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An approach for the estimation of aggregate potential telecommuting demand

Mamdoohi, A. R ; Sharif University of Technology

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  1. Type of Document: Article
  2. DOI: 10.5829/idosi.ije.2011.24.04a.02
  3. Abstract:
  4. Development of technology has made possible the invention of innovative and modern methods to partially solve the problems caused by traffic congestion through decreasing the need for physical transportation; one such method being telecommuting. Although, research has been conducted to model employees' and employers' attitude towards telecommuting at micro levels, few predictions have been reported regarding its aggregate demand at the macro level of a city, generally because of the complexity and multi-dimensionality of the subject. In this paper, an approach for the estimation of potential aggregate telecommuting demand is proposed to partly fill the gap in the literature; and applied for the city of Tehran, Iran, using a 3-level generalization process to compensate for the incompleteness of the unattainable vast and expensive data. In the first level of the proposed approach, the matrix of average potential telecommuting demand for 36 job categories, defined by 6 different organizational positions and 6 different organizational units, is derived from a 670-sized sample. In the second level, the data of 14 percent of the government employees are collected despite the effort of aiming for the 100 percent and hence, in the third level, the geographic distribution of all government employees with telecommuting potential is determined. Results of this research regarding potential telecommuting demand for the city of Tehran show that 53,898 out of 148,551 government employees (about 36 percent) are able to participate in telecommuting programs on a daily basis, removing 53,898 peak hour work trips on a daily basis which is equivalent to 269,490 employees quitting their commute trip to work one day per week. Although based on rather strong assumptions, forced by the limitation of data, the approach is implemented for Tehran
  5. Keywords:
  6. Aggregate demand ; Aggregates ; Civil engineering ; Engineering research ; Geographical distribution ; Innovation ; Telecommuting ; Traffic congestion ; Average potential ; Generalization process ; Geographic distribution ; Government employees ; Matrix ; Micro level ; Multidimensionality ; Organizational units ; Physical transportation ; Second level ; Tehran , Iran ; Third level ; Transportation engineering ; Employment
  7. Source: International Journal of Engineering, Transactions A: Basics ; Volume 24, Issue 4 , 2011 , Pages 331-340 ; 17281431 (ISSN)
  8. URL: http://www.ije.ir/abstract/%7BVolume:24-Transactions:A-Number:4%7D/=1158