Sharif Digital Repository

Wind speed is the most important parameter in the design and study of wind energy conversion systems. The weibull distribution is commonly used for wind energy analysis as it can represent the wind variations with an acceptable level of accuracy. In this study, the wind data for 11 cities in Iran have been analysed over a period of one year. The Goodness of fit test is used for testing data fit to weibull distribution. The results show that this data fit to weibull function very well. The scale and shape factors are two parameters of the weibull distribution that depend on the area under study. The kinds of numerical methods commonly used for estimating weibull parameters are reviewed. Their... 

In the literature of model selection, Vuong’s test and Akaike information criterion aim to find the best statistical model. Both of them are related to the expectation of the log-likelihood function of the rival models, but they are not sensitive to the small difference between rival models. The goal of this study is to develop a simple model selection approach which does not assume a true distribution for data. We have introduced a nonparametric tracking interval in the context of model selection. We have shown that this interval is compatibale with the known Vuong’s test results, but here we let the magnitude of the data enhance the performance of statistical inference. Simulation study... 

The reliability of machinery and automated guided vehicle has been one of the most important challenges to enhance production efficiency in several manufacturing systems. Reliability improvement would result in a simultaneous reduction of both production times and transportation costs of the materials, especially in automated guided vehicles. This article aims to conduct a practical multi-objective reliability optimization model for both automated guided vehicles and the machinery involved in a job-shop manufacturing system, where different machines and the storage area through some parallel automated guided vehicles handle materials, parts, and other production needs. While similar machines... 

The reliability of machinery and automated guided vehicle has been one of the most important challenges to enhance production efficiency in several manufacturing systems. Reliability improvement would result in a simultaneous reduction of both production times and transportation costs of the materials, especially in automated guided vehicles. This article aims to conduct a practical multi-objective reliability optimization model for both automated guided vehicles and the machinery involved in a job-shop manufacturing system, where different machines and the storage area through some parallel automated guided vehicles handle materials, parts, and other production needs. While similar machines... 

In this paper, we study the effects of anomalies on the distribution of TCP flow interarrival time process. We show empirically that despite the variety of data networks in size, number of users, applications, and load, the interarrival times of normal flows comply with the Weibull distribution, whereas specific irregularities (anomalies) causes deviations from the distribution. We first estimate the scale and shape parameters and then check the discrepancy of the data from a Weibull distribution with the estimated parameters. We also utilize the Weibull counting model to recheck the conformance of small flow interarrival times with the distribution. We perform our experiments on a diverse... 

In recent years, much attention has been given to monitoring multistage processes in order to effectively improve the product reliability. To this end, the output of the process is investigated under special circumstances, and the values corresponding to reliability-related quality characteristic are measured. However, analyzing reliability data is quite complicated because of their unique features such as being censored and obeying nonnormal distributions. A more sophisticated picture arises when the observations of the process are autocorrelated in some cases, which makes the application of previous control procedures futile. In this paper, the accelerated failure time (AFT) regression... 

In Distributed detection systems, restricting the output of the local decision to one bit certainly implies a substantial information loss. In this paper, we consider the fuzzy detection, which uses a function called membership function for mapping the observation space of each local detector to a value between 0 and 1, indicating the degree of assurance about presence or absence of a signal. In this case, we examine the problem of distributed Maximum Likelihood (ML) and Order Statistic (OS) constant false alarm rate (CFAR) detections using fuzzy fusion rules such as "Algebraic Product"(AP), "Algebraic Sum"(AS), "Union"(Un) and " Intersection"(IS) in the fusion centre. For the Weibull... 

We consider the problem of determining throughput of one-hop unicast transmissions in ad hoc wireless networks. We consider an interference-limited scenario in which wireless links between different nodes are modeled by independently and identically distributed random variables. The main decoding challenge for receive nodes is due to interference of nonintended concurrent transmissions. In this scenario, we consider a heuristic one-hop transmission strategy based on activating source-destination pairs with strongest direct links and forcing other pairs to be silent. We present a closed-form expression for throughput scaling of such strategy, for a completely general channel power... 

Optical signal propagation through underwater channels is affected by three main degrading phenomena, namely, absorption, scattering, and fading. In this paper, we experimentally study the statistical distribution of intensity fluctuations in underwater wireless optical channels with random temperature and salinity variations, as well as the presence of air bubbles. In particular, we define different scenarios to produce random fluctuations on the water refractive index across the propagation path and, then, examine the accuracy of various statistical distributions in terms of their goodness of fit to the experimental data. We also obtain the channel coherence time to address the average... 

Wind generation is one of the most successful sources of renewable energy for the production of electrical energy. The technical characteristics of wind generation make existing conventional generation models not directly applicable. This paper presents an analytical method for the reliability assessment of the flat-rated wind turbine generation systems. An example of flat rating is that of the MOD-2, a second-generation class of wind turbines. The power-velocity characteristic of the flat-rated wind turbines is employed in this paper to model the operating behavior of the installed wind turbine generators. For wind-power potential estimation, the Weibull distribution model is used. The... 

Cellular networks provide widespread and reliable voice communications among subscribers through mobile voice channels. These channels benefit from superior priority and higher availability compared with conventional cellular data communication services, such as General Packet Radio Service, Enhanced Data Rates for GSM Evolution, and High-Speed Downlink Packet Access. These properties are of major interest to applications that require transmitting small volumes of data urgently and reliably, such as an emergency call in vehicular applications. This encourages excessive research to make digital communication through voice channels feasible, leading to the emergence of Data over Voice (DoV)... 

Weibull distributions play an important role in reliability studies and have many applications in engineering. It normally appears in the statistical scripts as having two parameters, making it easy to estimate its parameters. However, once you go beyond the two parameter distribution, things become complicated. For example, estimating the parameters of a three-parameter Weibull distribution has historically been a complicated and sometimes contentious line of research since classical estimation procedures such as Maximum Likelihood Estimation (MLE) have become almost too complicated to implement. In this paper, we will discuss an approach that takes advantage of Artificial Neural Networks... 

The goal of this research is to formulate an inventory control problem of a single item with variable demand dependent on displayed stock level and selling price of the commodity. The item deteriorates based on a three-parameter Weibull distribution and advance payment is needed to purchase the item with the all-unit discount policy. Shortages are allowed partially and backlogged with the rate dependent on the length of customers' waiting time. The corresponding problem is formulated as a profit maximisation model. For solving this problem, four different variants of particle swarm optimisation (PSO) are utilised. Then, the application of the model is illustrated with the help of a numerical... 

Reliability of machinery and equipment in flexible manufacturing systems are among the most important issues to reduce production costs and to increase efficiency. This paper investigates the reliability of machinery in job shop production systems, where materials, parts, and other production needs are handled by automated guided vehicles (AGV). The failures time of the parallel machines in a given shop follow either an exponential or a Weibull distribution. As there is no closed-form equation to calculate the reliability of the shop in the Weibull case, a simulation approach is taken in this paper to estimate the reliability. Then, a bi-objective nonlinear optimization model is developed...