFIS are examined and the preferred model is selected for estimation by the proposed algorithm. Finally, the preferred ANFIS and time series... 

    Fuzzy descriptor systems and spectral analysis for chaotic time series prediction

    , Article Neural Computing and Applications ; Volume 18, Issue 8 , 2009 , Pages 991-1004 ; 09410643 (ISSN) Mirmomeni, M ; Lucas, C ; Shafiee, M ; Nadjar Araabi, B ; Kamaliha, E ; Sharif University of Technology
    2009
    Abstract
    Predicting future behavior of chaotic time series and systems is a challenging area in the literature of nonlinear systems. The prediction accuracy of chaotic time series is extremely dependent on the model and the learning algorithm. In addition, the generalization property of the proposed models trained by limited observations is of great importance. In the past two decades, singular or descriptor systems and related fuzzy descriptor models have been the subjects of interest due to their many practical applications in modeling complex phenomena. In this study fuzzy descriptor models, as a more recent neurofuzzy realization of locally linear descriptor systems, which have led to the... 

    Time-series analysis of TCP/RED computer networks, an empirical study

    , Article Chaos, Solitons and Fractals ; Volume 39, Issue 2 , 2009 , Pages 784-800 ; 09600779 (ISSN) Bigdeli, N ; Haeri, M ; Sharif University of Technology
    2009
    Abstract
    Packet-level observations show that the TCP/RED congestion control systems exhibit complex non-periodic oscillations which vary with the network/RED parameter variations. In this paper, it is investigated whether such complex behaviors are due to nonlinear deterministic chaotic dynamics or do they originate from nonlinear stochastic dynamics. To do this, various methods of linear and nonlinear time series analyses have been applied to the packet-level data gathered from a typical network simulated in ns-2. The results of the analysis for a wide range of variations in averaging weight of RED (as the most important bifurcation factor in TCP/RED networks) show that such behaviors are not due to... 

    Nonlinear dynamic modeling of surface defects in rolling element bearing systems

    , Article Journal of Sound and Vibration ; Volume 319, Issue 3-5 , 2009 , Pages 1150-1174 ; 0022460X (ISSN) Rafsanjani, A ; Abbasion, S ; Farshidianfar, A ; Moeenfard, H ; Sharif University of Technology
    2009
    Abstract
    In this paper an analytical model is proposed to study the nonlinear dynamic behavior of rolling element bearing systems including surface defects. Various surface defects due to local imperfections on raceways and rolling elements are introduced to the proposed model. The contact force of each rolling element described according to nonlinear Hertzian contact deformation and the effect of internal radial clearance has been taken into account. Mathematical expressions were derived for inner race, outer race and rolling element local defects. To overcome the strong nonlinearity of the governing equations of motion, a modified Newmark time integration technique was used to solve the equations... 

    Activation Detection in fMRI Using Nonlinear Time Series Analysis

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Taalimi, Ali (Author) ; Fatemizadeh, Emadeddin (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Functional Magnetic Resonance Imaging (fMRI) is a recently developed neuroimaging technique with capacity to map neural activity with high spatial precision. To locate active brain areas, the method utilizes local blood oxygenation changes which are reflected as small intensity changes in a special type of MR images. The ability to non-invasively map brain functions provides new opportunities to unravel the mysteries and advance the understanding of the human brain, as well as to perform pre-surgical examinations in order to optimize surgical interventions. To obtain these goals the analysis of fMRI is the first condition which should be met. First methods were linear and assumed the... 

    Bootstrap-based Ensemble Clustering of Resting-state fMRI Time Series

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Ashtari, Pooya (Author) ; Vosoughi Vahdat, Bijan (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Studies in recent years have shown formation of strongly functionally linked sub-networks during rest, networks that are often referred to as resting-state networks. RSNs not only have basic information about the brain but also play a key role in detecting brain disorders, such as Alzheimer and Autism; Consequently, they have been remarkably noticed by neuroscientists. Numerous methods have been used in order to extract RSNs using resting-states fMRI time series. Independent component analysis (ICA) is the most common method, whi have been reported to show a high level of consistency neurophysiology; however, its results is unstable in subject-level. is weakness restricted the ICA... 

    Study of Statistical Behavior of Chaotic Maps and Design of Stochastic Models for Reconstruction and Prediction of Behavioral Patterns of Chaotic Systems

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Jokar, Meysam (Author) ; Salarieh, Hassan (Supervisor) ; Alasty, Aria (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Chaotic time series analysis, study of statistical behavior of chaotic maps and eventually an attempt to reconstruction and prediction of dynamical and statistical properties of output data of chaotic systems using stochastic models such as Markov models and autoregressive-moving average models are the main purposes of the present research. Examples of chaotic time series abound in the output of economics, engineering systems, the natural sciences (especially geophysics and meteorology) and social sciences. An intrinsic feature of an output time series of a dynamic system is that, adjacent observations are dependent. Time series analysis is concerned with techniques for the analysis of this...