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Synergy of Energy Transition of Iran and China Under 25-year Cooperation Agreement

Eslami, Mohammad Ali | 2023

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  1. Type of Document: M.Sc. Thesis
  2. Language: Farsi
  3. Document No: 55970 (46)
  4. University: Sharif University of Technology
  5. Department: Energy Engineering
  6. Advisor(s): Maleki, Abbas
  7. Abstract:
  8. The Iran-China 25-year Cooperation Program on the further economic development particularly energy area signed on 27 March 2021 by Iran, which suffered from many years of political and economic isolation and China, the second global economy. Energy transition is an essential issue in both country's energy systems which calls for a medium energy carrier that will be the natural gas. China is seeking for new natural gas resources in order to achieve its ambitious net-zero goals and Iran has targeted 50% reduction in its energy intensity. The necessity of supplying the natural gas for Pakistan and China through the CPEC (China-Pakistan Economic Corridor) by Iran is an important criterion in the agreement. This study is to demonstrate how Iran is supposed to act on its commitment by considering recent unbalancing of natural gas supply-demand. This thesis by citation to the Article 12 of the Law on Elimination of Barriers to Production is proposing that Chinese investments should be guided to natural gas saving projects to produce power and also save enough gas in order to export to China territories. This research by utilizing the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) and TOPSIS methods prioritize power plant projects which have been mentioned in the agreement and aligned with Iran's natural gas saving policies and Six Five-Year Development Plan in order to improve Iran's energy security. Moreover, a sensitivity analysis has been conducted to generate several scenarios. Finally, the base scenario generated by using experts' opinions determine the priority of Chinese investment on the defined projects in this research that will be solar, wind, combined cycle, geothermal and hydro respectively
  9. Keywords:
  10. Technique for Order-Perference by Similarity to Ideal Solution (TOPSIS)Method ; Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) ; Energy Security ; 25-year Iran-China Agreement ; Energy Transition

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  • چکیده
  • فهرست نمودارها
  • فهرست جداول
  • فصل 1: مقدمه، اهمیت و اهداف پژوهش
    • 1-1- گذار انرژی
    • 1-2- نقش گاز طبیعی در گذار انرژی
    • 1-3- گذار انرژی در چین
    • 1-4- گذار انرژی در ایران
    • 1-5- انرژی چین
    • 1-6- تقاضای گاز طبیعی چین
    • 1-7- نقش انرژی در منافع ملی چین
    • 1-8- همکاری بینالمللی چین و راهبردها
    • 1-9- انرژی در ایران
    • 1-10- گاز طبیعی در ایران
    • 1-11- صادرات گاز ایران به چین
    • 1-12- سرمایهگذاری در بخش انرژی ایران
    • 1-13- تقاضای انرژی
    • 1-14- پتانسیل انرژی تجدیدپذیر و پایدار
    • 1-15- ملاحظات سیاسی برای توسعه انرژیهای تجدیدپذیر
    • 1-16- کارایی انرژی در ایران
    • 1-17- برنامهریزی انرژی در ایران
    • 1-18- امنیت انرژی در ایران و چین
    • 1-19- هدف پژوهش
    • 1-20- سؤالات پژوهش
    • 1-21- نوآوری طرح
  • فصل 2: مرور بر ادبیات پژوهش
    • 2-1- همکنش گذار انرژی چین و سایر کشورها و امنیت انرژی
    • 2-2- گذار انرژی
    • 2-3- اولویت سرمایهگذاری در بخش انرژی
  • فصل 3: روششناسی پژوهش
    • 3-1- روش تصمیمگیری چندمعیاره (MCDM)
    • 3-2- روش فرآیند تحلیل سلسله مراتبی (AHP)
    • 3-3- روش تاپسیس (TOPSIS)
    • 3-4- نتایج
    • 3-5- تحلیل حساسیت
  • فصل 4: بحث و نتیجهگیری
    • 4-1- بحث
    • 4-2- نتیجهگیری
    • 4-3- توصیههای سیاستی
    • 4-4- پیشنهاد برای پژوهشهای آتی
  • منابع و مأخذ
  • کتابشناسی
    • فارسی
    • لاتین
    • منابع اینترنتی
  • پیوست
    • پرسشنامه خبرگان
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