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An Economic-Financial Model for Response to Earthquake in Conditions of Uncertainty with a Case Study of an Earthquake Event in a Small Town

Bostanara, Maryam | 2018

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  1. Type of Document: M.Sc. Thesis
  2. Language: Farsi
  3. Document No: 51751 (01)
  4. University: Sharif University of Technology
  5. Department: Industrial Engineering
  6. Advisor(s): Eshghi, Kourosh
  7. Abstract:
  8. Annually Natural disasters make tremendous impacts on societies. Fatality rate of earthquake in Iran is almost more than all other disasters. There are numerous problems in disaster Management's of Iran and other countries. One of the disaster Management's phases is response phase which mostly depends on emergency processes, so most of papers working on this phase, plan for emergency state by using different techniques.All the studies seeking the response phase, try to reduce the loss of disaster by the use of immediate response to earthquake, pointing the disaster after occurrence. But Another point of view is to make loss reduction by precautious activities and plans. Actually, the loss estimation process benefits societies in lots of sights. By now There are some studies worked on loss estimation and loss reduction in mitigation phase, but some points have taken no attention on those studies. In this study we tried to look at disaster management from a new point of view and do not consider different phases. So, looking at earthquake as an economical system which has input and outputs seemed necessary. By this mean defining the whole society as an economic system became essential. Another point which was a gap in studies was human value. Having in the mind that every person can have different values on the society, human loss cannot be informed by the number of people injured or passed away. In this thesis we looked at the earthquake as an economic system and define a human value model and a loss estimation method for evaluation of direct and indirect losses. At the end a smaller case study than a society is considered. This case study considers an industrial park and all the value estimations, risk analysis and loss estimation and reduction phases are done
  9. Keywords:
  10. Earthquake ; Loss Estimation ; Risk Analysis ; Uncertainty ; Mitigation Measures ; Economic Analysis

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