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    Estimation of Three Parameters of Weibull Distribution Using Tabu Search Method: Implementation in Maintenance Program

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology (Author) ; Eshraghniaye Jahromi, Abdolhamid (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Knowing the shape and type of the breakdown of a system or the system components, for a maintenance manager or maintenance engineer is significantly important. It is also important that the existing information concerning the system performance predict and prevent a sudden failure to be probably taken place. Maintenance has gained in importance as a support function for ensuring equipment availability, quality products, on-time deliveries, and plant safety. Cost effectiveness and accuracy are two basic criteria for good maintenance. Many studies in the area of equipment maintenance, replacement, and reliability require that the failure characteristic of a component to be estimated from... 

    Network Traffic Analysis & Anomaly Detection based on Benford’s Law

    , Ph.D. Dissertation Sharif University of Technology Arshadi, Laleh (Author) ; Jahangir, Amir Hossein (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    The attempt of this project is to propose a simple model for traffic analysis which eventually leads to the presentation of an online classifier for network traffic anomaly detection. In this research, e show empirically that despite the variety of data networks in size, number of users, applications, and load, the inter-arrival times of normal TCP flows comply with the Weibull distribution whereas specific irregularities (anomalies) causes deviations from the distribution. Consequently, any type of anomalies affecting TCP flows, including intentional intrusions or unintended faults and network failures in general, can be detected by analyzing the discrepancy of TCP flow inter-arrival times... 

    Network Traffic Analyzer

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Silavi, Ehsan (Author) ; Jahangir, Amir Hossein (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    In order to increase the network performance, to discover network security threats, to guarantee the quality of services, to simulate networks and develop new network protocols, network designers and operators need software tools to analyze the network traffic. The first step to do this analysis is network monitoring. This can be done by using various software and hardware tools.
    In this research we developed a tool which analyzes the network traffic using appropriate statistical methods. The models which are analyzed in this application are: Poisson, Self-similar and Weibull. This application analyzes the network traffic based on this statistical models and calculates their parameters.... 

    Probabilistic Model to Forecast Activities Completion Time in Ongoing Mass Housing Projects Case Study: The 10,000-Unit Mass Housing Project Executed by Kayson Company in Venezuela

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Baqerin, Mohammad Hassan (Author) ; Shafahi, Yusef (Supervisor) ; Mortaheb, Mohammad Mehdi (Co-Advisor)
    Abstract
    Reliable forecasting is a fundamental element of successful project management. Construction managers regularly control and monitor their project in order to ensure that their project performance is under control and within the acceptable control limits. Conventionally, the earned value method (EVM) is used to monitor project cost performance. However, its application to schedule performance using schedule performance index (SPI) has been widely questioned both by practitioners and researchers particularly due to poor accuracy early in the project. This study presents a novel activity-based framework, namely Weibull Evaluation and Forecasting Method (WEFM), for stochastic evaluation and... 

    Solve the Project Scheduling Problem Considering the Assumed Discount in Buying Cost Function for Nonrenewable and Perishable Resources

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Hassani Keleshteri, Bagher (Author) ; Shadrokh, Shahram (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    Project Scheduling is one of the most important branches of operations research and management science. In this paper, project scheduling problem with a deterministic duration of activities is studied. Resources are considered nonrenewable ones which are perishable. First of all, the project scheduling problem has been studied with a rate of corruption of inventory. Then, a rate of corruption with three parameters for Weibull is considered. Cost function for purchasing a renewable Perishable resource, has been assumed that has growing discounts for the purchase of certain health differently. Project costs are included purchase costs and maintenance costs. The objective function is the... 

    A New Method for Constructing Confidence Intervals on the Parameters of Continuous Distributions

    , M.Sc. Thesis Sharif University of Technology Motaei, Amir (Author) ; Akhavan Niaki, Taghi (Supervisor)
    Abstract
    In this research, a new Bayesian method for constructing confidence intervals on the parameters of any continuous distribution is first developed. The main idea behind developing this method is to model uncertainty. As an application of the proposed methodology, confidence intervals for the two parameters of the Weibull distribution along with their joint confidence interval are then derived in which data can be of type I censored data, type II censored data or uncensored. The new confidence intervals are next compared to other existing exact confidence intervals in the literature and shown to have better performances. Furthermore, we show the lengths of the existing exact confidence... 

    Simultaneous calculation of pore size distribution, capillary pressure, and relative permeability from injection-fall off-production test data

    , Article Special Topics and Reviews in Porous Media ; Vol. 5, issue. 1 , 2014 , p. 41-51 Keshavarzi, B ; Jamshidi, S ; Salehi, S ; Sharif University of Technology
    Abstract
    This work concerns simultaneous determination of relative permeability, capillary pressure, pore size distribution (PSD), and residual oil saturation data by optimization of well testing data, and introduces a new capillary pressure relationship, based on the Weibull distribution function, for direct determination of the PSD function from capillary pressure parameters. Three consecutive injection, fall off, and production well tests are performed on a predefined synthetic reservoir through simulation, and an optimization algorithm is used to find the parameters of relative permeability and capillary pressure curves as well as the value of residual oil saturation. The PSD function is also... 

    Benford's law behavior of internet traffic

    , Article Journal of Network and Computer Applications ; Vol. 40, issue. 1 , April , 2014 , p. 194-205 Arshadi, L ; Jahangir, A. H ; Sharif University of Technology
    Abstract
    In this paper, we analyze the Internet traffic from a different point of view based on Benford's law, an empirical law that describes the distribution of leading digits in a collection of numbers met in naturally occurring phenomena. We claim that Benford's law holds for the inter-arrival times of TCP flows in case of normal traffic. Consequently, any type of anomalies affecting TCP flows, including intentional intrusions or unintended faults and network failures in general, can be detected by investigating the first-digit distributions of the inter-arrival times of TCP SYN packets. In this paper we apply our findings to the detection of intentional attacks, and leave other types of... 

    The effect of melt quality and filtering on the Weibull distributions of tensile properties in Al-7%Si-Mg alloy castings

    , Article Materials Science and Engineering A ; Volume 579 , 2013 , Pages 64-70 ; 09215093 (ISSN) Eisaabadi B., G ; Davami, P ; Kim, S. K ; Tiryakioglu, M ; Sharif University of Technology
    2013
    Abstract
    The effects of melt quality and the placement of a filter in the filling system on Weibull distributions of tensile strength and elongation of Al-7%Si-Mg alloy castings were investigated. Three different combinations of melt quality and filtering were used: (a) unstirred, with filter in the filling system, (b) stirred to produce and entrain surface oxide films with no filter in the filling system to emulate poor initial melt preparation and melt handling, and (c) stirred and with a filter placed in the filling system. The results showed that the highest elongation and tensile strength values were obtained from the unstirred, filtered condition and lowest values were from stirred and... 

    On the gaussian characteristics of aggregated short-lived flows on high-bandwidth links

    , Article Proceedings - 27th International Conference on Advanced Information Networking and Applications Workshops ; 2013 , Pages 860-865 ; 9780769549521 (ISBN) Kahe, G ; Jahangir, A. H ; Sharif University of Technology
    2013
    Abstract
    Traffic modeling, traffic decomposition, and traffic engineering are some of the applications of traffic characterization that are mainly based on statistical characteristics of the network traffic. Many empirical analyses on Internet traffic traces show that the flow inter-arrival time distribution generally follows the Weibull distribution. As the scale of the network becomes larger, the Weibull distribution degrades to the Poisson distribution and when the flow arrival rate is high, it asymptotically converges to the Normal distribution. The aggregated traffic on high bandwidth links is the result of statistical multiplexing of many traffic sources, and the flow arrival rate on these... 

    A note on optimal price, warranty length and production rate for free replacement policy in static demand markets

    , Article Omega ; Volume 40, Issue 6 , 2012 , Pages 805-806 ; 03050483 (ISSN) Faridimehr, S ; Niaki, S. T. A ; Sharif University of Technology
    2012
    Abstract
    This note provides some extensions on optimal policies on price, warranty length and production rate proposed by Wu et al. (2009) . [1] (Wu, C.C.; Chou, C.Y.; Huang C. Optimal price, warranty length and production rate for free replacement policy in the static demand market. Omega 2009; 37: 29-39.) More specifically, the assumptions of the original paper is extended in this note from the production rate being positive and the second derivative of the demand function with respect to price and warranty-length being negative to no restrictions on both  

    Effects of hydrogen and oxides on tensile properties of Al-Si-Mg cast alloys

    , Article Materials Science and Engineering A ; Volume 552 , 2012 , Pages 36-47 ; 09215093 (ISSN) Eisaabadi B., G ; Davami, P ; Kim, S. K ; Varahram, N ; Sharif University of Technology
    Abstract
    Gas porosities and entrapped double oxide film (hereafter: oxides) are known to be the most detrimental defects in cast Al-Si-Mg alloys. This study investigated the effects of dissolved hydrogen (hereafter: H) and oxides on reproducibility of tensile properties in Al-7Si-0.35 Mg alloys. Also the effects of H and oxides content on the morphology of defects were studied. Four different casting conditions (low oxide-low H, low oxide-high H, high oxide-low H, high oxide-high H) were tested using tensile test bars that were cast in a metallic mold. Results of tensile test that were obtained for each casting condition were analyzed using Weibull two-parameter analysis. Microstructure and fracture... 

    Decision rule of repetitive acceptance sampling plans assuring percentile life

    , Article Scientia Iranica ; Volume 19, Issue 3 , June , 2012 , Pages 879-884 ; 10263098 (ISSN) Aslam, M ; Niaki, S. T. A ; Rasool, M ; Fallahnezhad, M. S ; Sharif University of Technology
    2012
    Abstract
    In this research, Repetitive Group Sampling (RGS) plans are developed for the Weibull and generalized exponential distributions. To design the proposed plans, the median of a life-time is first used as the quality parameter. Then, a decision-making framework is developed, based on first and second type errors. Next, based on acceptable and limiting quality level criteria, tables are obtained to select the parameters of the proposed decision-making framework. The advantages of the proposed method over single sampling plans are discussed at the end  

    Estimating the four parameters of the Burr III distribution using a hybrid method of variable neighborhood search and iterated local search algorithms

    , Article Applied Mathematics and Computation ; Volume 218, Issue 19 , 2012 , Pages 9664-9675 ; 00963003 (ISSN) Zoraghi, N ; Abbasi, B ; Niaki, S. T. A ; Abdi, M ; Sharif University of Technology
    2012
    Abstract
    The Burr III distribution properly approximates many familiar distributions such as Normal, Lognormal, Gamma, Weibull, and Exponential distributions. It plays an important role in reliability engineering, statistical quality control, and risk analysis models. The Burr III distribution has four parameters known as location, scale, and two shape parameters. The estimation process of these parameters is controversial. Although the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) is understood as a straightforward method in parameters estimation, using MLE to estimate the Burr III parameters leads to maximize a complicated function with four unknown variables, where using a conventional optimization such as... 

    A hybrid variable neighborhood search and simulated annealing algorithm to estimate the three parameters of the Weibull distribution

    , Article Expert Systems with Applications ; Volume 38, Issue 1 , January , 2011 , Pages 700-708 ; 09574174 (ISSN) Abbasi, B ; Niaki, S. T. A ; Khalife, M. A ; Faize, Y ; Sharif University of Technology
    2011
    Abstract
    The Weibull distribution plays an important role in failure distribution modeling of reliability research. While there are three parameters in the general form of this distribution, for simplicity, one of its parameters is usually omitted and as a result, the others are estimated easily. However, due to its more flexibility, when the general form of the Weibull distribution is of interest, the estimation procedure is not an easy task anymore. For example, in the maximum likelihood estimation method, the likelihood function that is formed for a three-parameter Weibull distribution is very hard to maximize. In this paper, a new hybrid methodology based on a variable neighborhood search and a... 

    A possibilistic-probabilistic tool for evaluating the impact of stochastic renewable and controllable power generation on energy losses in distribution networks-A case study

    , Article Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews ; Volume 15, Issue 1 , 2011 , Pages 794-800 ; 13640321 (ISSN) Soroudi, A ; Ehsan, M ; Sharif University of Technology
    Abstract
    This paper proposes a hybrid possibilistic-probabilistic evaluation tool for analyzing the effect of uncertain power production of distributed generations (DGs) on active losses of distribution networks. The considered DG technologies are gas and wind turbines. This tool is useful for distribution network operators (DNOs) when they are faced with uncertainties which some of them can be modeled probabilistically and some of them are described possibilistically. The generation pattern of DG units changes the flow of lines and this will cause change of active losses which DNO is responsible for compensating it. This pattern is highly dependent on DG technology and also on decisions of DG... 

    Throughput of Large One-Hop Ad Hoc Wireless Networks With General Fading

    , Article IEEE Transactions on Vehicular Technology ; Volume 64, Issue 7 , 2015 , Pages 3304-3310 ; 00189545 (ISSN) Shariatpanahi, S. P ; Khalaj, B. H ; Alishahi, K ; Shah Mansouri, H ; Sharif University of Technology
    Institute of Electrical and Electronics Engineers Inc  2015
    Abstract
    We consider the problem of determining throughput of one-hop unicast transmissions in ad hoc wireless networks. We consider an interference-limited scenario in which wireless links between different nodes are modeled by independently and identically distributed random variables. The main decoding challenge for receive nodes is due to interference of nonintended concurrent transmissions. In this scenario, we consider a heuristic one-hop transmission strategy based on activating source-destination pairs with strongest direct links and forcing other pairs to be silent. We present a closed-form expression for throughput scaling of such strategy, for a completely general channel power... 

    Estimation of weibull parameters for wind energy application in Iran's cities

    , Article Wind and Structures, An International Journal ; Volume 21, Issue 2 , 2015 , Pages 203-221 ; 12266116 (ISSN) Sedghi, M ; Hannani, S. K ; Boroushaki, M ; Sharif University of Technology
    Techno Press  2015
    Abstract
    Wind speed is the most important parameter in the design and study of wind energy conversion systems. The weibull distribution is commonly used for wind energy analysis as it can represent the wind variations with an acceptable level of accuracy. In this study, the wind data for 11 cities in Iran have been analysed over a period of one year. The Goodness of fit test is used for testing data fit to weibull distribution. The results show that this data fit to weibull function very well. The scale and shape factors are two parameters of the weibull distribution that depend on the area under study. The kinds of numerical methods commonly used for estimating weibull parameters are reviewed. Their... 

    An empirical study on TCP flow interarrival time distribution for normal and anomalous traffic

    , Article International Journal of Communication Systems ; 2015 ; 10745351 (ISSN) Arshadi, L ; Jahangir, A. H ; Sharif University of Technology
    Abstract
    SUMMARY: In this paper, we study the effects of anomalies on the distribution of TCP flow interarrival time process. We show empirically that despite the variety of data networks in size, number of users, applications, and load, the interarrival times of normal flows comply with the Weibull distribution, whereas specific irregularities (anomalies) causes deviations from the distribution. We first estimate the scale and shape parameters and then check the discrepancy of the data from a Weibull distribution with the estimated parameters. We also utilize the Weibull counting model to recheck the conformance of small flow interarrival times with the distribution. We perform our experiments on a... 

    Estimating process capability indices of multivariate nonnormal processes

    , Article International Journal of Advanced Manufacturing Technology ; Volume 50, Issue 5-8 , 2010 , Pages 823-830 ; 02683768 (ISSN) Abbasi, B ; Akhavan Niaki, S. T ; Sharif University of Technology
    Abstract
    The capability analysis of production processes where there are more than one correlated quality variables is a complicated task. The problem becomes even more difficult when these variables exhibit nonnormal characteristics. In this paper, a new methodology is proposed to estimate process capability indices (PCIs) of multivariate nonnormal processes. In the proposed methodology, the skewness of the marginal probability distributions of the variables is first diminished by a root transformation technique. Then, a Monte Carlo simulation method is employed to estimate the process proportion of nonconformities (PNC). Next, the relationship between PNC and PCI is found, and finally, PCI is...