Dynamics of Poverty in Iran

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Mohammadzadeh, Ahmad | 2022

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Type of Document: M.Sc. Thesis
Language: Farsi
Document No: 55400 (44)
University: Sharif University of Technology
Department: Management and Economics
Advisor(s): Keshavarz Haddad, Gholamreza
Abstract:
Eliminating poverty, which is one of the most important objectives of countries, requires a deep understanding of the trends and dynamics of poverty and the distinction between chronic and transient poverty. However, given the lack of high-quality panel data, measuring movements in and out of poverty in developing countries is difficult. In this research, we build a synthetic panel by constructing a consumption model and estimating the first-round consumption of households surveyed in the second round. The analysis of Expenditures and Income Survey (HEIS) for 1398 and 1399 shows that almost 29 percent of urban and rural households were poor in both years. In female-headed households, households with non-university educated heads, and rural households, this rate is 40, 34, and 54 percent, respectively, indicating their need for special attention. Moreover, the results of the synthetic panel virtually always include the true panel estimates
Keywords:
Poverty Dynamics ; Panel Data ; Synthetic Panel Data ; Chronic Poverty ; Transient Poverty