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Men’s Job Inequality and Propensity to Marry in Iran

Parsaeian, Shahnaz | 2014

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  1. Type of Document: M.Sc. Thesis
  2. Language: Farsi
  3. Document No: 45940 (44)
  4. University: Sharif University of Technology
  5. Department: Management and Economics
  6. Advisor(s): Keshavarz Haddad, Gholamreza
  7. Abstract:
  8. Iran have experienced tangible demographic changes over the recent decades. Fertility rate and marriage rate have declined, but divorce rate has increased remarkably. This research intends to examine the propensity to marry and marriage age in Iran by use of Household expenditure and income survey data (2009-2012) in the framework of search and match model. In the underlying literature, some socioeconomic factors are identified as the main determinants of these changes, particularly labor market prospects and male’s earning structure are considered as the most significant factors among others.The data are pooled and for the study years are merged with cohort data from the labor market to take into account the labor market situation in the marriage time of a married person. Our main hypothesis is that men’s earning tend to have positive effect on male and female marriage decisions. Also, we investigate the roles of education, divorce rate, unemployment rate, sex ratio and men’s earning inequality in the propensity to marry.
    We used the Probit estimation procedure to estimate the probability of being married, and Cox regression to model the age at first marriage. Using cohort’s variables from the labor market covariates of regression models is the striking contribution of this study. Our findings reveal that men’s earning and their employment rate have positive impact on female’s marriage propensity. Moreover, men’s earning inequality have robustly positive effect on the time of marriage decisions. The same pattern is observed for education, divorce rate and sex ratio
  9. Keywords:
  10. Marriage Market ; Search and Match ; Age at First Marriage ; Probit Model ; Earnings Inequality ; Cox Regression

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